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Which ILB should go?

     White92, posted a good article informing everyone of ILB Desmond Bishop getting a new contract. However, Barnett enthusists such as myself and others have been advocating that he not be the one to be let go. So of the 4 ILBs on our beloved Green Bay Packers...Who should go? My opinion is Chillar...Bishop and Barnett can compensate for what we lose in Chillar...Hawk has stepped up when asked too so he doesnt deserve it, even considering at the begining of the season he was the odd man out....I would also like to add that the Brady Poppinga prodject should come to a screaching halt right about.....now

Poll
Which ILB if any, should go?
Aj Hawk
19 votes
Brandon Chillar
55 votes
Desmond Bishop
2 votes
Nick Barnett
40 votes

116 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 105 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Could we add a category on the poll?

I personally with hold voting until I see an option saying wait until the offseason. These sorts of conversations are fun and all, but really I’m looking forward to this Sunday’s game more than the deep contemplations of which ILB is best suited for us right now. This is especially so since two of these options are currently on IR.

by PackApologist on Jan 5, 2011 1:30 AM CST reply actions   1 recs

I know!!! Why do we keep trying to start so many off season topics when we are a playoff team. There isn’t enough to talk about with an actual game coming up? I don’t get this. Lets talk about this later on when there is nothing else to talk about!

The Green Bay Packers...Putting bad coaches out of their misery since 2010

by TrevorR on Jan 5, 2011 9:29 AM CST up reply actions   1 recs

I couldnt agree more....

but the debate got so intense i just wanted to know where the rest of you gentlemen stood on the issue….

Packers over the Bears, Illini over the Badgers...

by SpaceGhost34 on Jan 5, 2011 1:37 AM CST reply actions  

I voted A.J. Hawk

Chillar and Hawk both are kind of liabilities when dropping in to coverage, but Chillar seems to get in on more tackles. I dunno, I’m guess I’m not a huge fan of either.

by Mark O'Rourke on Jan 5, 2011 1:44 AM CST reply actions  

I would have to disagree with the Chillar aspect

Hawk…definatly at times, but Chillar has been good in coverage…

Packers over the Bears, Illini over the Badgers...

by SpaceGhost34 on Jan 5, 2011 1:53 AM CST reply actions  

Why Chillar?

Barnett and Hawk are the ones with the highest salaries. Granted Chillar is overpaid as a backup, but he’s still not making as much as Hawk and Barnett. By releasing/trading Chillar, you still have a problem of getting 3 starting ILB’s on the field. Sure, it’s a good problem to have in a sense, but I can assure you someone will be complaining about it soon. I wouldn’t be surprised if it’s Bishop that opens his mouth too, because I’m sure he signed a contract assuming he will be starting. He didn’t resign here to be a role player.

The point is, we will be back to this very same discussion if we make the mistake of cutting Chillar. Chillar is comfortable being a role player for us. He’s a team player and doesn’t complain. He also happens to be our best pass coverage ILB.

"No player is greater than a team."
-Vince Lombardi

by Jabooty on Jan 5, 2011 4:11 AM CST reply actions   1 recs

Barnett

I think his injuries make him less than he was AND I’m tired of his martial arts hotdog move every time he tackles a guy after an 8 yd. gain.

by Egbert Souse on Jan 5, 2011 11:16 AM CST reply actions  

yea lets get rid of everyone who celebrates

Packers over the Bears, Illini over the Badgers...

by SpaceGhost34 on Jan 5, 2011 12:33 PM CST up reply actions  

No emotion....

Take all the emotion out of the decision! Make it a simple personnel/business decision! Thats how you have to treat it…

Barnett is the oldest, most injured, higest paid! He isn’t better than Hawk or Bishop the 2 starters… He is better than Chillar overall, but Chillar is the best LB in coverage! Writing is on the wall and Barnett is the odd man out!!!

You've been Stroh'd™!!!

by Strohman on Jan 5, 2011 12:32 PM CST reply actions   1 recs

Strohman you know me all too well...

