Preview: Green Bay Packers at Redskins

by Brandon on Oct 8, 2010 7:01 AM CDT in Green Bay Packers Analysis

I'm having a lot of trouble with this week deciding how the Green Bay Packers will matchup against the Redskins. Usually I look for a comparable game.

When the Bengals beat the Packers in 2009, QB Carson Palmer threw for 3 TDs while RB Cedric Benson averaged nearly 5 yards/carry. The quality of the Bengals receivers seem similar to the 2010 Redskins. A big advantage the Cardinals and Steelers had when they defeated the Packers in 2009 was a core of quality receivers, something that doesn't appear to exist at this moment in Washington. Also, the Bengals were great converting on 3rd down, just as the Lions were last week, while the Redskins are near the bottom converting only 25% of the time on 3rd down. At their best, the Redskins may play like the Lions last week and take what they can get in the short passing game. But that still could be good enough to win as it helped the Lions score six times last week. On the other hand, the Redskins are scoring less than 20 points per game, and only scored over 20 once in the shoot out with the Texans in week 2. I'd expect the Redskins will have trouble scoring over 20 points on Sunday.

With the Redskins playing a cover-2 defense this season, it's very similar to what the Bears schemed a couple weeks ago. They'll let QB Aaron Rodgers gain a lot on short passes, but nothing deep. And just like the Bears, the Redskins will hope that's good enough to win. Gain a lot of yards, and wait for the Packers to shoot themselves in the foot. Just this time, keep it under 18 penalties so you don't have another TD called back on a penalty.

Packers 24, Redskins 17.

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I think the biggest issue will be turnovers.

We have:
Eagles – 2 (-1 Ratio)
Bills – 0 (+2)
Bears – 2 (-1)
Lions – 4 (-1)

I think if we can hold on to the damn ball and limit those mistakes, we should be fine. If the Packers can remain on the favorable side of the TO’s, they can make due with what they have. Last year, we benefited from a large margin that kept our offense on the field more often to score points.

by Bush League All Star on Oct 8, 2010 11:05 AM CDT reply actions

The didfference is the running game

Having to keep an eye on Jahvid Best kept the defense a little frazzled for a while there and though they kept him from having a huge game, it really opened things up for Shaun Hill who shouldn’t be posting those kinds of numbers against my grandmother.

Anyway, the Skins don’t offer much in the running game with Portis in and he’s out anyway. I think McNabb will find his receivers when he has to, but I expect a lot more pressure playing from the Pack than we saw last week.

Packers 24, Redskins 13

"Show me a good loser, and I'll show you a loser." - Vince Lombardi

by AdamA on Oct 8, 2010 11:38 AM CDT reply actions

With Portis out the Skins offer MORE of a running game

I wished Portis could have taken some carries away from Torain because Portis cannot run the ball anymore….
Torain is an underrated running back. Shanny had him in Denver where he had a few big games before he went down with season ending injury. He hadn’t played in NFL since until he re-surfaced this year with the Skins. He could be very dangerous. So far, our D has not seen yet a RB who can run the ball with competence. I hope that continues but Torain worries me.

by Rodgers_for_MVP on Oct 8, 2010 2:34 PM CDT up reply actions