Week 3: Cowboys (2-0) @ Packers (2-0).. Inside the Numbers!!
First let me introduce myself, my name is Matt and I currently live in Marshalltown, IA. I was born and lived 14 years in a small town in western Wisconsin, Trempealeau. For those that have never heard of that its about 30 mins north of La Crosse. I recently joined ABC for the same reason many have, to talk and share my thoughts about the Green Bay Packers!! Now on to the main reason I started this..
This weekends game against the Cowboys looks like as much fun on paper as i think it will be live. If no one minds each week I'll do my best (and if anyone wants to add there 2 cents please do) I'll break down our stats vs theres and see who could/should win based on that. We'll see how it goes for a few weeks and go from there. Give me some insite on what you do or don't like to make it better. And now to the stats:
Quarterbacks: Romo vs Rodgers. I think this is a big game for both QBs, Rodgers has never started this big of a game as a starter and Romo is still working on building is rep for winning big games in the regular season. I’d love to give the Pack the advantage in this position but the edge has to go to Romo, for now! I do believe that Rodgers will have his offense ready to go and having the home field crowd behind him shouldn’t hurt either. Looking at the numbers between Rodgers and Romo really both have had a good start to this young season. Both qbs are ranked in the top 10 in qb rating, completion percentage, tds, and yards per game. stats Advantage: Cowboys
Running Backs: Barber vs Grant/Jackson. The numbers don’t lie here, Barber has had the much more impressive start here. Grant has been playing with a bum leg and his 56.0 yard per game avg would attest to that. I added Jackson to the match up b/c together the numbers look better then by themselves. Jackson’s numbers for the season don’t look great (36.5 per game) but he did rush for 61 yds on 7 carries a week ago so he has some momentum going into this week. Barber has been good but not great for the Cowboys so far this year. His 3 TDs are tied for the NFL lead after 2 weeks while his 71.5 yards per game avg put him in top 20 in the NFL. (Funny side not, if you take a look at the leaders in yards per carry Kregg Lumpkin leads the league with a 19 per carry avg on one carry). stats Advantage: Toss Up (the numbers don’t lie here, both teams like the pass)
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends: TO, Witten, Crayton vs Jennings, Driver, Lee. For the sake of time I combined these together, but this is will be the part of the match up that will decide who wins. There is a ton of fire power for both teams and both teams enjoy using them. Greg Jennings leads the NFL in receiving yards while TO is tied for the league lead in TD’s. Both teams enjoy throwing the ball and the team that can keep the receivers grounded the best will win this game. As for the tight ends, Witten is coming off a Pro Bowl season and after two games he leads the league in yards, yards per game, and receptions. The one point to pay attention to is he is coming off a game where he separated his shoulder, while he intends to play this weekend it will be interesting to see how it alters his play on the field if at all. Lee’s numbers aren’t dazzling to look it but he does play with in a system that throws the ball a lot and lately not a lot of balls have been coming his way. Stats WR Advantage: Toss Up (call me a homer all you’d like but there is a lot of talent on both teams here)
I’d go more into the D for both teams but I think we can all agree that the offense is the more stat friendly part of this game. As for my feelings about this game, I truly believe that the Packers can come out on top of this game. I know people are saying that the Cowboys have an extra game of tape on Rodgers, have more weapons, and so on and so on, but the Packers by no means are lacking skill players. I think at the end of the day the Packers can hold the ball longer and keep the vaunted Cowboys off the field long enough to take them out of there game plan. Plus I’m not convinced that Witten is completely healthy so that could play a big roll. Finally: Go Packers 34-30
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Welcome Matt!
I would expect the game to go like you’ve said; a close, high scoring Packers win. That said, games never go as I expect. Still this is as good a projection as I could come up with. Great job.
by Brandon on
Sep 20, 2008 8:40 PM CDT
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Thanks Brandon..
