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Preview: Green Bay at Dallas

One thing that both teams have in common is a nearly identical turnover ratio (Packers +5, Dallas +6). Neither team forces a lot of turnovers, but both teams are pretty careful with the ball. If neither team has more than 2 turnovers, then it will be a close game. These are two of the best offenses, they have been able to move the ball the length of the field and score against nearly every team they have faced, and it may come down to who has the ball last.

Teams FO Ranking NFL Ranking
Packers Rushing Offense 9 32
Dallas Rushing Defense 5 4

For this entire preview I'm ignoring the NFL rankings based on yards/game. Usually the average yards/game are similar to the rankings from Football Outsiders, but not this week. The Packers aren't the worst rushing team in the NFL, they just don't run it too often. The Packers will run the ball around 20 times and RB Ryan Grant will continue to average over 4 yards/carry.

Teams FO Ranking NFL Ranking
Dallas Rushing Offense 6 11
Packers Rushing Defense 7 13

This will be a big part of the game. The Packers run defense has struggled the last two games against Detroit and Carolina, and neither team has a running attack anywhere near as good as Dallas. RB Marion Barber should have a good game and cause problems for the Packers all game long.

Teams FO Ranking NFL Ranking
Packers Passing Offense 3 2
Dallas Passing Defense 7 21

Here is the big test for Dallas. The Packers are sending out five good to great receivers on every passing play and creating a matchup hell for the opposing defense. The defense can't blitz Favre because he's getting rid of the ball quickly and finding the open receiver.

Teams FO Ranking NFL Ranking
Dallas Passing Offense 2 5
Packers Passing Defense 13 18

The injuries are piling up in the secondary for the Packers and Dallas' pass offense is playing out of their minds. CB Al Harris vs. WR Terrell Owens will be a major part of this battle, but with S Aaron Rouse and S Nick Collins both potentially out for the game, there is no one to cover TE Jason Witten. The front four will have to put pressure on QB Tony Romo because he will probably find someone open on nearly every play.

Teams FO Ranking
Packers Special Teams 11
Dallas Special Teams 15

This will really come down to what WR Koren Robinson and CB Tramon Williams can do on kick returns. Dallas is nothing special on special teams, but if Robinson and Williams aren't making big return plays, the Packers' special teams aren't special either.

Despite the Packers great season so far, Dallas is playing even better and they've got the home field advantage. The depth and health of the Packers' secondary will be tested in this game with CB Charles Woodson probably out along with the Packers top 2 safeties. The Packers offense will be able to drive and score, but the Packers defense might struggle to get off the field. Dallas hasn't been held to under 20 points this season, but the defense will have to come up with a big play or two to create some scoring opportunities so the Packers can win 31 to 24.

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This game will simply come down to
Romo v Favre, who plays better.

Its fun to analyze the game unit by unit, but really, at the end of the day, that is what it will come down to.

by Terry on Nov 28, 2007 12:43 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

McCarthy said ...
Collins will probably start.  He also indicated that Chuck Woodson will be given every opportunity to play, and he's played in the past with a similar toe injury.  I don't think it sound like those two guys are potentially/probably out to me......

by Adam P on Nov 28, 2007 1:41 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

my understanding is that
Collins, KGB and Woodson will all play.

by Terry on Nov 28, 2007 2:40 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

no flags
I just hope the officials keep the hankies in their pockets. I have so many bad memories of Packer games in Dallas in the mid-90s where Michael Irvin could stick a shiv in a cornerback and the call would go against the Packers. And how can you ever forget what they did to John Jurkovic? I really, really hate the Cowboys.

Go Pack Go!

by butch on Nov 29, 2007 10:12 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

X & O's
The technical aspects of the matchups notwithstanding, I give this game to the Packers.

Favre has been re-born this season (what the hell got into him?), he's completely eliminated the foolish downfield throws, that many times went to the wrong team. Romo is not nearly as steady a performer, he will be the one who makes the mistakes tonight.

The Cowboy defense is overrated, Green Bay should move the football with relative ease. The GB defense plays tougher than its stats.

I see it Packers 24   Cowboys 20

And besides, I want to see a Patriots v Packers Superbowl, now that game will be fun to watch !

by TruePatsFan on Nov 29, 2007 10:47 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

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