Packers' Free Agent Breakdown
With the debacle in Arizona now a few days behind us, we can start looking towards the 2010 season. Specifically, the makeup of the Packers' roster could very well be drastically different, depending on how Ted Thompson addresses the free agents-to-be that played for the Packers in 2009.
Below you will find the list of the potential free agents the Packers will have the opportunity to re-sign from this year's team, and what their status would be both in capped or uncapped years (I borrowed this list from JSOnline). Roger Goodell seems to think that since the uncapped year is already written into the last Collective Bargaining Agreement, play should remain strong and competitive. My hunch is that a number of free agents will wait as long as possible before signing a contract in case a new CBA is ratified, and that most teams will try to avoid giving long-term contracts to many players who are in a transitional phase between restricted and unrestricted free agency.
On to the players. I have listed them in the order that I think Ted Thompson should have them prioritized.
MUST RE-SIGN IMMEDIATELY!!!
1. S Nick Collins (restricted without cap, unrestricted with cap)
His injury in the early part of the season showed what an asset he is to the secondary. Having Collins in the lineup allowed Dom Capers to utilize his linebackers more effectively and creatively, both rushing the passer and in coverage. Without him, the defense became much more reliant on the pass rush of the defensive line while the linebackers were used more in simple coverages to hide the deficiencies of players like Aaron Rouse and Derrick Martin. I would like to see a long-term contract offered to Collins regardless of the CBA situation.
Key players to focus on
2. DT Ryan Pickett (unrestricted)
With B.J. Raji now playing nose tackle, Ted seems to have found his heir for Pickett. However, depth on the defensive line is always crucial, and Pickett proved this year that he still has plenty left in the tank. He takes up multiple blockers on every play, doing exactly the job he's supposed to.
3. LB Aaron Kampman (unrestricted)
If we were still running a 4-3 and Kampman were still playing end, he would obviously be at the top of this list. However, given his struggles in adapting to OLB and the emergence of Clay Matthews, losing Kampman to free agency would not be a killer blow to the defense. The locker room may be a different story. While Charles Woodson seems to have taken over as the leader of the defense, I believe Kampman still is a positive influence and great leader.
4. CB Tramon Williams (exclusive rights without cap, restricted with cap)
Even before his injury, Al Harris was having less of an impact in the Packers' defense because of the change in coverage schemes. While Williams still needs to work on his technique (see Ravens, Baltimore), he seems to be better suited to this zone scheme than Harris, and I think he might even start ahead of Harris next year if he's back.
The next tier
5. C/G Jason Spitz (restricted without cap, unrestricted with cap)
Mike McCarthy was high on Spitz in the preseason, when he graded him as the best lineman at the time (I think that's how I remember it, just couldn't find the article in the archives). I would personally like to see Spitz move back out to guard, Wells remain at center, and Daryn Colledge gone.
6. S Atari Bigby (restricted without cap, unrestricted with cap)
Bigby hits people. That is his biggest strength, and his biggest weakness. He's not outstanding in coverage (though he's less of a liability than Derrick Martin), and he has had some tackling issues, but he is capable of game-changing plays. I refer to the snowy 2007 divisional playoff game against Seattle for reference. While I'm not as impressed with his overall play as the maker of that video, it is his big-play ability that makes him valuable.
7. DE Johnny Jolly (restricted without cap, unrestricted with cap)
Jolly reminds me of Bigby, just taller and fatter. He's capable of big plays, but otherwise isn't really an imposing force on every play. I expect Thompson to wait a while in case there is any progress in his legal case before Ted considers giving him a multi-year contract.
8. OT Mark Tauscher (unrestricted)
The homegrown Wisconsin product's comeback was one of the team's feel-good stories of the year. If he's still got another season left in the tank, I'd like to see him back to fight for a starting job in camp. My best-case scenario on the line is to see Clifton let go, Tauscher back, a first- or second-round pick taken on a left tackle, and a wide-open competition for both tackle spots.