We debated on the Al Harris issue for weeks in the summer because I have been such a huge fan of his….(I KNOW I KNOW) but yea even with the emotion gone i cant see Barnett being the one to go…

Packers over the Bears, Illini over the Badgers...

by SpaceGhost34 on Jan 5, 2011 1:04 PM CST up reply actions  

Really?

You don’t see any thought process where the staff would decide to trade or release Barnett?

Greinke: "It’s not about the guacamole itself. I just don’t want to let them win."

by GoGregGo on Jan 5, 2011 1:09 PM CST up reply actions  

release

would be bad business.

you would have to pay barnett 1.7 mill if you flat out released him-

by hermitcrab on Jan 5, 2011 1:20 PM CST up reply actions  

No GoGregGo.....I see the thought process....

But i am so against the idea it just seems alien to me is all….

Packers over the Bears, Illini over the Badgers...

by SpaceGhost34 on Jan 5, 2011 1:46 PM CST up reply actions  

Why?

Only a signing bonus gets prorated like that. So if thats whats left of his prorated signing bonus your right. But no other reason! What was his signing bonus and spread over how many years?

You've been Stroh'd™!!!

by Strohman on Jan 5, 2011 2:45 PM CST up reply actions  

no...he was asking me if i really didnt see the thought process...

I was saying i was against the idea of Barnett leaving reguardless the circumstance

Packers over the Bears, Illini over the Badgers...

by SpaceGhost34 on Jan 5, 2011 2:50 PM CST up reply actions  

ding----ding----ding

now i don’t have to explain——well done.

by hermitcrab on Jan 5, 2011 3:17 PM CST up reply actions  

meaning

pro rated signing bonus for barnett, so i’d say hawk’s the odd man out.

by hermitcrab on Jan 5, 2011 3:20 PM CST up reply actions  

pretty simple

if it’s just business—-

i’d rather have a every down LB (barnett) than a 2 down LB(hawk)——-especially since Bishop signed—-he is the 2 down LB next year.

barnett doesn’t leave the field, so he gets a heck of alot more snaps than hawk(more bang for your buck)

by hermitcrab on Jan 5, 2011 1:17 PM CST up reply actions  

Well right now Hawk never leaves the field!

And our D isn’t exactly stuggling from it… So that no longer applies!

You've been Stroh'd™!!!

by Strohman on Jan 5, 2011 2:46 PM CST up reply actions  

obviously

barnett was better than hawk, well, because he wasn’t the one being fazed out.

signed——-dom capers.

by hermitcrab on Jan 5, 2011 3:22 PM CST up reply actions  

Hawk is younger than Barnett and hasn't been injured

signed -- God

Greinke: "It’s not about the guacamole itself. I just don’t want to let them win."

by GoGregGo on Jan 5, 2011 3:27 PM CST up reply actions  

Barnett can cover and actually blitz the quarterback...

signed-Aj Hawk

Packers over the Bears, Illini over the Badgers...

by SpaceGhost34 on Jan 5, 2011 3:33 PM CST up reply actions  

LOL

look what i started———my bad..

by hermitcrab on Jan 5, 2011 3:37 PM CST up reply actions  

Nick Barnett?

He of the 15.5 sacks, 9 INTs and 36 PD over 8 years?

Versus Hawk with 9.5, 8, and 24 over 5 years? Let me know when you find an argument backed up by stats.

Greinke: "It’s not about the guacamole itself. I just don’t want to let them win."

by GoGregGo on Jan 5, 2011 3:42 PM CST up reply actions  

yes

the same hawk that can’t cover or shed blocks and still thinks to much instead of attacking.

bishop attacks the line of scrimmage—-hawk doesn’t.
there is miles of film on this——plus using your own 2 eyes as well.

by hermitcrab on Jan 5, 2011 3:51 PM CST up reply actions  

How many blocks have you seen Barnett shed exactly?

