Recap: No Big Plays, But Don't Blame The Packers Defense
The Green Bay Packers defense looked bad in a couple ways. First, QB Matt Ryan completed 86% of his attempts, and RB Michael Turner ran for 4.8 ypc. Second, the defense failed to provide a single turnover to give the offense some good field position.
But now look at it in this light. The Falcons have one of the best offenses in the NFL, and they are much better at home. The Packers took WR Roddy White out of the game. While 5 receptions for 49 yards is good, White is the best receiver in the NFC. The defense was willing to let them run (though they had hoped for better results), and let them attempt short passes.
They gave them nothing downfield, and the Falcons ended up with an unspectacular 294 yards on 57 offensive plays. To their credit, they took what they were given and turned it into four scoring drives. But the defense made them work for it, and waited for a turnover mistake (which, unfortunately, never came). It was a solid strategy, and it almost was good enough to win.
A quick note on special teams: the coverage and return games were awful. There's no excuse for it. They kept the offense in bad field position, and blew it on the final kick return that set the Falcons up at mid-field. However, P Tim Masthay has been much better over the past few weeks, and he's raised his net average from around 33 to 36.9 (which is almost the same as P Jon Ryan). Something to build on as Masthay's become a decent NFL punter.
Four Quarters
On 3rd down, Ryan rolls to his left and forces LB Brandon Chillar to choose between pursuing Ryan or covering RB Jason Snelling. Chillar gets caught in no man's land, but it was a great play by Ryan to complete that pass on the run. The Falcons are on the field for a long time, but it takes a lot of plays, and eventually they have to settle for 3 points when the drive stalls after a personal foul. While RT Tyson Clabo had a fantastic game containing LB Clay Matthews, on the other side, LT Sam Baker couldn't do anything against LB Frank Zombo on his sack of Ryan to end their second drive. Unfortunately, Zombo didn't record another sack in the game.
The second quarter starts with another three-and-out. The defense gave up three 10+ play scoring drives in the game, but they stuffed them on their other five drives. There wasn't a lot of push on running plays, or designed run blitzes. It's almost like they're willing to give up at least three ypc, and take their chances on 3rd down. It works pretty good except Mike McCarthy didn't challenge the 4th down non-reception by TE Tony Gonzalez. That gave them another opportunity and it was the difference between points and no-points. Even if he can't see it, he's got to be more aggressive on challenges in those situations. If the ruling stands, it only the cost them a first half time out and their first challenge. Letting them keep the ball cost them the time remaining in the half, and a touchdown five plays later.
After a three-and-out to start the third quarter, the Falcons use up most of the clock on a 7+ minute drive to end it. The tackling wasn't awful, but it was probably their worst tackling performance of the season. On a 3rd and 9, Ryan completes another little dump off to Snelling that goes for 10 yards in the face of at least three defenders. Then Ryan spreads the ball around a little, and their running game gets them down to the 1 yard line.
The fourth quarter starts with a 1 yard TD run for Turner. That really sucked for the Packers defense. The Falcons are stuffed at the 1 yard line on three consecutive plays, but finally punch it through on the fourth one when LB A.J. Hawk goes too far inside with nobody to his outside. On a running play, the outside linebacker to that side (it appeared to be Hawk since there were extra defensive lineman in on the play) has to force the running back inside. On the next Falcons possession, the defense forces a huge three-and-out that gives the offense plenty of time for the game-tying touchdown drive. Unfortunately they gave up the final game-tying field goal drive, but the bad special teams coverage set the Falcons up at mid-field where they only had to go 20 yards with plenty of time and time-outs remaining.
Individual Analysis
LB Frank Zombo. I didn't nominate him for the player of the game, but I should have. His sack ended one drive, and he was in on a forced fumble (Falcons recovered) that ended another drive. Two of the biggest defensive plays of the game.
CB Charles Woodson and CB Tramon Williams. It was hard to see who was covering White because the cameras were looking away as the Falcons were forced to ignore him for most of the first half. The coverage duties seemed to fall mostly to Woodson, but it's certainly fair to give Williams some credit too.
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As discussed on other threads
Even if he can’t see it, he’s got to be more aggressive on challenges in those situations.
You can’t make a living challenging every 4th down completed catch with some hope that maybe it was incomplete, which throwing the red flag at that point would’ve been. The first replays did not show it being incomplete. Not only was that a good enough reason to not challenge the call, it also leads to a distinct possibility that the ruling on the field would be upheld if a challenge were made.
Agreed
Seems the best shots that showed it being trapped against the carpet were shown two plays later. But my following post is what I’m interested in.
by Farveuless Pack on Nov 30, 2010 8:39 AM CST up reply actions
But, they were rushing up to the line for the next play.
Clearly, our booth staff did not have enough time to check the play. MM could have called a TO to give them more time, but then you risk two TOs if you decide to challenge after that. So, I say just throw the red flag. You risk one TO and one challenge. You also give your team a little breather against a team that is successfully running no huddle. I understand that MM cannot have a hair trigger on the red flag. But given the scenario, I think the upside in this case warranted chuckin’ the hankie.
You are risking two challenges, not 1
Challenges #1 and #3.
And teams switch to hurry up for a number of reasons. Even the Packers were playing hurry up at one point after the Nelson TD, trying to bait a challenge.
You can't take 'em with you!
If I remember right, the Packers did not challenge any plays during this game. You cannot count on receiving or needing challenge #3. If coaches had that mindset, they would only challenge sure things and hardly ever throw the red flag.