I’ll try doing one of these every week, but I might post it a little prior to Sat night. I don’t think people are wrong with there assessment of the Cowboys Offense but I really think the Packers can play with them. And there has be a few point swing in favor of the Packers with it being a Lambeau. Go Packers!!
Your 2008 NL Central Champs: Chicago Cubs!!! Go Cubs Go
by mkcubs21 on
Sep 21, 2008 9:32 AM CDT
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I disagree on the RB's
I think that Barber/F.Jones/T.choice is far more talented than Grant/Jackson and whomever else the pack has. Its not even close Talentwise….Grant is a good back,but not on Barbers level.
You'll never get in a traffic jam,while going the extra mile. -Roger staubach
by TrueBlue24 on
Sep 21, 2008 1:01 PM CDT
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What makes you say that?
Barber has had 200 carries just once in his career. What makes you think that he can definitely carry the mail for the whole year? I’m not saying that he isn’t good but until either Barber or Grant has a history of stats that can prove one is better than the other its a pointless argument. And Felix Jones does look good but he has a whopping 12 carries so calm down.
At least Grant showed he could help carry a team to a win in the playoffs (200 yds+) something that just doesn’t happen in Dallas. They don’t win playoff games
Can't pitch Gagne in rain. He’s like the B-2 bomber of baseball.--TheJay
by verno329 on
Sep 21, 2008 2:13 PM CDT
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Too Funny
something that just doesn’t happen in Dallas. They don’t win playoff games
No we just win super bowls….HaHa Five of them!
Grant is a good back…..He lit us up last year
But I don’t see him as a pro-bowl Running back
which Barber is!
And the arguement as to whether Barber can hold up as a lead back…..HaHa
Give him a chance….We’ll find out this year!
You'll never get in a traffic jam,while going the extra mile. -Roger staubach
by TrueBlue24 on
Sep 21, 2008 2:30 PM CDT
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When was that last playoff win again?
By my count its been well over 4000 days since the Cowboys won a playoff game. Thats a LONG time. And please don’t pull out your “We’ve won 5 Super Bowls!” argument. I don’t want to have to pull out our 12 NFL titles. You don’t count anything before the 60’s? Ok then, we’ve got 6 NFL titles. The past is the past. What have you done recently?
I also didn’t say that Barber can’t hold up as a lead back all year. I merely pointed out that he hasn’t done it yet. If I can use your logic then Rodgers is a superstar even though he hasn’t proven it yet over time. HaHa!
Can't pitch Gagne in rain. He’s like the B-2 bomber of baseball.--TheJay
by verno329 on
Sep 21, 2008 2:56 PM CDT
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Rodgers hasn't
Made the pro-bowl yet……
We’ll see how the season goes as far as barber is concerned
You'll never get in a traffic jam,while going the extra mile. -Roger staubach
by TrueBlue24 on
Sep 21, 2008 3:29 PM CDT
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Romo sure gets a lot of credit nationally for a QB who has a history of not playing good in a big game. They lost the last three games of 2006 (including the playoff botched hold) and lost their showdown with the Patriots last year and choked big time at home in the playoffs (again). The only time I can think of Romo playing good in a big game was last year against the Pack. You have to do it more than one time to be an elite QB
Can't pitch Gagne in rain. He’s like the B-2 bomber of baseball.--TheJay
by verno329 on
Sep 21, 2008 2:18 PM CDT
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he hasnt play 2 seasons yet, but he has a "history" of not playing well in big games?
by slash on
Sep 22, 2008 2:29 AM CDT
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show me one he has played well in.
Can't pitch Gagne in rain. He’s like the B-2 bomber of baseball.--TheJay
by verno329 on
Sep 22, 2008 6:49 AM CDT
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This thread has gone 'Anchorman' on us.
I don’t know WHAT WE’RE YELLING ABOUT!!!!!!!!
"I'm so clean, cats think I sip Ajax."
by Mitchell_M on
Sep 21, 2008 6:58 PM CDT
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