Greinke: "It’s not about the guacamole itself. I just don’t want to let them win."

by GoGregGo on Jan 5, 2011 3:52 PM CST up reply actions  

here is an argument greg....of those 8 seasons....wasnt Barnett out for 2 of them???

so its more like this….15.5 sacks, 9 ints, 36 pd over 6 years on the field…
To Hawk with 9.5,8, and 24 over 5…..so yea

Packers over the Bears, Illini over the Badgers...

by SpaceGhost34 on Jan 5, 2011 6:44 PM CST up reply actions  

Fair enough

Although I’d like to point out that before being injured this year Barnett had no sacks, no interceptions, and 1 PD, so it’s not like he was playing all that well when healthy.

Greinke: "It’s not about the guacamole itself. I just don’t want to let them win."

by GoGregGo on Jan 5, 2011 7:37 PM CST up reply actions  

Also,

I’d like to point out that Barnett played 13 games in his two partial seasons, so it’s closer to 7 years for those numbers. So there really isn’t a huge difference in those numbers.

Greinke: "It’s not about the guacamole itself. I just don’t want to let them win."

by GoGregGo on Jan 5, 2011 7:42 PM CST up reply actions  

since

you guys are stat geeks——who led the team in tackles last year.

A- hawk
B—barnett
C. STROH!!!

sorry if i forgot a !!!!!——-asterisks afterwords

by hermitcrab on Jan 6, 2011 3:47 AM CST up reply actions  

a real comparison...

Barnett wasn’t out the full season though…

Barnett: 107 games, 575 tackles, 15.5 sacks, 30 PD, 9 INTs
Hawk: 80 games, 510 tackles, 9 sacks, 23 PD, 8 INTs

on a PER game basis, here’s how it shakes out:
Barnett: 5.37 tackles, .14 sacks, .28 PD, .084 INTs
Hawk: 6.38 tackles, .11 sacks, .29 PD, .1 INTs

So as you can see, Barnett gets slightly higher sacks, but Hawk geta a LOT more tackles, and slightly more passes defensed and INTs.

Take that for what its worth.

The Green Bay Packers...Putting bad coaches out of their misery since 2010

by TrevorR on Jan 7, 2011 8:13 AM CST up reply actions  

Going by stats...

THe only conclusion is that Hawk is BETTER than Barnett… Kinda shoots hole all thru the thinking Barnett is sooo Much better than Hawk doesn’t it?!! LOL Not to mention the fact that Barnett has missed 2 of the past 3 seasons… Writing is on the wall for Barnett, IMO!

You've been Stroh'd™!!!

by Strohman on Jan 7, 2011 11:07 AM CST up reply actions  

Yeah I was kinda surpised to see it was Hawk in 3 out of the 4. I never thought of Barnett as a pro bowl type but seems like most of us were pretty high on him but the numbers just don’t back it up. Statistically Hawk is the way to go.

The Green Bay Packers...Putting bad coaches out of their misery since 2010

by TrevorR on Jan 7, 2011 11:29 AM CST up reply actions  

And if no one gets injured

It’s going to look like a huge mistake to have 20M tied up in ILB next year. We can sit here and play those guessing games all day.

Also, that’s really not any different from letting Hawk go and keeping Barnett from a depth standpoint.

Greinke: "It’s not about the guacamole itself. I just don’t want to let them win."

by GoGregGo on Jan 7, 2011 2:06 PM CST up reply actions  

Did anyone take into account that Barnett was more likely in coverage more often than Hawk?

And explain why Capers was phasing Hawk out?

Packers over the Bears, Illini over the Badgers...

by SpaceGhost34 on Jan 7, 2011 2:07 PM CST up reply actions  

Barnett in coverage...

Argument fail… If Barnett was in coverage, and he likely was, that means he was on the field and Hawk was on the bench! Yet Hawk still makes more tackles than Barnett!! Capers wasn’t fazing Hawk out, thats just something you made up to support your argument! Hawk was still a starter along w/ Barnett in base D, he just wasn’t on the field in nickel… Thats NOT being fazed out!!

You've been Stroh'd™!!!

by Strohman on Jan 7, 2011 2:24 PM CST up reply actions  

Numbers can be very deceptive

How many times did poor coverage by Hawk lead to him getting a tackle because the QB threw it his way? (at least when he was close enough to make the tackle after the catch)

53 Bears, 1 Cup

by I voted for Kodos on Jan 7, 2011 7:36 PM CST up reply actions  

If his coverage was too bad, its unlikely he would have caught the guy then, right?? Its not like he’s some speed demon that is going to turn on the burners to catch up to people.