And, ATL didn’t switch to the hurry up, they were running it for much of the day. I’m not saying MM should have seen their hurrying as a sign that the pass was incomplete and baited into a challenge. I’m saying that it was a good time to slow down the tempo anyway, so there is an added benefit to throwing the flag.
I've seen this argument several times
You’re using hindsight… first off, there were no replays showing it as an incomplete pass before the next play was off… so at that point, throwing the flag is essentially challenging a play we didn’t like the result of… there was NO proof at that point that a challenge gets overturned.
Secondly, you’re right, we didn’t use a single challenge that game and we had 2 timeouts left at the end of the half… but at that point in time, you don’t know how thats going to play out… It turns out we didn’t need the challenges or the timeouts… but with 5-6 minutes left in the 1st half… there is NO way of knowing whether or not we are going to need the timeout/challenges later on
And before the, but we would’ve won the challenge argument and thus not lost anything argument… I refer you to point 1
by Goldenarmadillo4 on Nov 30, 2010 10:30 AM CST up reply actions
using hindsight
I’m using hindsight to point out that coaches should not be shy about challenging important plays that are questionable. It just does not pay to be that conservative with throwing the red flag. MM has thrown some good flags this year where he rolled the dice and won.
But, if he is that concerned with needing the flag later, then call a time out!
You do not use timeouts to decide if you're going to challenge
Period.
by Danwood on Nov 30, 2010 10:39 AM CST up reply actions 1 recs
Agreed, but
I think in this case there were other good, solid reasons to burn a time out that had nothing to do with the challenge.
That's what Brad Childress does
it doesn’t work.
Wisconsin, Big Ten Champions for the first time since 1999...
For all the crap we give Wil Wheaton, he can still tackle better than Asante Samuel...
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Nov 30, 2010 12:06 PM CST up reply actions
I should say
that’s what Brad Childress DID, before getting the axe from Zygi Wilf, NOT the Axe from Wisconsin (although he might have deserved one of those too, considering his criminal under-utilization of Wisconisn’s running backs in the passing game).
Wisconsin, Big Ten Champions for the first time since 1999...
For all the crap we give Wil Wheaton, he can still tackle better than Asante Samuel...
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Nov 30, 2010 12:19 PM CST up reply actions
In this case...
it would have worked.
Just give them a chance to see things. As said many times before, worst case is that the defense gets a short rest.
There are no absolutes, Mr. Danwood.
Period.
Hinnysight does make it seem easy, but there has to be a better way to deal with these situations and not give up an important/game-changing turnover.
The point that a lot of people are missing
is there was no reason to even consider a challenge at this point (other then not liking the result of a crucial play)
Several of the replays came back and showed that we WOULD NOT WIN a challenge at that point… how can you challenge based on that… there is no way to expect that a 4th replay shows something different.
Everyone keeps saying use a TO to get a better look at it and such… they got 2 or 3 looks at it and didn’t think it warranted a challenge you CAN NOT justify challenging it at that point
Plus lets be 100% honest… for everyone saying MM needs to throw the flag more and be more aggressive with… HE IS… he has a tendency to throw the flag in situations he doesn’t like… go back the posts after the Chicago game where we BLASTED him about it… you’re telling me that he doesn’t make a challenge if he ans any sort of doubt about it being a completion?
by Goldenarmadillo4 on Nov 30, 2010 3:27 PM CST up reply actions
Nah, you can't say it quite that strongly
Challenges are a limited commodity. You only get two per game, right? (and a third if you win both of your previous two) …whereas you get 6 timeouts (3 per half). There are situations in which you might burn a timeout to make sure that you don’t lose a challenge.
You don’t want to end up in a situation where you can’t challenge a game-changing play late in the 4th quarter because you challenged that spot in the first half.
by Curly Lambeau on Nov 30, 2010 1:13 PM CST up reply actions
There were 2 or 3 replays that showed it as
A. a completion
B. inconclusive
There is NOTHING that JUSTIFIES a challenge at that point in time other then not liking the outcome of a crucial play
Again, replays 1-3 show it a catch or inconclusive… there is no way to predict that angle 4 will show anything different then 1-3
by Goldenarmadillo4 on Nov 30, 2010 10:41 AM CST up reply actions
The "late show" videos clearly showed the ball moving
and contacting the ground. He did not have possession before the ball hit the ground.
The play would have been over-turned if the Packers had a chance to challenge.
As a professional problem-solver, I am just saying there has to be a way to make sure a team does not lose an essential turnover on plays like this.
If it was my profession, I would make sure the coaches had a way to see everything.
Every problem and “challenge” has a solution in life. Those who do not understand this play the roles of helpless followers.
So the replays
after the game showed the ball moving… yeah, they showed it 2 plays later IN the game… before that replay, there were 2 or 3 replays that showed it not moving or Gonzo’s body blocking the angle
I’m sure the coaches used everything available to them the replay showing it incomplete didn’t come around til a play or 2 AFTER THE FACT.
