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How Did We Get Here?

With the New Year no longer so new, many people have given up looking back at 2009 and taking inventory on what happened.  But we can't do that with football, at least not on January 1st.  The NFL season doesn't really line up with the Julian calendar in terms of chronology; the year is split between in-season and off-season.  They're almost like two seperate years by themselves.  However, it's impossible to look back upon one until the other has finished.  After all, if we judged offseasons immediately, every team would win the Super Bowl.

That said, the Packers' wins over Seattle and Arizona (which resembled more of a demolition, really) serves as a waypoint in the 2009 season that lets us take stock of the 2008 offseason.  The preliminary results of 2009 (11 wins, a 5-seed, top-10 offense, top-5 defense) are already in the books, but how did we get here?  We start, oddly enough, last January with Green Bay starting the 2008 offseason in January, after a disappointing 6-10 season that was underwhelming at best, horrendous at worst.

 

Star-divide


The 2008 season

Coming off a 13-3 finish in 2007, big things were projected for Green Bay despite the defection departure of the team's biggest star.  Any post-season hopes were derailed by two things: injuries and an inability to win close games.  How bad were the injuries?  The seasons of Nick Barnett, Atari Bigby, Cullen Jenkins, Chad Clifton, and Mark Tauscher were all ended prematurely.  How bad were the close games?  An 0-7 record in games decided by 4 or fewer points despite scoring 5 more touchdowns and 2 more field goals than opponents and a +7 turnover differential.

The January Purge


Allowing game-winning scores left and right and boasting a bottom-rung ranking against the run forced the team to sacrifice someone.  As it turns out, there were several someones, as defensive coordinator Bob Sanders and 5 of his assistants were released on January 5th.

Out with the old, in with the new

After lengthy courtships with Mike Nolan, Gregg Williams, and Jim Haslett, Green Bay settled on Dom Capers as their new defensive coordinator.  But that wasn't the lone addition that made the 2009 defense what it is today: bringing in Mike Trgovac and Kevin Greene were arguably more important in that they helped the development of players like Johnny Jolly, Clay Matthews, and Brad Jones.

Installing the 3-4

This could fall under the previous point, but it's important enough to stand on its own.  There was much hand-wringing and gnashing-of-teeth about the switch around these parts, mainly because Green Bay didn't have the personnel for such a change.  The line was built for a four-man front, the linebackers did not have the skills for a 3-4, and taking the secondary away from the successful bump-and-run scheme seemed counterproductive.  But, the man installing the 3-4 (Capers) and his men (Trgovac, Winston Moss, Greene) are the best in the business, which gave us some hope for quick results.

So long, Mark Tauscher

It turned out to be a relatively short hiatus, but Tauscher looked like he was done at this point.  After all, the team could surely find a replacement for an aging tackle with knee issues...right?

Switching positions

The defensive scheme change forced many players out of their old spots and into new ones.  Ryan Pickett was moved from 4-3 DT to nose tackle, Cullen Jenkins was moved outside to 3-4 DE, A.J. Hawk was moved inside with Nick Barnett, but most notably was the switch to OLB by Aaron Kampman.  The highly-successful 4-3 DE was expected to turn himself into a pass-rushing linebacker, and his switch was widely regarded as the lynchpin of the defensive shift.  Needless to say, when offseason comments were noticably vague, people worried about whether or not Kampman was on board with the change.

The Great Loss of Colin Cole

This really wasn't that important, I just wanted to revisit the insanity that is Cole's $21 million contract for the Seahawks.  It does speak to the ability of Ted Thompson to keep the roster intact instead of blowing the team up following a disappointing year.  It's refreshing to see a GM show faith in the team he assembled instead of panicking to appease the unruly public.  After all, if Colin Cole is your team's biggest FA loss, you're doing something right.