The Green Bay Packers...Putting bad coaches out of their misery since 2010

by TrevorR on Jan 7, 2011 9:57 PM CST up reply actions  

It’s not like he’s so terrible that he’s not even near his guy. What constitutes “open” in the NFL is only a matter of inches, maybe feet. This is especially true on short passes over the middle, which happens to be the area that Hawk is usually covering.

53 Bears, 1 Cup

by I voted for Kodos on Jan 7, 2011 10:18 PM CST up reply actions  

if

hawk is released the packers take a 0 dollar hit on the cap in 2011——
if barnett is released the packers take a 1.7 million dollar hit on the cap.

signed——-a good business decision.

by hermitcrab on Jan 5, 2011 3:35 PM CST up reply actions  

So trade Barnett then

It isn’t rocket science. If your biggest deal is that it costs 1.7 million to get rid of Barnett, give him to a team that’ll give a 7th rounder in return.

Greinke: "It’s not about the guacamole itself. I just don’t want to let them win."

by GoGregGo on Jan 5, 2011 3:40 PM CST up reply actions  

Alright, Hawk turns 27 tomorrow

Barnett is 30 in May. Hawk has basically no injury history while Barnett has torn an ACL and injured his wrist. The defense has had no noticeable drop-off since Barnett was injured including in the blitz game and covering tight-ends. Both ILB positions are not created equal, they have different jobs. So you want to let go of a younger, healthier productive player who knows his position for an older player coming off of his second injury in three years who will be learning a new position and may be more productive than the guy he’s replacing? Really?

Greinke: "It’s not about the guacamole itself. I just don’t want to let them win."

by GoGregGo on Jan 5, 2011 4:03 PM CST up reply actions  

One Big word!

Barnett WAS better than Hawk!!! WAS is a large part of the equation. Will he be next year? Hawk has improved his pass coverage alot!

You've been Stroh'd™!!!

by Strohman on Jan 5, 2011 4:01 PM CST up reply actions  

I'm very interested for FO to update their defensive stats

I’d love to do a comparison piece among some of our positions, including ILB.

Greinke: "It’s not about the guacamole itself. I just don’t want to let them win."

by GoGregGo on Jan 5, 2011 4:03 PM CST up reply actions  

agree

bonds,sosa, maguire and clemens should never be aloud in MLB hall of fame.

by hermitcrab on Jan 5, 2011 4:32 PM CST up reply actions  

What?

Greinke: "It’s not about the guacamole itself. I just don’t want to let them win."

by GoGregGo on Jan 5, 2011 5:47 PM CST up reply actions  

I have no clue what he's getting at either!!!

Some kinda metaphor I imagine, but don’t have a clue!!!

You've been Stroh'd™!!!

by Strohman on Jan 5, 2011 6:04 PM CST up reply actions  

WTF

does that have to do with anything being discussed here!

The glass is still more than half-full!

I'd rather be correct, than politically correct.
I'd rather be right.

The Bears still suck!

by NorthStarr on Jan 8, 2011 9:09 AM CST up reply actions  

Barnett has left the field for two of the past three years,

making him a zero down LB!

No bang for our buck!
-

The glass is still more than half-full!

I'd rather be correct, than politically correct.
I'd rather be right.

The Bears still suck!

by NorthStarr on Jan 8, 2011 9:05 AM CST up reply actions  

I don’t see why we can’t keep them all.

A $5 million per-year salary for a backup is not really that crazy anymore. It’s a brave, new world salary-wise. Heck, Jarrett Bush gets over a million a year. …and that’s probabbly a tick below market value for him. The only players making less than a million are practice squad guys or late round draft picks who are still on their rookie deals.

Anybody who actually contributes on offense or defense is going to get multi-million dollar contracts. That’s just the way it is now.

