Since we all need a break from discussing who the Packers should and should not acquire or get rid of, I thought I'd do a post on what I think will be the most important matchup of the Packers-Redskins game. If you're still interested, follow the jump!
According to Football Outsiders, the Packers currently are ranked 22nd against passes to tight ends. I'm sure this comes as little surprise to anyone who saw Shaun Hill complete pass after pass to Pettigrew and Scheffler in Week 4. The really bad news is that the tight ends the Packers have faced so far this season are only ranked (by DVOA) 30th (Celek), unranked (Stupar), 31st (Olsen), 28th (Scheffler), and 14th (Pettigrew). And consider further that Brandon Chillar (who had the best stop rate on passing plays of all the starting Packers LBs last year according to Football Outsiders) was available for most of these games.
Chris Cooley is ranked 20th among tight ends by DVOA, higher than all but one of the tight ends previously faced by the Packers this season. In addition, while Fred Davis is unranked by DVOA due to not having enough receptions, his DVOA of 90.7% would lead all tight ends. With Chillar and Burnett out of the game, Capers is going to have to actively scheme to keep the Redskins from bleeding us to death with passes to their tight ends. Does he put Woodson on Cooley all game? Bracketed coverage? What are your thoughts?
Me? I'll be giving a first hand report next week, maybe. (I'll be at the game, very excited!)