New kids on the block

Ah, the April NFL Draft.  Where else can you see tortured Jets fans, annoyingly boistrous Cowboy fans, and absolutely dumbfounded Raider fans?  Besides all that, this is the place to see what was widely regarded as the most successful draft for 2009.  For all the uncertainty behind the 3-4 defense, those concerns were alleviated when B.J. Raji, Clay Matthews, and (later in the season) Brad Jones were all brought in.  Finding T.J. Lang and Quinn Johnson were added bonuses, even if we never understood carrying 3 fullbacks on the roster.

Contract extensions

Among the resigned in the offseason was star WR Greg Jennings, who earned a 3-year addition to his contract that both gave him a deserved payday and the chance at another major deal while he's still in his prime.  Jennings' 2009 season may have seemed more inconsistent than we're used to, but he still put up 68 catches for 1113 yards.

Quietly improving upon 2008

Ryan Grant's 2008 season was forgettable to say the least.  His offseason was equally forgettable, and people were concerned that Grant didn't have the makings of a feature NFL back.  Even his 2009 campaign wasn't very high-profile, but he still posted 282 carries for 1253 yards, a 4.4 ypc average, and 11 touchdowns.  It's not Chris Johnson, but it's good enough for me.

Relax, it's only preseason

After the offseason, Green Bay began their other year by playing the NFL-mandated exhibition games.  The Packers lit the world on fire with a 3-1 record and looking invincible in the first half when their starters were in. 

A middling start

After the preseason, Green Bay was the chic pick for postseason contention.  After the first 8 weeks, they were 4-4 and had lost to Minnesota, Cincinnati, Minnesota again, and Tampa Bay.  They had shown poor playcalling, spotty pass defense, and an inability to protect the quarterback that completely scuttled any success the offense or defense was having.  Nobody believed this team could turn it around.

An inspired finish

But they did turn it around, going 7-1 to close out the year and clinch a postseason berth.  Here's a snapshot of some of the 2009 statistics and where Green Bay ranks:

  • Points/game: 28.8, third
  • Yards/game: 379.1, sixth
  • Third down %: 47%, third
  • Points allowed/game: 18.6, seventh
  • Yards allowed/game: 284.4, second
  • Third down % against: 36%, ninth
  • Turnover differential: +24, first
  • Time of possession/game: 33:03, second

These rankings don't even include the fine performances put forth by Aaron Rodgers, Charles Woodson, and the rest of Green Bay's playmakers.  So what do you think?  How did we get to where we are now?  And more importantly, where are we going?

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Fun recap

Very cool little article, its fun to see where we’ve come from! Just think of all the drama we’ve seen in here…we’ve come a long ways since the time we were 4-4 and the boards were crazy with hatred and dissension.

congrats on a great season GB…thanks for the fun times, lets keep it going with a few playoff wins!

by TrevorR on Jan 4, 2010 9:09 AM CST reply actions  

Pretty regular reader,

but I don’t post very often. While it would be nice if Green Bay wins this weekend, I don’t think that there is any other way to define this season as a success. Like MItchell said, this is pretty much the same roster that imploded late in games last year, playing an entirely new defense. A ton of credit has to to go to Capers and his position coaches for getting these guys to learn a new language.

by TarHeelHawk on Jan 4, 2010 9:17 AM CST reply actions  

Good analysis

but for this: “Where else can you see tortured Jets fans, annoyingly boistrous Cowboy fans, and absolutely dumbfounded Raider fans?”

um… every Sunday, wherever they’re watching a game?

by BarryH on Jan 4, 2010 10:20 AM CST reply actions  

Fair point.