Others to consider
CB Will Blackmon, RBs Ahman Green and DeShawn Wynn, FB John Kuhn, and S Derrick Martin
Don't touch them with a 39-1/2 foot pole
OT Chad Clifton (unrestricted)
My guess is that Clifton is done. His legs seem ready to finally give out at any minute.
G Daryn Colledge (restricted without cap, unrestricted with cap)
Frankly, I don't really want to see Colledge back either, as I mentioned above.
What do you think? Would you have ordered these guys differently?
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agreed
i would have bigby higher and hope that dealing with kampman is only to trade him, but otherwise bang on!
I’m not sold on Bigby yet. I guess it depends on the kind price that he comes at. We might be able to do better than him
we would still want to keep him
for depth
2010 White Sox - Benching our way to the playoffs.
by blackoutsox on Jan 17, 2010 10:35 PM CST up reply actions
The Top 4 return plus Bigby
After that I wouldn’t be surprised if any were resigned or let go. They can’t let Pickett and Jolly go, but maybe one of them could leave. Not that I’m a huge fan of Bigby, but there just is no depth behind him. Safety is a top priority to either push Bigby or provide depth. If Tauscher and Clifton want to play next season, I expect both will return in 2010. They also can’t let all four o-lineman leave (Spitz, Colledge, Tauscher, and Clifton).
I’ll be surprised if Kampman leaves. I wouldn’t expect him to be healthy for the start of the season. They’ll probably ease him back in like Barnett in 2009. But the team seems to appreciate him as a pass rusher. His sack totals were down, but he was still getting to the QB. They won’t be able to find a pass rusher in free agency as good as him, and they can’t guarantee they’ll find one in the 2010 draft either. It will be a tricky negotiation with everything involved (new position, injury, age). Maybe it will have few guarantees, but a big base salary that will make him well paid if the team wants to keep him (which would be similar to what they did with Charles Woodson in 2006).
I think while Colledge isn’t the best, he would still be better to keep around even if as a backup (rather than Allen Barbre perhaps) and I think Kuhn or Quinn Johnson needs to go
Good things come to those who wait - except the Lions and Browns
by IdahoPackerBacker on Jan 17, 2010 7:19 PM CST reply actions
hahahaha
no
2010 White Sox - Benching our way to the playoffs.
by blackoutsox on Jan 17, 2010 10:36 PM CST up reply actions
Definitely not Quinn Johnson. He played great for the most part when he had his opportunities.
by packallday555 on Jan 18, 2010 12:23 PM CST up reply actions
Thanks for the new Packer news!
You’d think Tauscher would have to be finished by now, but he just isn’t. The guy goes in there and does his job on practically every play. Plus, it really takes two years for an ACL to completely heal. I say keeping him around is a no-brainer. Clifton can be let go, though, for the just the reasons you said. When healthy, he’s still got it, but you can say that about every veteran who needs to retire. The only reason to keep trying with Barbre would be if he can switch to guard. You hate to give up on a guy, but he was a turnstile at tackle. I don’t hate College as much as you guys seem to (he’s only bad when the rest of the line is also bad), but maybe Barbre for his spot would be something worth exploring.
It’s really too bad about Kampman. He’s the best as a person. But I don’t see him fitting into what the team’s doing in the future. He might – might! – with a lot of work, be an average-to-good OLB. But he’s a probowl 4-3 DE. So, for his sake if nothing else, the team’s gotta’ trade him or just let him walk. Pickett we keep. Jolly we should negotiate with only after the legal stuff sorts out (the possible suspension is a big variable of his own creation).
Everybody else’s negotiations should be left till after the draft to see how any new personel might fit into the scene. Tramon might eventually turn into a decent corner (corners are like wine, you’ve got to let them mature), but nobody else in this group really jumps out at you. (it’d be fun to keep Ahman around, but only if it works out. You don’t plan around him.)
