Comparing The Mock Drafts

by Brandon on Apr 9, 2009 11:30 PM CDT in Green Bay Packers Analysis

It's good that the team hasn't sprung any leaks, but the odds of getting it right, and guessing correctly which player the Packers are going to select in the 1st round, is about the same as guessing which 12 through 16 seed is going to make it into the Sweet 16. Here are some of the most recent guesses:

As Mitchell pointed out, ESPN's Mel Kiper says it's NT B.J. Raji.

I picked Florida State DE/OLB Everette Brown.

The five drafts at NFL Draft Scout have five different players; Ohio State RB Beanie Wells, Texas DE Brian Orakpo, LSU DE Tyson Jackson, Penn State OLB Aaron Maybin, and Brown.

SI.com's Don Banks says it's Maybin.

NFL.com's Mike Mayock says Mississippi OT Michael Oher.

NFL.com's Charles Davis says Ohio State CB Michael Jenkins.

So Brown and Maybin have multiple mentions. NFL Draft Scout, Don Banks, and I expect they will add an outside pass rusher, but it could be any one of four different guys.

Pretty typical for GM Ted Thompson. Everyone expected he would select LB A.J. Hawk in 2006, but I doubt a single mock draft correctly guessed his choice in his other three drafts.

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Packer Pick

If both Raji and Orakfo are off the board – expect Thompson to TRADE DOWN and end with five picks in first three rounds
First pick – Defensive END
Second pick – NOSE TACKLE
Followed by a linebacker/offensive tackle and a speedy running back(especially if can return punts and kickoffs)

by jayh on Apr 10, 2009 2:54 AM CDT reply actions

trade

So w/ BOTH Raji and Orakpo available, THompson trades down and gets neither?! That makes about as much sense as taking Brace w/ the #1 pick overall… Don’t be an idiot hater, the truth is that almost every time Thompson has traded down he has gotten the better end of the value chart… And the truth is that Thompson’s drafts as compared to the rest of that particular draft he has done extremely well!!!

READ!!!

http://www.packerchatters.com/op-ed/view.php?id=6308

by Strohman on Apr 10, 2009 5:20 AM CDT up reply actions

"If both Raji and Orakfo are off the board"

means that they would NOT be available.

And no spamming. If you insist on linking something, at least preface it with something.

"I'm so clean, cats think I sip Ajax."

by Mitchell Maurer on Apr 10, 2009 8:47 AM CDT up reply actions

BeLOW ME!!!

Its NOT spamming and I DID preface it… The truth is that Thompson’s draft have been extremely good comparatively speaking!!!

by Strohman on Apr 10, 2009 12:53 PM CDT up reply actions

Thompson's drafts have been extremely good in comparison

The only knock on the Packers Chatters article Strohman linked above, which is very good by the way, is that the author doesn’t go deep enough. He looks at how many good players Thompson has found in the draft since 2006, but doesn’t compare that to the rest of the league which Mocking The Draft did here. The Packers top 12 picks in the last three drafts (i.e. everyone drafted before the 4th round) have played in 73% of the games, which blows nearly every other NFL team away.

Comparing the selection of Rodgers in 2005 vs. the top 10 players taken that year is just embarrassing. That 2005 draft was just awful. 2006 isn’t much better, only DE Mario Williams is a star, and a few players in that top 10 are on the verge of bustdom with a couple of o.k. players thrown in.

by Brandon on Apr 11, 2009 10:54 PM CDT up reply actions

if they are off the board, it means they were already taken and are not available. a trade down is likely, but i hope it’s not just a lot of late round draft picks (players that cant contribute right away). I’d say OT is priority #1. we need our offense to be just as productive as last year if not better. NT is priority #2. OLB is priority #3.

by Jabooty on Apr 10, 2009 9:59 AM CDT reply actions

I don’t think NT is priority #2. The only guy in the draft that can be considered an upgrade over Pickett is Raji. I would rank it OT #1, OLB #2, DE #3

by juggernaut400 on Apr 10, 2009 2:25 PM CDT up reply actions

Ron Brace baby

Hopefully he’s there round 2.

I just sit back and root for the taser
I'm on Twitter now. www.twitter.com/Enrico_Palazzo_

by Hyatt on Apr 14, 2009 4:58 PM CDT up reply actions

i agree that this is not a deep NT/DT position in the upcoming draft, but Picket will get pushed around. he is incombent and lazy at times. perhaps waiting another year for a NT may have to be the case, but i don’t know how many 330+ guys are available in the draft. there may be someone of that size with energy that could be available in the later rounds of the draft.

by Jabooty on Apr 10, 2009 2:51 PM CDT reply actions