Seriously, explain it to me… the first 3 replays show it complete or inconclusive… justify calling a timeout or challenging… you’ve seen at least 2 shots saying you can’t win… how do you expect the next angle to be any different… and don’t use any type of hindsight in the argument (IE… we left 2 challenges on the field, we would’ve won the challenge, we left timeouts at the end of the half)… all I want is someone to justify a challenge or a TO
Again here’s the scenario
Replay 1 – Catch
Replay 2 – Inconclusive
Replay 3 – Inconclusive
Justify calling a TO or throwing the flag at this point in time without ANY hindsight
by Goldenarmadillo4 on Nov 30, 2010 3:35 PM CST up reply actions
It really is simple, but I'm sure you won't agree
1. It was a crucial play in the game, even 3.5 minutes before half
2. There was some doubt about it being a catch
3. Throw the flag, take a chance
Coaches throw many red flags without knowing whether they will win the challenge or not. I just see so little downside to taking a chance — not in hindsight, in real time.
The only problem I have with that
Is that at the time… there wasn’t a doubt about it being a catch
Ruled a catch on the field
Someone said something about not 1 of the defenders mad a fuss for a challenge
First 2 or 3 replays showed it as a catch or at least inconclusive
In regards to your post below this… what is meant by an instinct call… Like he challenges it because he has a gut feeling that its not a catch when everything around him is saying it is? Because I’d rather have a coach that that go off of arbitrary gut feelings like that
And I’d be willing to bet that it’s a lot easier to say that paragraph knowing that A. we would’ve won the challenge, and B. we didn’t use any challenges during the game
by Goldenarmadillo4 on Nov 30, 2010 4:34 PM CST up reply actions
The replays
You really should stop saying that the replays showed it is a catch. They could not have, because we now know that it was not a catch.
The first replays did not show the ball all the way through him hitting the ground because they did not have the proper angle. So, we should agree on your term inconclusive.
Now, for me, inconclusive translates to doubt. That’s it for me, the red flag is on the ground.
So you challenge anytime
the replay is inconclusive??? Thats almost as logical as challenging a play anytime the offense goes no huddle and rushes up to the line.
Honestly think about it… how many cameras are in that stadium recording the game… you’re bound to have quite a few out of place to see the play in its entirety (just like refs are often out of position to see plays)… If you get 3 shots that show a catch or something inconclusive… How can you assume that somewhere out there, there is an angle that shows it being incomplete???
And when I say catch… I mean it appears to be a catch… ball in his hands going down… you don’t get to see the ball all the through but the positioning before contact makes it appear as a catch… when I was watching the game in Real time and the first round replays… I saw a catch
by Goldenarmadillo4 on Nov 30, 2010 4:50 PM CST up reply actions
Come on now, don't be ridiculous
This is all in the context of a crucial 4th down play in your own territory, not just any time. Look, the guys in our booth have a pretty good idea of how many views of this they are going to get and how much time it might take to get those views. They made a judgment call, and we have to live with it. But I don’t think it would have been unreasonable or reckless for them to go the other way, as you are suggesting. You can’t take a chance all the time, but I truly wanted him to take a chance on this one while I was watching the game — no hindsight.
It did show it as a catch.
At first glance I thought it was incomplete… But when I saw the replays, the first couple, I admitted it was a catch! It wasn’t until 2 plays later that the final replay showed it wasn’t…
My thoughts were changed from no catch to a completion, then back to no catch after a couple plays were run!!!
You've been Stroh'd™!!!
You know,
Someone in another thread said it’s an instinct call, and it really is given the information McCarthy had available at the time.
My guess is that McCarthy thought to himself: That’s freakin’ Tony Gonzalez, future HOFer, veteran, great hands, he doesn’t miss those, and he passed. I respect that. He’s the coach and I have not heard him say he would do anything differently under the same circumstances.
But I do know that I would not be critical of him today if he had thrown the flag and lost the challenge, even if it meant that he did not have one later on when he needed it.
I'm 100% with you Danwood
The Falcons were going hurry up style most of that drive and besides… if you challenged an important play because the offense was in a hurry up offense… then every important play the colts made would be challenged… just because a team goes to the line quick doesn’t mean they’re up to something.
The way I see… here’s how the situation went
Gonzo catch on 4th down ruled complete
Replay 1 = catch
Replay 2 = inconclusive (can’t overturn the call)
Replay 3 = inconclusive (can’t overturn the call)
Now you either call a timeout to get more looks… challenge the call… or let the Falcons run a play
Replay 4 = Incomplete pass
Based on the first 3 replay angles… how do you justify challenging the pass at that point in time? The first 3 replays showed no chance in overturning the call… how you do miraculously know that 4th replay 2 plays later will show something different???
by Goldenarmadillo4 on Nov 30, 2010 10:25 AM CST up reply actions
I am 100% glad
you and Danwood enjoy defending and justifying fatal mistakes.
It still does not make it right.
They have stated their reasons for missing the call, but the lack of information flow and action represents a serious flaw in their system. Flaws are fixable, unless being the best is not important.
Disagree
I’ve heard a lot of this defense of McCarthy’s inexplicable failure to call a TO or throw the Challenge Flag and it’s flat-out false.
I was sitting on my couch and saw the nose of the football hit the turf (in much the same manner as it did in the Shincoe catch/non-catch). Immediately I shouted to challenge the catch as I watched in disbelief as the Falcons strolled to the line of scrimmage and took so much time they had a player go into motion (?!?) while McCarthy stood by mute. But I keep hearing how no one had any reason to doubt the catch until after the Falcons ran the ensuing play. Not true at all.
Furthermore, to classify this particular game (and season) shifting 4th down conversion by the Falcons as the equivalent of “every 4th down completed catch with some hope that maybe it was incomplete” is ridiculous. Here’s why:
1. There was just over 2 minutes left in the half, the catch would have certainly been examined by the Refs had it occurred seconds later. So why wouldn’t the Packers want to take it upon themselves to have it examined? Were they worried about losing a TO? A TO is worth more than a potential turnover on downs?!?
