Analysis: How The Chicago Bears Look Coming Into Week 1
I'm at a major disadvantage here because I didn't watch the Chicago Bears at all this preseason. I'm sure there are many Bears fans reading the site this week (Welcome!) so feel free to correct all my errors and omissions in the comments. Usually the preseason isn't very telling, but on the eve of the QB Jay Cutler era, it would've been nice to have gotten a sneak peak. Mitchell already looked at the matchups. I'm really trying to get a good look at the Bears.
A Tale of Two Pass Rushes. One thing the Bears and Packers had in common last season, that neither team wants to repeat again in 2009, is their inability to sack the quarterback. In 2008, Chicago had 28 sacks as a team and the Packers had 27. To address the problem, the Packers made major changes by hiring Dom Capers as defensive coordinator and converting to a 3-4 defense. On the other hand, Chicago didn't rock the boat. Lovie Smith will now call the defensive plays and defensive coordinator Bob Babich will focus on coaching the linebackers. The big addition in personnel was drafting DE/DT Jarron Gilbert in the 3rd round to provide an inside pass rush. They also drafted DE Henry Melton in the 4th round, but his season ended when he was placed on I.R. The bigger problem might be the ongoing injury problems to Pro Bowl DT Tommie Harris, who was playing on one leg in early August, and everyone is just expecting he'll be out with injuries at some point this season. Will the addition of Gilbert, and the return of Smith to the defensive play calling, be enough to improve their pass rush?
If the pass rush doesn't get to QB Aaron Rodgers, then he could be looking at a cast of unknowns in Chicago's secondary. It's all about injuries, injuries, injuries, as the Bears have been without three starters (CB Charles Tillman, CB Zack Bowman, and FS Daniel Manning) for most of the preseason. When the Bears depth chart was announced, and it showed CB Trumaine McBride, CB Nathan Vasher, and FS Al Afalava in the starting lineup, it seemed the general consensus in the comments was horror. Bowman was finally healthy last week at Cleveland. According to Kevin Seifert, Bowman should get his first career start, while Manning should play in the nickel.
Chicago was very good at stopping the run last season, and LB Lance Briggs and LB Brian Urlacher should lead a very good unit again in 2009. Although losing DT Dusty Dvoracek for the season with a torn ACL won't help their depth. But even great units have their bad days. RB Ryan Grant had his best game last season (145 yards and 1 TD) against Chicago at Lambeau.
How about the offense? After four paragraphs, you'd think I'd have something to say about the offense. GM Jerry Angelo has done everything he can to turn the offense around in one season. Cutler was a great QB in Denver, and he should still be great. To make sure Cutler starts all 16 games, they added three offensive lineman in free agency. LT Orlando Pace has made it through all of training camp without an injury and he'll start alongside returning LG Roberto Garza and C Olin Kreutz. RG Frank Omiyale was signed as a free agent from the Panthers, and former 1st round OL Chris Williams is at RT. WR Devin Hester and TE Greg Olson have never been great receivers, but Cutler could make them great. Every fantasy draft is expecting a break out season for RB Matt Forte. This should be the best offense the Bears have seen in many seasons, but it still has to prove it on the field.
In Chicago, the offense should be much better. But injuries are threatening to tear the defense apart. Will this season be a case of one step forward (on offense) and one step back (on defense) for the Bears?
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Good post
Olsen is a great target for them though. He has been steadily progressing and looks to be one of the better TEs in the league this year, especially with the addition of Cutler. Does anyone know what Raji’s status for Sunday is? I’ve been trying to find it all morning and have had no luck.
Raji is out on Sunday
http://twitter.com/Greg_A_Bedard/status/3868614397
People should remember that while they have the right to their opinion, they are not entitled to be taken seriously. -- Bruce Bartlett
good post
Chicago’s DL depth might be a problem for this game. Along with Dvoracek being out, Israel Idonije is questionable with a hammy.
The addition of Pisa Tinoisamoa improves their run defense.