Collins, obviously, you sign yesterday. A team NEEDS at least one solid safety, and Collins is that. Remember Marquand Manuel? (shudder) And, speaking of suspect safeties, does anybody else shake their head every time Chuck Cecil (now Titans DC) is mentioned? He made his living spearing people before the rules on that tightened, and couldn’t cover himself if he was lying in bed! Didn’t we have him AND Mark Murphy at the same time? Two slow, white safeties… So, yeah… sign Nick Collins! That’s the lesson here.
Oh, and Quinn Johnson is the next Lorenzo Neal. Keep him.
I think we're on the same page on everything...
except maybe Colledge. He’s not a priority either way, IMO. I agree, I’d like to see how the draft shakes out before really pushing for deals with any of the lower-tier guys. And while Kuhn is fun to say, I agree that Quinn will be a beast now that he has a year under his belt.
"Career highlights? I had two. I got an intentional walk from Sandy Koufax and I got out of a rundown against the Mets." - Bob Uecker
Kampman
Let him go or sign and trade him. He doesn’t fit in the 3-4 and i thought brad jones showed flashes as a decent rusher on the other side of matthews. Also Kampman will want more money than he is worth to the packers at this point.
by nmate187 on Jan 18, 2010 1:12 PM CST reply actions 1 recs
I'm not sold on Brad Jones being a starter
He’s a quality backup, but that’s it. I think we need a pure bull rushing pass rusher on the other side of Matthews. Matthews can’t be our primary pass rusher because the only move he can do is a Speed Rush. Now, he is very good at it, but that very own move can work against him. He can’t bull rush simply because he’s not big and strong enough to do it. Kampman would be better on the other side if resigned, but I’d prefer someone a little quicker than Kampman. Shawne Merriman is a Free Agent, so he might be an option.
One thing I noticed against AZ in the playoffs is this: when both Matthews and Jones blitzed, they were forced to blitz way to high because the OT’s were expecting the speed rush. That allowed Warner to step up with no pressure in his face. Lets say you have a guy like Kampmann or a different bull rushing OLB in Jones’ position against AZ, that means Warner doesn’t have the ability to step up in the pocket. He would be forced to: A) throw it sooner than he would prefer to or B) run outside of the pocket with Clay Matthews chasing him from behind.
We need a bull rusher, someone big, athletic, yet quick. Not fast, but quick. James Harrison, Demarcus Ware, Elvis Dumervil, and Shawn Merriman are all examples of that kind of OLB. If we can avoid relying on Clay Matthews so often as our pass rusher, than we can utilize his versatility a lot better.
Go Pack!
Kampman
Kampman is a great player! but not for the 3-4. Need to trade him. M aybe to St. Louis for the rights to draft Ndamikong Suh. A proven all-pro for an untested rookie isn’t a bad deal for the Rams
No possible way that happens.
No offense, but I don’t think you understand what you need to give up to get the first overall pick.
"Career highlights? I had two. I got an intentional walk from Sandy Koufax and I got out of a rundown against the Mets." - Bob Uecker
Haha yeah, I was going to say that too! We would probably have to give up another solid player, along with a couple 1st round draft picks. Maybe even more when you consider that Suh is the DT prospect in a long, long time.
by packallday555 on Jan 19, 2010 12:06 AM CST up reply actions
Seriously…not even close. Though its pretty crazy to think of how overvalued those top picks are. You could have gotten a top notch, proven defensive stallworth in Seymour for one first…OR you could take a risk on an unproven player and give up a couple firsts. What a messed up system!
Yeah, they really need to address all the guarenteed money all the high 1st round picks get. I think JaMarcus Russell is under a contract that pays him like $60 million! That’s a shame.
by packallday555 on Jan 19, 2010 12:59 PM CST up reply actions
No Merriman
Everybody keeps talking about Merriman as a good player. I don’t get it. He hasn’t been good since he got suspended for HGH. That was, like, 3 years ago. Since then he’s been consistently mediocre and usually hurt. Hmm, let’s see… what could help a guy overcome those limitations? Oh yeah… HGH. Why people can’t connect the dots there is a mystery to me. Hype dies hard, I guess.

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