So I say keep ‘em all, let ’em decide who starts in training camp, and then tell the other guys to wait for their opportunity. It always comes. …especially if when we go to that stupid 18 game schedule. It’s a dumb idea, but it’s gonna’ happen, and teams will need to be two or three deep with starting-caliber players at every position.

by Curly Lambeau on Jan 5, 2011 1:55 PM CST reply actions  

A $5 million per-year salary for a backup is not really that crazy anymore

It is if you’re talking about ILB. This was posted a little more than a year ago, but the TENTH highest contract for an ILB was 5 M. You just can’t afford to spend 20M+ on four ILB, especially if there’s a salary cap.

Greinke: "It’s not about the guacamole itself. I just don’t want to let them win."

by GoGregGo on Jan 5, 2011 2:02 PM CST up reply actions  

Yeah, when you put it like that...

You’re probably right. 20 mil for 4 ILBs is too high.

Then again, though… the 18 game schedule…

Teams are going to need a lot more dudes. And the dudes are all going to have to be paid. I mean, what do you pay a guy when you’re expecting him to start, but you also know that you can only realistically expect him to last part of the season? That’s a question they’ll have to answer. Y’know, with 16 games there was the expectation that there was at least a decent chance of your starters lasting the season. But, over 18 games? I think one guy starting all year might very well become unusual. …which means that you WILL need — everybody will need — twice the amount of starting-caliber players.

The salary cap is going to have to sky-rocket. Which, wasn’t it already up to about $140 million or something? If the cap goes beyond $200 million, which is not out of the realm of possibility, then $20 mil at one position group is back to “not crazy.”

by Curly Lambeau on Jan 5, 2011 8:29 PM CST up reply actions  

The salary cap in 2009

was $128 M, which is more than I thought it was. I think we’re still quite a ways from 200 M, especially since the owners want the players to take a smaller piece of the pie. We’ll have to see how/if a possible 18 game schedule is going to affect cap numbers.

Greinke: "It’s not about the guacamole itself. I just don’t want to let them win."

by GoGregGo on Jan 6, 2011 7:12 AM CST up reply actions  

18 game schedule won't affect the cap

But the larger rosters (presumably 55 to 58) would mean an increase in the cap! So indirectly the 18 games does, cuz it necessitates a larger roster.

You've been Stroh'd™!!!

by Strohman on Jan 6, 2011 12:21 PM CST up reply actions  

That's all speculation at this point though

Which is fine, but nothing is even close to set in stone at this point.

Greinke: "It’s not about the guacamole itself. I just don’t want to let them win."

by GoGregGo on Jan 6, 2011 12:25 PM CST up reply actions  

That was a good article to link, btw.

And I notice that London Fletcher signed for over $5 million in 2007. He’s good, but that was 4 years ago. NFL contract sensibilities go obsolete faster than iPods.

Remember the days when Reggie’s “blockbuster” contract was $18 million for, like, 6 years or something? hahahah I can remember when everyone was shocked, shocked I say, that Dan Marino got a 4 MILLION dollar contract, almost a million a year. …my stars! Then SanFran had to top that for Montana. yaddayaddayadda Now nickel LBs get that in guaranteed money.

by Curly Lambeau on Jan 5, 2011 8:47 PM CST up reply actions  

Hawk

He has been with us since 2006. That’s now five seasons with the team. By my count, that four years of terrible pass defense contrasted with one year of pretty good pass defense. I find it a little short sighted to deem him the linebacker to move forward with when he has only given us one good year in that area. Strohman, you make a big deal in asking if Barnett will be better than Hawk next year. Considering that the past five years (excluding the ACL tear) have proven so, I am more comfortable in saying that Barnett will still be better than Hawk next year than I would be saying Hawk will continue this trend of quality production.

Throwing out Hawk’s career stats is misleading too, considering that his production dipped dramatically when Barnett tore his ACL and Hawk filled in at MLB. When you look at value at the same position, there is no way that Hawk has proven that he is a better asset than Barnett, at least not yet. Yes, he had one good year. But lets not forget the four mediocre ones where he proved to be more of a liability than anything else, especially when defending the pass.