Olsen may lead the team in receiving, but what happens if the defense can neutralize or take him out of the equation? Cutler used Desmond Clark a few times vs. Denver, but would that be enough?
I think one of the biggest questions is what Earl Bennett will give them. Great, he and Cutler have a connection from college, but Bennett layed a goose egg last year because he didn’t know the plays. Hester isn’t the most mentally gifted person either. Green Bay’s DBs Will Get The INTs if they run a bad route.
Bennett
but Bennett layed a goose egg last year because he didn’t know the plays.
FYI- for whatever reason the coaching staff inexplicably made him learn all three WR positions before seeing the field. This year they’re having Iglesias and Knox just learning one of them; I guess they learned their lesson.
"A fanatic is one who can't change his mind and won't change the subject." -Sir Winston Churchill
That WCG thread is pretty funny
To read it, you think that Olsen and Clark will rack up 250 receiving yards and 7 TDs between them in this game
People should remember that while they have the right to their opinion, they are not entitled to be taken seriously. -- Bruce Bartlett
I think the reason
is that the Pack doesn’t really know who can be effective defending good TEs in the new 3-4. Do you guys know if they plan on bringing a safety/nickel to guard Olsen when he’s split out wide?
"A fanatic is one who can't change his mind and won't change the subject." -Sir Winston Churchill
Brandon Chillar
He was brought here in part because he can shut down a TE like Desmond Clark. Maybe not Greg Olsen (the better athlete), but Chillar can neutralize most above-average/good TEs.
As far as Olsen goes? Put Barnett/Matthews on him or near him in a zone and hope for the best. He’s no Antonio Gates, but he’s a mismatch nonetheless.
"Brandon Jennings needs a nickname before he gives himself one. Oh wait, Young Money, he already did."
by Mitchell Maurer on Sep 9, 2009 5:05 PM CDT up reply actions
Gotcha
I don’t think it would be conducive to guard Olsen with any LB, especially when he’s split out wide, but we’ll certainly see come Sunday.
"A fanatic is one who can't change his mind and won't change the subject." -Sir Winston Churchill
We're talking about...
… a Dom Capers coached defense that has lined up against a huge target/playmaker in Finley all preseason. My guess is that they have a plan in place for the Bears tight ends.
by ThirdStringSafety on Sep 9, 2009 6:47 PM CDT up reply actions
CBs
I think Tillman will play, cause he’s known to be somewhat a “warrior” when it comes to playing with pain. Also, Graham might see the field as the nickel if Lovie deems it necessary to put Manning at FS.
"A fanatic is one who can't change his mind and won't change the subject." -Sir Winston Churchill
Rod Marinelli...
…is one name not yet mentioned. All the D-linemen say he’s just an incredible coach so far.
I felt the Bears D-Line underperformed over the last 1-2 seasons, though injuries were a major problem. There’s no reason that a line with Alex Brown, Ogunleye, Tommie Harris (when healthy), Anthony Adams, Mark Anderson, Israel Idonije, and rookie talent can’t get to the QB, especially with such a talented and veteran LB corps behind them.
When the Bears are on offense, I’ll be interested to see how often they go no-huddle. There was a good Football Outsiders article recently about how many different ‘looks’ Ron Turner can give with just his base 2-TE personnel because of the talents of Olsen and Forte. With Hester-Bennett, Olsen-Clark, and Forte – they can split both Olsen and Forte out to WR positions creating difficult matchups if the defense can’t substitute. And Olsen can even go into the backfield as a FB.
The Bears have been practicing (playing) against 3-4 defenses the past few weeks, and must prepare for two more to start the season. Given that, I wouldn’t be surprised to see them try to take advantage of the Packers’ first game with Capers’ 3-4 by going no-huddle on certain series.
I’m really worried about the Packers’ offense. Rodgers has been en fuego this season.
by BullsFanInSeattle on Sep 10, 2009 5:28 AM CDT reply actions
Cutler vs Rodgers
Rodgers or Cutler?
09 stats will Bear this out:
12 is 2 times 6
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