2. The Pack should have been calling timeouts regardless in order to give Rodgers and Co. time to try and score again before the end of the Half. So what would have been the harm of using a TO to better analyze such a crucial conversion when it would stop the clock anyway right before the two minute warning?
3. Consider the impact if McCarthy calls the TO and/or throws the challenge flag and that clear non-catch (the second shot clearly showed the ball hit the turf) and the ball is turned over to the Pack with 2 minutes to go. This is McCarthy’s Achilles Heel at it’s worst: he is a terrible time clock and game manager (see for example, his failure to let the clock run down on the gaming tying final drive. Why the hell was there anything more than 10 seconds on the clock when the Pack kicked off?).
There’s no doubt that a large reason the Packers lost was not the fault of McCarthy but due to poor execution (particularly in the tackling dept.), but his failure to Challenge the call or at least burn a TO to further check it out is far more inexcusable than Rodger’s fumble, etc., because it’s not like McCarthy had to make a split-second decision while massive linemen were flying at him. He had the timeouts, the conversion on 4th down was massively important, and the first shot of the “catch” clearly showed the nose of the football hitting the turf.
by 400metres on Nov 30, 2010 10:27 AM CST up reply actions 1 recs
Again
I’m not sure how you saw it hit the ground because I didn’t see anything close to that… and in the initial replays Gonzo’s body blocked the angle pretty well… secondly, if the nose hit the ground like the Shincoe catch… then it’s a completion from that angle (Remember, the league told Childress that it should’ve been a catch)… Also, not ONE of the announcers thought it was incomplete until 2 plays later either, and they get paid to notice those kinds of things.
As for why you don’t call Timeouts on defense in the 2 minute drill… a timeout gives the your defense a chance to catch their breath… but it does the same for the Falcons offense… number 2, if we use our timeouts, then the Falcons don’t use there’s… if they have timeouts left then they can run/throw to the sidelines/throw it down the middle… it gives them more options as to where to put the ball to move it… Finally, that close to the end of the half, you make them use up as much of the clock as they can and hope they run out of time and settle for a FG instead of giving them more time to knock it into the end-zone.
As for the end of the game management… just over a minute left on 4th and goal… what would you like them to do in this case? Have Aaron run around in the backfield for 50 seconds or so…. hope to get some form of Defensive penalty that results in an automatic first down… I mean seriously, it’s 4th and goal… the ball HAS to go into the end-zone or it’s game over anyways, so I’m not at all sure how you can blame MM for poor time management in either of those situations
by Goldenarmadillo4 on Nov 30, 2010 10:39 AM CST up reply actions
I’m not sure how you saw it hit the ground because I didn’t see anything close to that… and in the initial replays Gonzo’s body blocked the angle pretty well… secondly, if the nose hit the ground like the Shincoe catch… then it’s a completion from that angle (Remember, the league told Childress that it should’ve been a catch)… Also, not ONE of the announcers thought it was incomplete until 2 plays later either, and they get paid to notice those kinds of things.
The nose of the football hit the ground on the initial shot. I agree that’s not enough to turn it over, but don’t you think it’s enough to Challenge it? Or at least call a timeout and take a longer look on the part of the Packers?
And you’re wrong about the announcers. Billick expressed doubt about it being a catch prior to the snap. I agree it all happened quickly, but that’s why you use a timeout.
As for why you don’t call Timeouts on defense in the 2 minute drill… a timeout gives the your defense a chance to catch their breath… but it does the same for the Falcons offense… number 2, if we use our timeouts, then the Falcons don’t use there’s… if they have timeouts left then they can run/throw to the sidelines/throw it down the middle… it gives them more options as to where to put the ball to move it… Finally, that close to the end of the half, you make them use up as much of the clock as they can and hope they run out of time and settle for a FG instead of giving them more time to knock it into the end-zone.
Why would we care if the Falcons’ used a timeout or didn’t? I simply didn’t understand that while the Falcons were driving and eating clock to close out the half, that McCarthy didn’t use his timeouts to give Rodgers time to potentially score prior to the end of the first half.
As for the end of the game management… just over a minute left on 4th and goal… what would you like them to do in this case? Have Aaron run around in the backfield for 50 seconds or so…. hope to get some form of Defensive penalty that results in an automatic first down… I mean seriously, it’s 4th and goal… the ball HAS to go into the end-zone or it’s game over anyways, so I’m not at all sure how you can blame MM for poor time management in either of those situations
You’re arguing with yourself here. I’m not referring to the 4th and goal play, but about 3 plays earlier when the Pack had a first down in the red zone with about 2:30-2:40 left and I said to my Dad “I’d let the clock run down to the 2 minute warning here. How many times have we seen this team score too soon just to watch the other team have plenty of time to kick a game winner.” I can certainly blame McCarthy for poor management of the clock at the end of that game. The Packers had a ton of time and were in complete control offensively (seriously, Atlanta had no answer for Rodgers), but still they were flailing around like it was desperation time with :14 seconds left. Let the clock run down to the two minute warning and take a break. It’s not that hard to manage your playcalling with the overall time remaining in mind.