"Brandon Jennings needs a nickname before he gives himself one. Oh wait, Young Money, he already did."

by Mitchell Maurer on Jan 4, 2010 10:34 AM CST up reply actions  

A few concentration lapses cost us the number one seed in NFC

Even if we concede that the Vikings beat us handily (although I have some reservations about the first game when we went to their redzone a few times and came away with nothing), this team could have easily been the number one seed in NFC if not for a few defensive/ST lapses that cost us the Tampa and Pittsburgh games. Anyway, the way this team is playing right now offensively and defensively, it should not fear anyone in NFC regardless of whether they play home or away. Looks like we’re gonna have to wait to get a third crack at the Vikings since I don’t see the Eagles figuring out the Boys this season. Dallas finally gets the monkey off their backs and wins the first playoff game since Emmit was calling the shots. It’s a new decade…

Ravens over Pats
Cincy over Jets

Cowboys over Eagles
Packers over Cards

by Rodgers_for_MVP on Jan 4, 2010 10:42 AM CST reply actions  

Quick counterpoint

The Eagles have never lost their first game in the playoffs under Andy Reid. The Cowboys have never won a postseason game under Wade Phillips.

"Who ever heard of the Cubs losing a game they had to have?" -Frank Chance
"If [Ruth] had [called his shot], I would have knocked him down with the next pitch." -Charlie Root

by Clutch16 on Jan 4, 2010 6:40 PM CST up reply actions  

I still think the Cowboys are going to win though. The Eagles couldn’t do ANYTHING against the Cowboys, and the Cowboys pretty much had their way with them. That pass rush on Dallas is scary, and with some of those fast guys in their secondary that’s a scary combination.

by packallday555 on Jan 5, 2010 2:38 AM CST up reply actions  

I am with you…its hard for me to imagine how the Eagles somehow show up big this week after Dallas completely shut them down. BUT its a crazy league so you never know! If I were a betting man, there is no way I could put my money on the Eagles though.

by TrevorR on Jan 5, 2010 8:44 AM CST up reply actions  

I also would like to see the Cowboys knock the Vikes out in their first game. Going 1 and out again this year would be so devestating to them haha. I can only imagine what some of the guys in the Tribune would be saying.

by packallday555 on Jan 5, 2010 1:57 PM CST up reply actions  

Rhino package

“Finding T.J. Lang and Quinn Johnson were added bonuses, even if we never understood carrying 3 fullbacks on the roster.”

The “Rhino” package or “falcon” personnel group requires 2 full backs. It is 2 FB and a RB in the backfield. It is a power package. I like it better than a wildcat because you keep your good QB in there so there is more options. 3 FB probably helps on special teams too.

by GBfan73 on Jan 4, 2010 11:19 AM CST reply actions  

True…though it didn’t in this case (regarding ST). I guess I don’t like to sacrifice at key positions JUST for special teams. How often do we use the Rhino package and couldn’t we sub in a HB if there was an injury problem or something??

by TrevorR on Jan 4, 2010 1:17 PM CST up reply actions  

well

IDK, at least a dozen times this year. Most recent use was in the seattle game. Hall and Johnson I think have improved special teams ( as sorry as that sounds). As far as subsituting goes…with the speed of todays 240lb LB’s I think a HB would get blown up in that set. But again Trev ,I’m only guessing at why they kept 3.It looks something like this :

       @ @@@@@ @
                                  @
                        @ @
                                  
                                @

by GBfan73 on Jan 4, 2010 2:13 PM CST up reply actions  

@ @@@@@ @
                     @
              @ @
                     @

by GBfan73 on Jan 4, 2010 2:15 PM CST up reply actions  

I like the way McCarthy has kept the pedal to the metal.

The regular season is to the post season as the preseason is to the regular season. Take note of the Cards and their quiet confidence.
Both the Cowboys and the Vikes have the best all-around talent to take it all the way. At the same time, they lack in important coaching leadership. Any good and well-coached team can knock them off their murcurial mountain of sand. Favre is one player who might make up for the lack of strength of coaching. Hopefully he gets beat down during the playoffs.
If the Pack can adequately defend and win in Arizona, they will officially be ready to play and win against anyone anywhere.

by docg on Jan 4, 2010 11:24 AM CST reply actions  

Experience and Youth

Your article hits are the major points while resulting in a young team with experience with the likes of Woodson, Barnett, Clifton, Tauscher, etc. Now if we can get some playoff experience, this team is ready for a long ride.

by numby on Jan 4, 2010 12:33 PM CST reply actions  

its a young team...

