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NFL Podcast - Warfare Wednesday

Damon D from BetUS.com had me and Gonzo of Daily Norseman on the NFL Daily Betting Podcast. He also interviewed KC Joyner from ESPN for some last minute fantasy tips.

Listen to the BetUS NFL Daily Betting Podcast here.

Not so much on the warfare. Gonzo and I are just too nice. My main point was that the Packers are currently giving 2 1/2, which is so close that the oddsmakers just have no idea who's going to win this game. Damon D said that the home team is always given a 3 point advantage, so it's basically an even bet.

I expect this to be an ugly game. The Packers had an ugly week 1 win last season vs. Philadelphia last season, and they were completely flat in a week 1 loss vs. Chicago in 2006. Mike McCarthy's teams don't start fast out of the gate. The Packers offensive line is dealing with injuries to C Scott Wells and RG Josh Sitton (which should be good news for Minnesota's DTs Pat and Kevin Williams), RB Ryan Grant didn't have a single carry in the preseason, and QB Tavaris Jackson hasn't played in a couple weeks since his knee injury. Plus Minnesota's offense under Brad Childress has not scored a single point at Lambeau in the last two games. They scored a TD in 2006, but that was on an INT return. Both teams will have trouble sustaining drives and scoring points.

Poll
Are The Packers Going To Win or Win Ugly?
Win
11 votes
Ugly, but any Win is a Good Win
24 votes

35 votes | Poll has closed

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"Plus Minnesota's offense under Brad Childress has not scored a single point at Lambeau in the last two games."

Oh man, that is music to my ears. Bryant McKinnie is an above average left tackle and thats about it, but its still a big deal when he’s out. I’m not expecting a Winston Justice-like performance out of Artis Hicks, but we need to find a way to exploit him big time. Is everyone here comfortable with Michael Montgomery and Cullen Jenkins getting alot of snaps at d-tackle in the heat of the opener, in lew of keeping one more true D-Tackle on the roster? That really only leaves Colin Cole to spell Ryan Pickett and Johnny Jolly on first and second downs.
We really need to find a way to exhaust Pat Williams during the game, and I would run plays away from his side and have his guard pull, but he identifies those plays and gets down the line way too quickly to consistently do that. I think after plays of ten yards or more we should hussle to the line of scrimmage and call the play at the line to keep him moving and prevent from catching his breath in the huddle. I have alot of respect for Pat Williams, he may be the best player on that defense.
We should also try and attack Cedric Griiffin as much as possible. He’s probably the biggest liability on the Vikings defense. Don’t forget that Madieu Williams is also out for the Vikings, so if we put some men in motion, we could find some one-on-one spots with his backup, which is to our advantage against any of our receivers. Also, we should run out of three and four wide sets to get EJ Henderson off the field.
We need to show some exotic coverages to Tarvaris Jackson, not much cover 2, he practices against that all day. I already know we’re going to blitz him alot, we’ve only been saying that all offseason, but that also means we are going to see Nick Collins play alot of Center field, acting as the last line of defense, not the most comforting thought. I know the D-Backs will be tempted to sneak peeks into the backfield, with alot of Adrian Peterson runs, but its imperative that they don’t. Minnesota’s best chance of a big play in the air will come off play action. Any receiver double moves against a cheating D-Back and its six for the bad guys. Oh, and Ryan Pickett also needs to be a monster out there.

Maybe in order to understand mankind, we have to look at the word itself: "Mankind". Basically, it's made up of two separate words—"mank" and "ind". What do these words mean? It's a mystery, and that's why so is mankind.
-Jack Handey

by jobe on Sep 4, 2008 12:35 AM CDT reply actions  

Tackles and Safeties

I’m not thrilled that Colin Cole is the backup defensive tackle. He gets shoved around a lot, but no one else they had in camp was any better. I’m not sure Pat Williams can be worn out. That guy is a rock. Losing Madieu Williams is a huge blow for Minnesota. They went out and signed that guy right at the start of free agency for top dollar because they were determined to improve their poor pass coverage, and now he’s out for a while. I don’t know if it makes a difference in this game, but psychologically it’s gotta hurt that one of the key moves you make in the offseason isn’t ready to play. I have no doubt defensive coordinator Bob Sanders is more than up to the challenge of frustrating Tarvaris Jackson.

by Brandon on Sep 6, 2008 12:12 AM CDT reply actions  

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