I'm going by memory a lot here but
I don’t remember Billick saying anything about the catch until the one replay a play or so later… I could be wrong but I honestly don’t remember it
As for allowing the Falcons to use their timeouts or not… again, you make them use their timeouts so they can’t run it or throw down the middle of the field… If they have the ability to stop the clock, they can play the middle without a fear of running out of time before the half… By making them use their timeouts… you’re now forcing them to play the sidelines to conserve time by getting out of bounds… the less field they have to play w/… the easier it is to defend
As for the end game… I still have to disagree… when you’re trailing in a game… you do what you can to get points on the board… What happens if they wait to snap the ball and run out of time at the end of the game because they couldn’t get it in… I can’t think of any point when trailing by 3 or more that you dink around in the red-zone to try and kill time
by Goldenarmadillo4 on Nov 30, 2010 12:41 PM CST up reply actions
As for why you don’t call Timeouts on defense in the 2 minute drill… a timeout gives the your defense a chance to catch their breath… but it does the same for the Falcons offense… number 2, if we use our timeouts, then the Falcons don’t use there’s… if they have timeouts left then they can run/throw to the sidelines/throw it down the middle… it gives them more options as to where to put the ball to move it… Finally, that close to the end of the half, you make them use up as much of the clock as they can and hope they run out of time and settle for a FG instead of giving them more time to knock it into the end-zone.
because gb doesnt have the offense to answer the score is that what you are saying….they are obviously going to score from the ten yard line so i say give arron a chance oh and by the way atlanta didnt use any time outs …know why so no fickin time was left is everybody in wi stupid
Correction
There was just over 2 minutes left in the half, the catch would have certainly been examined by the Refs had it occurred seconds later.
I should have checked this prior to posting, but I’m mistaken about how much time was left. There actually was about 3:30 left in the half at the time of the Gonzalez non-catch.
I still believe it would have been examined by the Refs had it occurred inside of 2 minutes remaining in the half, but it wasn’t as a close two the 2 minute warning as I recalled. It’s on my mind because I remember one of the TV announcers noting that it was unfortunate for the Packers that it didn’t happen with under 2 minutes remaining because it certainly would have been overturned.
You're the only guy who saw it during live play, congrats
Nobody else- not the broad cast crew, coaching staffs, anyone else, saw it touch the ground during live action.
I disagree that the call would’ve been challenged by the refs. The refs do not have magical camera angles upstairs- they get what the broadcast team has. If it took the people in the camera truck a minute and a half to find the incriminating angle, the refs aren’t seeing it in the 35 seconds that elapsed between plays either.
This team did not lose on a missed challenge. And there is more evidence for not challenging the play than there is challenging it, given the facts and circumstances at the time. The challenge did not directly result in points. The Falcons were on the outside of field goal range. The defense had every opportunity to stop them the rest of the drive and they failed to do so. The non-challenge doesn’t factor into it.
Nobody else- not the broad cast crew, coaching staffs, anyone else, saw it touch the ground during live action.
Wrong. Billick expressed doubt about it being a catch prior to the snap. I saw the nose of the ball hit the turf. As I said to Goldenarmadillo above, that’s not enough to reverse, but it sure the hell was enough to call a timeout and take a closer look. Hell, I wouldn’t have minded McCarthy just saying “fuck it, let’s challenge it anyway because there’s too much at stake.” That would have been consistent with the guy who threw the challenge flag on that Shincoe catch that no one really doubted either. Why not challenge here? There’s just no rational explanation.
I disagree that the call would’ve been challenged by the refs. The refs do not have magical camera angles upstairs- they get what the broadcast team has. If it took the people in the camera truck a minute and a half to find the incriminating angle, the refs aren’t seeing it in the 35 seconds that elapsed between plays either.
That’s fine, that’s your opinion. I think you’re wrong, but we’ll never know either way. And there’s no need to belittle my point of view by accusing me of magical thinking. The second angle clearly showed the ball was juggled and was not firmly under control. Of course the refs aren’t going to look at “it in the 35 seconds that elapsed between plays”, I never said they would have. But if it were within the last two minutes of the half, I have no reason to doubt they would’ve taken a closer look from all angles and likely overruled the call on the field because I’ve seen refs do that every freaking week. Within two minutes seemingly anything that is remotely borderline is reviewed, no matter what.
Again, you don't call timeouts to decide if you're going to challenge
So no, it was not worth calling a timeout. And I did not accuse you of magical thinking. The refs use the same angles provided by the broadcasters. They do not have the luxury of viewing them on a large tv. In fact, the image they get is miniscule; for the resolution of the monitors (720p) each camera angle is not even getting a SD quality display. Look at the photo:

(From here: http://www.soundandvisionmag.com/features/2009/08/breaking-down-nfl-instant-replay-system)
In the presence of so many replays of the catch being indecisive, that one camera angle can easily be overlooked.
Again, you don’t call timeouts to decide if you’re going to challenge
Are you saying a coach is not allowed to call a timeout so as to examine whether he wants to challenge or are you saying that it’s simply bad practice? In other words, is this a rule or just your opinion?
The refs use the same angles provided by the broadcasters. They do not have the luxury of viewing them on a large tv. In fact, the image they get is miniscule;
I don’t get what your point is here. There were two angles shown, both of which called the ruling on the field into question to some degree. Admittedly, the first shot was less convincing than the one the broadcasters showed following Atlanta’s subsequent snap of the ball, but that’s why you call a timeout or straight up challenge the call – TO CLARIFY the credibility of a crucial 4th down conversion. To say that it wasn’t worth challenging is mindboggling to me considering the implications at stake as well as the fact that the worst outcome is one less timeout. Since when did a timeout become so valuable?