Barnett tore his ACL and injured his wrist. The guy had two injuries and you want to call him injury prone and use that to justify getting rid of him? By that logic, Urlacher should have been released last year after he had missed the entire season with the same wrist injury. And if Finley gets hurt, lose him. It’s not like Barnett keeps injuring the same body part all the time, like Stafford and his shoulder. Barnett’s injuries should be chalked up to bad luck and nothing more.

However, we are all missing the most important part. We keep Hawk around for one reason and one reason only: Laura Hawk. Are we really gonna let this asset (heh heh) go to some other team?

by Matt Capelle on Jan 5, 2011 5:43 PM CST reply actions  

value at the same position

They don’t play the same position tho… Hawk is the Strong ILB and Barnett/Bishop the weak ILB! They have different responsibilities! Hawk is asked to take on alot of OL, where Barnett is allowed to run to the ball. Barnett has ALWAYS been put in a position that allows him to not have to take on OL like Hawk is now! In the 43 and now in the 34 Barnett has been protected to be a tackler! Barnett is 235 and a beefed up college safety, Hawk is 250+ and a true LB! Bishop and Barnett play the same position, not Hawk and Barnett… So they can’t really be interchanged… As for Barnett he is 30 yrs old, has a large contract, and has missed 2 of the past 3 seasons w/ injuries! At his age, that is only going to get worse. Im not arguing that Barnett MIGHT be a better overall player (somewhat debatable since Barnett has missed alot of games). Hawk is 3 yrs younger, never been injured, and if he re-negotiates his contract he will be back! Since he, IMO, is the only one that can really play his ILB position (except MAYBE Bishop) he has added value! Barnett and Chillar can NOT play Hawks position, and Bishop didn’t sign a contract extension to be Barnett’s backup again! Chillar is the best coverage LB, so he’s the Nickel LB… Everyones role is perfectly set w/ Hawk, Bishop and Chillar… Keeping Barnett is overkill and leaves us short at Hawks position!

And as for Hawk he has greatly improved his pass coverage. To the point where I am confident he will continue to maintain his current level or improve upon it… Barnett I don’t have nearly the confidence of remaining the same player due to age and injuries! Hawk is older, the highest paid and the most injury prone! 3 strikes against him!!!

You've been Stroh'd™!!!

by Strohman on Jan 5, 2011 6:19 PM CST up reply actions  

last sentence...

Should be “Barnett is older, highest paid adn most injured!”

You've been Stroh'd™!!!

by Strohman on Jan 5, 2011 6:23 PM CST up reply actions  

We're talking 2011

So how is Barnett the higher-paid?

If Hawk is willing to re-negotiate, I’d be willing to keep him over Barnett. If not, I don’t see how anyone can make the argument that keeping Hawk and paying him $10 million is a good idea.

Is everyone is assuming he’ll re-negotiate? Because that completely changes the argument.

53 Bears, 1 Cup

by I voted for Kodos on Jan 7, 2011 7:45 PM CST up reply actions  

Well, its a given that Hawks need to re-negotiate...

That said if you read the post directly above it, you would know that I said Barnett has a large contract! For ‘11 as of now he doesn’t…

You've been Stroh'd™!!!

by Strohman on Jan 7, 2011 8:00 PM CST up reply actions  

You're not being very specific

I read your post and I re-read it. I still don’t see a number. Just ". However, I think his salary plus roster bonuses next year is around $6 million (or $4 million less than Hawk). Are we also taking for granted that Barnett will re-negotiate his contract? You are assuming that Hawk not only re-negotiates, but that he takes less than Barnett (who you assume is not willing to take a pay cut).

So it seems like you’re making a lot of assumptions in your arguments.