BUT many of them were there for our run to the NFC Championship so its not like they are all without experience. Obviously Matthews, Raji, and Jones are all too new to experience it. But much of our core was there and playing: Woodson, Barnett, Hawk, Collins, bigby (bench), Rodgers (bench), Grant, Jennings, Driver, Pickett, etc

by TrevorR on Jan 4, 2010 1:25 PM CST up reply actions  

Wasn't Bigby playing in the NFC Title game?

I seem to remember him going beast mode on Seattle a week earlier. Or am I confused?

A Proud Penguin fan since 1997.
Happily supporting the Stanley Cup Champions 12 years later.

by Gravity on Jan 4, 2010 3:23 PM CST up reply actions  

yes

He had some huge hits against Seattle.

by shaftr on Jan 4, 2010 3:37 PM CST up reply actions  

Yeah you are probably right…I couldn’t remember so I put bench so I wouldn’t get flamed by someone trying to argue with me! haha

by TrevorR on Jan 4, 2010 4:00 PM CST up reply actions  

"Beast mode" is an understatement.

He leveled Seattle players left and right in that Snow Bowl.

"I still believe, in spite of everything, that people are truly good at heart."
-Anne Frank-

by Vermont Cubs Fan on Jan 4, 2010 11:58 PM CST up reply actions  

coaching

docg

Exactly! I have been harping on this all year to anyone who would listen (no one). The Vikings have lacked leadership in coaching, and are consistantly unwilling to make changes to the coaching. Look at all those years of Denny Greene, then the quick and lame choice of promoting Childress. And now a contract extension before the season ends?

Especially since the end of the season always falls short for them.

I am glad to be a Packer fan!

by DorseyLovins on Jan 4, 2010 3:06 PM CST reply actions  

The one nice thing you'll hear me say about Childress

Is that he makes fantastic halftime adjustments. The Bears game in Week 16 was a prime example: shut out and down by 16 at the half, Childress completely changed his offensive scheme and his team rallied for 30 points in the 2nd half. He’s not afraid to look at where he’s failed in the 1st half and then switch things up.

That said, his play-calling in general is pretty awful, but “hand it off to Peterson” takes a lot of heat off of him. The Vikes’ D really, really misses E.J. Henderson, though – look for their first opponent in the playoffs to try and strike through the air early and often.

"Who ever heard of the Cubs losing a game they had to have?" -Frank Chance
"If [Ruth] had [called his shot], I would have knocked him down with the next pitch." -Charlie Root

by Clutch16 on Jan 4, 2010 6:51 PM CST up reply actions  

I don’t necessarily no how much of there good play in the 2nd half is due to Chilly. In the Bears game it just seemed like all their players finally showed up ready to play. He has it pretty easy. Hand it off to one of the best Rb’s in the league, and when that isn’t working let your HOF Qb pass the ball. That defense run by Frazier also takes a lot of heat of them as well.

I agree. Losing Henderson has really hurt them. They’ll either play us, the Cardinals, or the Cowboys and I think we could all do some major damage passing.

by packallday555 on Jan 5, 2010 2:44 AM CST up reply actions  

Not to mention Winfield is being pushed back into a nickle role right now due to poor play (not sure if its lingering injury…he says its not) so that means their #2 and #3 guys are moved up and covering the top 2 WRs. They did this last week against NY and it worked, but if they tried that against Fitz, Bolden, Jennings, Driver, or Austin, I think they would be in a heap of trouble!

by TrevorR on Jan 5, 2010 8:47 AM CST up reply actions  

Yeah, they have Benny Sapp playing their #2 Cb spot…haha. Jennings or Driver would have a field day but I’m sure Winfield will be back starting in their next game. I really think a 3rd matchup between our two teams would be awfully different…Hopefully it happens.

by packallday555 on Jan 5, 2010 2:01 PM CST up reply actions  

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