Why does the size of the screens or the resolution bear any relevance to whether the refs would have seen that Gonzalez’s catch was not as sure-handed as originally thought? That fact hasn’t meaningfully interfered with their ability to analyze and overturn a close play incorrectly called in real time before.
The bottom line is McCarthy (and his assistants in charge of this sort of thing) dropped the ball on this play and should have challenged it or at least called a timeout. I can’t understand why a timeout is so valuable as to outweigh a potential turnover on downs with 3 minutes remaining in the half.
If you don't know why timeouts and challenges are valuable
Then I’m not sure I’m going to be able to say anything to convince you otherwise.
Ruling on the field: Looked good to everyone but you
Initial Replays: Inconclusive
Next play is run
Next replay: Oh, should’ve challenged
That’s where the story ends. The incriminating replay came too late. This team still lost the game on the field. The incorrect call did not directly cause points to be added or taken away. The Falcons still had to go 36 yards for a TD. The Packers still had 30 minutes + receiving the ball to start the half to respond. Game was lost on the field. The non-challenge does not play into it.
Every play "plays into it"
that’s why they refer to it as a game of inches. Just because there is hardly ever just a single play that results in a loss does not mean that you cannot point to crucial plays as significantly contributing to a loss. I submit that this play fits firmly into that category. However, I think the fumble at the goal line was far more significant.
You know Dan
I’m trying to argue with you in good faith, but you keep resorting to a lot BS to support your point of view.
First, I didn’t say that timeouts or challenges aren’t inherently valuable. I said that I don’t understand how the inherent value of a timeout or a challenge outweigh the facts presented by the specific situation in question – a 4th down conversion by the Atlanta Falcons that allowed them to continue driving rather than a turnover on downs (as it should have been called and likely would have been if challenged).
Second, many people, including one of the FOX TV broadcasters expressed doubt about the call on the field. That’s a fact. I was watching the game and I saw the nose of the football touch the turf and so did Billick, prior to the next snap. That’s what prompted Billick to say something to the effect “oh, I don’t know. The Packers may want to challenge that call” just as Atlanta was lining up for the next play (which they were in such a “rush” to get off that they had a player go into motion!).
Third, I’ve never denied the first shot was “inconclusive.” I don’t know why you insist that somehow “inconclusive” means don’t ever challenge the call in order to achieve a more conclusive examination. Particularly when considering the fact that the play in question was a game-changing 4th down conversion that would have given the ball back to the Packers with 3:30 left on the clock prior to the end of the first half.
It's so valuable
because there was NO EVIDENCE TO WARRANT A CHALLENGE… 3 angles all inconclusive or showed a Catch… How do you begin to think that the 4th one shows ANYTHING different.
At this point, it can’t be looked at objectionably because we all know the final result of the play… MM has been accused several times of making bad challenges because he doesn’t like the result of a crucial play… JJ fumble, Shancoe TD catch… Do you honestly think that if he had ANY doubt in his mind he doesn’t throw the flag?
by Goldenarmadillo4 on Nov 30, 2010 12:47 PM CST up reply actions
I did look at it objectively
and so did Brian Billick, who I’d hope you’re prepared to admit is a lot more football-smart than either of us.
Prior to the next snap (i.e., in the zone of “objectivity”) I was shouting at McCarthy to challenge while Billick was urging the Packers to do so too.
It has nothing to do with hindsight, because I feel the same way about this issue now as I did while it unfolded.
Accusing me of allowing hindsight to skew the accuracy of my argument is only effective if I sat mute at the time the situation was playing out and was only now acting like I would have done anything different than McCarthy.
I was pissed then and I’m still (a little) pissed now.
I wasn't there to know how you reacted to the play
But is there any chance that you wanted a replay for the fact that it was a crucial play that went against us… and it’s easier to call for a replay sitting on your couch at home???
Finally, lets say there was a replay that shows up on TV right before the snap… so in the span of like 5 seconds… they have to get the same replay (not sure what replays they see) in the booth, decide if it’s close enough to warrant a call, get the call in to MM to challenge and have him throw the flag… Yeah, it’s easy to scream at the TV saying challenge it challenge it when there’s no real middle man there… For us it goes, camera —> us… At the stadium it goes camera—>replay booth—→MM——> challenge flag -→ refs
One of those takes more then 5 or so seconds to get done and since in Atlanta was already in a hurry up style offense, theres no reason to suspect that they were trying to get away with something at that point either
by Goldenarmadillo4 on Dec 2, 2010 10:00 AM CST up reply actions
i agree with you 100 percent my friend…also i believe a good coach in gb and they have 4 or 5 superbowl apperances in the last 15 years..the poor clock management….giving up on the running game……going deep on 3rd and 1 great when works but 1 in 6 isnt good on and on
Why don't you
take a few minutes to directly respond to my responses on the other posts… instead of just stating the same thing over and over… I’ve already done a pretty decent (in my mind) job of refuting most of your stuff there… so why not try and defend yourself there… then repeating the same senseless drivel here
BTW… calling everyone who lives in WI stupid for not agreeing w/ you (your post above) probably isn’t a smart way to go about winning an argument and makes you look childish and resorting to name calling is basically saying “You win, I can’t logically argue w/ you so I’m going to try and discredit you as a person instead of disputing your side”
by Goldenarmadillo4 on Dec 3, 2010 7:08 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
Again, you get 6 timeouts per game and only two challenges (3 if you get both right)
There are times when you call timeout to make sure that you don’t lose a challenge.
by Curly Lambeau on Nov 30, 2010 1:17 PM CST up reply actions
Right on Curly.