53 Bears, 1 Cup

by I voted for Kodos on Jan 7, 2011 9:05 PM CST up reply actions  

Assumptions

Yeah I’m assuming Hawk re-negotiates. IF he doesn’t he’s not here! Barnett isn’t the one who needs to re-negotiate (not that I think he would anyway). But no I don’t think Barnett is going to be asked to redo his contract! I think Hawk signs for about what Barnett is getiing… I don’t see why he should take less than Barnett. He averages more tackles per game than Barnett, is good in coverage now… Its funny that everyone complain that he can’t get off blocks, but he still averages more tackles/game even tho he’s asked to take on more OL than Barnett?!! Seems to me if he is soo bad getting off blocks he would be averaging far less tackles than Barnett!!! Could it be that some people picked up on what someone other fan thought and its spread even tho the evidence shows that it can’t really be true?!! I’m of the opinion that if Hawk re-negotiates Barnett gets traded/released… Don’t see 3 ILB getting stater type money!! But thats just me…

You've been Stroh'd™!!!

by Strohman on Jan 7, 2011 11:04 PM CST up reply actions  

Again, you're making a lot of assumptions that completely change the argument

If we’re assuming Hawk re-negotiates, why aren’t we assuming that Barnett will? Also, I wouldn’t go so far as to say Hawk’s “good in coverage now,” and I certainly wouldn’t say he’s now better than Barnett in coverage. Also, the pass rush is better this year, which helps him out in coverage.

And just because he makes more tackles does not mean he’s better than Barnett. He probably gets a few extra tackles per game because opposing QBs throw it to the guy he’s covering more often. Maybe other teams don’t scheme to block him, or they run at him more. WLBs in the 4-3 tend to get lots of tackles because they rarely have to take on blockers. So you see, there are many possible explanations for the difference in tackles, but you’re making the assumption that it’s because he’s better than Barnett. It seems to me that your argument relies on lots of assumptions that you make in favor of Hawk.

53 Bears, 1 Cup

by I voted for Kodos on Jan 8, 2011 9:58 AM CST up reply actions  

But for what it's worth

You pro-Hawkers have almost won me over with your arguments. I think Hawk’s size advantage helps, but I just consider him a huge liability in coverage.

53 Bears, 1 Cup

by I voted for Kodos on Jan 8, 2011 10:00 AM CST up reply actions  

Barnett is set to make 6M… Alot, but not for a starter! Problem is that he’s not starting now, and its doubtful he will next year! The question isn’t if Barnett would re-negotiate, its is he willing to sit on the bench! No need to redo a contract that isn’t willing to sit on the bench! Players don’t take being demoted by taking a pay cut to stay w/ the team!!! Thats absolutely ridiculous! So the queston on re-negotiating is pointless! He doesn’t need to if he starts, but if he isn’t starting he won’t be here!!! Come on man… Really your smarter than this!!!

BTW Hawk is the Strong ILB! Barnett is the weak ILB in the 34… So he should make more tackles, yet he doesn’t!! Plus your really reaching if you think Hawk is being thrown at alot more than any other LB, since they largely play zone!

You've been Stroh'd™!!!

by Strohman on Jan 8, 2011 3:24 PM CST up reply actions  

So . . .

Barnett wouldn’t be the starter if they keep him? I certainly don’t think it’s impossible for us to start Bishop and Barnett. And if Hawk leaves he’s certainly going to be the other starter.

If Barnett starts over Hawk we lose 11 pounds. But next year our d-line should be outstanding (if Jenkins comes back, if he doesn’t that’s a whole new set of issues), and we wouldn’t necessarily need to have a big MLB. The Steelers’ starting middle linebackers, for example, weigh 243 and 234 pounds. And they’re amazing against the run. Our system is very similar to the Steelers, so it stands to reason that we can operate with two smaller linebackers.

And how is it a reach to think that a QB can’t pick on a guy in zone? Of course they can! And if Hawk can’t get there quick enough to break up the pass, he will end up getting a tackle out of it. So he gets the stat but he gave up the play. The stats column says ‘tackle’ but you would be much better off with ‘pass defensed’ on your sheet. And according to FO Hawk only had a 37% success rate at stopping passes in his area of coverage, while Barnett had a 56% success rate. You’ve said yourself that it’s a passing league these days, so you should see the importance of having better coverage guys out there.

Also, the tackles per game average stats come from mostly from the 4-3 years, when Hawk was the WLB! Besides, more tackles doesn’t necessarily mean better, so please don’t pretend that tackle stats are proof of a player’s superiority. CM3 only has 60 tackles, by the way.