Danwood does not get it.
Bottom line is that the booth just needed a chance to review the other video angles. A timeout would have given them that chance.
The inability of coaches to react appropriately (for whatever reason and excuse you want to use) ultimately was the equivalent to a Packer turnover in Packer territory. The Falcons got 7 points off of this turnover.
What is done is done and time to move on.
What you guys aren't getting again is
They got to replay the catch/non-catch up in the booth… they got to see a few different angles… and it gave them absolutely no reason to challenge.
Again
Replay 1 – Catch
Replay 2 – Inconclusive
Replay 3 – Inconclusive
What makes you think replay 4 shows anything different? You can fault the camera crew for not getting the replay up to the booth… you can fault the ref for the improper call… you CAN NOT FAULT the coaching staff… they took the information they had and made choice that it wasn’t going to get overturned
What if only 1 camera in the stadium got the angle of ball touching the ground?… So you see 3 replays and can’t find a reason to challenge so you use a timeout to get a longer look… during the timeout you see 5 more angles that are all inconclusive… do you call another timeout (even though its illegal) to look at more angles.
I feel like the basis of your argument is they needed more time to find the angle that made their case… it wasn’t there at first so they needed to stall for more time… the only problem w/ this logic is that no one knew if there was a replay that showed it being incomplete or not… if thats the case, we’ve now got a coach calling timeouts on a complete unfounded hunch
by Goldenarmadillo4 on Nov 30, 2010 4:43 PM CST up reply actions
I guarantee you, in the future
If McCarthy called a timeout with the hope that a magical replay angle will appear that shows whatever play was called incorrectly and that angle never appears that he would be crucified with 5 different fan posts.
by Danwood on Nov 30, 2010 4:55 PM CST up reply actions 2 recs
I'll back that guarantee.
TT bashers - turning my stomach since 2005!
The glass is way more than half-full!
Nice job
relying on a hypothetical that has no historical basis (I must have missed those 5 fan post crucifixions of McCarthy after he used a Challenge on the Jones drop against the Bears) in order to assail what you insist is a hypothetical (the “magical replay”) that actually exists without the benefit of magic.
Does logical consistency cause you to break out into hives or something?
Actually
there were several posts (not completely about but partially) about how MM screwed us in that game by wasting a TO we could’ve used and I think that was when a lot of the fire MM rants started up on here
by Goldenarmadillo4 on Dec 2, 2010 9:55 AM CST up reply actions
The Referees
wouldn’t look at it unless they were ordered to by a challenge! The angles available at the time showed a catch and not conclusive… Your just talking from hindsight advantage!! Admit it….
You've been Stroh'd™!!!
400metres
is NOT the only guy that saw it. Think about it. A guy, even a HOF guy, has to lay out to catch the ball. It’s almost certain the ball will move when he hits the ground. A very similar play on MNF. Keep your eye on the ball from now on when a receiver lays out. I’m sure MM is aware of it, so that red flag has to be somewhat instinctual. Especially given the situation was 4th down. It’s not like they were on their own 10 yd line and it was 1st down. Given MM’s penchant for throwing the flag on really stupid challenges, like JJ fumble at Chi. and he had lots of time to look but didn’t, it’s odd that he didn’t this time. There’s 2 schools of thought on this, we will agree to disagree.
by bigbill992001 on Nov 30, 2010 5:35 PM CST up reply actions
I thought...
It was a no catch till I saw the first 2 replays, and was forced to admit it was a catch!!! Wasn’t until 2 plays later the conclusive evidence showed up out of the blue! Nobody had any reason to believe another angle would miraculously show up minutes later!!! All the rest of it is just 20/20 hindsight!!
You've been Stroh'd™!!!
at first
In real game time I thought it was incomplete too… Then I saw the initial replays available and was convinced it was a reception!!! So I would say there was no reason to challenge it… Wasn’t until 2 plays later that the replay showed it wasn’t a catch…
DId you catch that? I saw it as incomplete in real time, but upon the initial replays made available it convinced me it was a catch!!!
You've been Stroh'd™!!!
Rec’d. Totally agree with every word you say. That was a crucial, crucial play. And even it was a catch (which it clearly wasn’t), at the very least, you give the defense some time to rest and potentially give the offense some time to work with if they do score. McCarthy always has been poor at clock management too.
by packallday555 on Nov 30, 2010 12:44 PM CST up reply actions
RED SOCK
How exactly are visiting teams recieving video of the current play to decide if review is warranted? Is it the “jumbotron” feed. Network coverage with a few second delay? Is someone in the broadcast trailer? How can they not have enough time to communicate to the head coach? Is this truely a home team advantage issue/ Someone? Anyone?
by Farveuless Pack on Nov 30, 2010 8:36 AM CST reply actions
The coach challenges under these circumstances in a case like Sunday's...
1. The player in coverage says the catch was incomplete without question – the problem was that the player in coverage didn’t have the right angle to see it
2. Someone upstairs sees it. In this case they didn’t have time to take a second look because they were already concerned with the Falcons lining up for another play. This leaves it to the number one option and there was no signal from the player covering Gonzales.
This is not to mention people on the sideline seeing something, but it was too tough to figure out. Now, I’ve heard some sports radio talking head ex-coaches say that you should probably always challenge a fourth down completion if the opposing team is running up to make a next play (or at least take a time out), but I totally understand why the Pack decided against it.
"Show me a good loser, and I'll show you a loser." - Vince Lombardi
"...radio talking head ex-coaches..."
That about sums up the validity and usefulness of their thoughts!
Well...
Yes and no. I mean, their opinion is certainly more valuable than mine. Grain of salt and all, it’s a conversation piece.
"Show me a good loser, and I'll show you a loser." - Vince Lombardi
No, actually
Sports Radio has absolutely no credibility. Know the “Real Men of Genius” commercial about Sports Radio Figures? 110% correct.
good point on special teams
They suck. They’ve sucked for years. Why can’t McCarthy seem to fix the problem? It’s not so much dependent on talent as discipline, so it should be fixable. There have to be a couple good special teams coaches out there that could whip these guys into shape.
When you play top tier teams, you can’t give them short fields and yourself long fields.
It seems to be a statewide problem, the only sour note to the Badger’s fantastic season is their horrible coverage teams.
hear, hear!
This is so frustrating for both the Packers and Badgers. I cringe and my stomach drops during each kick and punt. For the Pack, it looks like 3 out of 5 kick and punt returns have a chance to be broken for a TD. In fact, I think they have been damn lucky to not have more TDs against their special teams.
Badger punt coverage has gotten better week after week
since Keshawn MOTHERBLEEPING Martin destroyed our special teams in the 5th game of the year.
As for the Packer kick coverage…it’s bad. It’s very, very bad. And it needs some improvements. For all I know, the Packers might pick up David Gilreath as a UDFA because he does have good speed on special teams (as a gunner, not a return man). Isn’t that gunner role on Special Teams essentially what Brett Swain is there for?
Wisconsin, Big Ten Champions for the first time since 1999...
For all the crap we give Wil Wheaton, he can still tackle better than Asante Samuel...
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Nov 30, 2010 12:09 PM CST up reply actions
Ted Ginn
We probably could have signed him
by bigbill992001 on Nov 30, 2010 5:38 PM CST up reply actions
Has he been a difference maker in San Fran?
I stopped paying attention to the ‘9ers a bit ago. Haven’t heard much about Ginn though.
"Show me a good loser, and I'll show you a loser." - Vince Lombardi
Ginn
I can’t say that I keep up with what Ginn’s doing on the yr. But, he’s always been a decent return man, something we haven’t had lately. I did watch some of the 49er game Sunday and he did pretty well. He has speed and can be a 4-5 receiver.
by bigbill992001 on Dec 1, 2010 6:58 PM CST up reply actions
Good analysis
I have a hard time killing the defense for their inability to tackle Turner just for the sake of the fact that, well, he’s really good. He’s hard to bring down, which is exactly why he gets the big bucks. …so, okay… But, on the other hand, we’re supposed to be really good against the run. We had our defensive line healthy for the first time really all year (aside from Harrell and Neal everybody was playing and supposedly a full go). The line-up of Pickett, Raji, and Jenkins (with Greene subbing in) should be plenty of beef to shut down anybody. I don’t know if I’m supposed to be blaming inconsistency from the LBs (specifically Hawk, who you pointed out), or scheme for where the d-line was lining up, or effort from the big guys, or what. I don’t know. Turner’s good, but we should be better than that.
It’s important to remember, though, that for all the ways in which the Pack played below the level we’ve been accustomed to seeing from them, they were still right in this one right up until the end. That’s an encouraging thought!
in this one right up until the end
I think this is good evidence that the Packers basically had the right game plan on defense. Limiting a very good offense to 20 points is nothing to be ashamed of. It seems to me we have been good at shutting down good running games when we focus on it (see both Vikings games). But I think we were more focused on pass coverage in this game and Turner is just too much of a load. I think if we had sold out to stop the run we would have been torched.
That right there
is why I’m not ashamed of this loss. The Packers lost to a very good Atlanta team that, by the way, just recorded three consecutive winning seasons for the first time ever.
Wisconsin, Big Ten Champions for the first time since 1999...
For all the crap we give Wil Wheaton, he can still tackle better than Asante Samuel...
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Nov 30, 2010 12:09 PM CST up reply actions
+1
These were my thoughts too. The fact that White was held to only 49 yards, and no big gains I think supports this thought too. Seemed like we were willing to give them the underneath stuff, and 3/4 ypc to Turner. I thought the game plan was a good one.
by packallday555 on Nov 30, 2010 12:49 PM CST up reply actions
Right
We’ve shown in the past that we can stop the run when we put our minds to it. Up until now, we had not shown that with the pass.
Therefore, although it sucks to lose (and winning this one would have been HUGE!), still… Lots of important positives to build off here.
…including Masthay’s punting, as the poster pointed out. Y’know, that’s important, and the kid is starting to string together some good games here. Like the Beatles said, “I have to admit it’s getting better, a little better all the time.”
by Curly Lambeau on Nov 30, 2010 1:24 PM CST up reply actions
Agreed. Many positives to come out of this game. We showed that we could go into a hostile environment, where their Qb is 19-1 (I believe) and give them a run for their money. Seems like we always do come to play when we play good-great teams though. I just hope we don’t play down to the 49ers and Lions level these next two weeks.
by packallday555 on Nov 30, 2010 5:00 PM CST up reply actions
Teams with running games can dink and dunk
Our Packers, on the other hand, cannot. It was a tough loss, but the fact that we kept it close and weren’t absolutely shredded by Matt Ryan is a good sign for this team.

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