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by I voted for Kodos on Jan 8, 2011 7:49 PM CST up reply actions  

Barnett wouldn’t be the starter if they keep him?

I highly doubt that Bishop signed a contract extension to stay in GB as the backup to Bishop! And he isn’t playing Hawks position… He’d get killed taking on OL at 235 (if that) like the 250+ Hawk is asked to do, considering Barnetts recent injury history! I don’t see anyway the Packers even consider putting Barnett in Hawks position! None…

By the time a QB picks on a guy in zone the guy has run thru that zone and the next guy has to make the tackle… But given the tackling stats, where its shown Hawk makes More tackles than Barnett per game thats not the case!

FO… I don’t care what they say! I’ve used that as a source and gotten critisized for it… WHat I care about is what the Packers grade is… We’ll see, I guess! If the Packers try to re-negotiate Hawk its a pretty obvious sign that they are willing to move forward w/ Hawk and Bishop as the starters! If Barnett isn’t willing to sit behind Bishop, I don’t think he’ll want to be in GB anymore! That being the case Barnett will be traded (If possible) or released (more likely)… Thats My Opinion! And It matters none at all what you try to say, cuz clearly you have a bias towards Barnett!

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by Strohman on Jan 8, 2011 8:21 PM CST up reply actions  

Hawk is only 247

He’s only 11 pounds heavier than Barnett, and 4 pounds heavier than Farrior (who, incidentally, is 6 years older and still taking on blockers quite well). Don’t the Packers play more right/left side than strong/weak anyways? Yes, the tendency is for the tight end to be on the right side, but it’s not a huge discrepancy. And who’s to say Bishop can’t take on blockers?

And that’s not true about the zone. Don’t tell me that you haven’t heard of routes where they run to an open spot and sit there. And Hawk can’t react quickly enough to break up the pass, only to make the tackle, when the guy stops in front of him.

And you aren’t biased towards Hawk?

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by I voted for Kodos on Jan 8, 2011 8:42 PM CST up reply actions  

Biased

My only bias is the Packers playing the best possible D they can! And its pretty obvious to me that that means Hawk and Bishop are starting! That being the case Barnett is gone, IMO! If he will take what Chillar is making, he can come back!

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by Strohman on Jan 8, 2011 8:58 PM CST up reply actions   1 recs

Bias

My only bias is for the Packers to play the best possible D they can, as well. We just disagree on who the player is that accomplishes that. I don’t think it’s obvious who is better, I just think Barnett is more rounded and is much cheaper.

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by I voted for Kodos on Jan 8, 2011 9:57 PM CST up reply actions  

Better

I don’t think I’ve ever said that Hawk is better than Barnett!! Only that they play different positions! And I don’t think Barnett can play Hawks position… As for cheaper… Barnett is now, but if a re-negotiation for Hawk happens then they are similar. In which case I go w/ the younger, less injured and plays the more demanding position… That is Hawk!

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by Strohman on Jan 8, 2011 10:27 PM CST up reply actions  

FO… I don’t care what they say! I’ve used that as a source and gotten critisized for it

I think you meant to say “other people have used that as a source and I’ve criticized them for it.” I don’t think I’ve ever seen someone criticized for using FO on this site from anyone other than you.

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by GoGregGo on Jan 9, 2011 9:09 AM CST up reply actions  

That's true on the Steelers ILB's

However, keep in mind that is 1 team that is stout against the run with undersized ILB’s. Also, while I love BJ Raji, especially when he pass rushes, he’s not nearly on the same level at run stopping as Hampton is. It’s very rare to see success with all your ILB’s being undersized. Even with that said, there’s still a difference of 243 to 238.

So it’s very much possible that it could work if we stick with Barnett, but the odds are against it. You really can’t include the DE’s when it comes to stopping the run inside. It’s the 2 ILB’s and the NT. That’s why it’s always said the 3-4 is vulnerable to runs to the inside, thus being why having a big stout NT is crucial for this. Raji is a beast, no doubt, but you are putting a lot of pressure on him by taking away some beef from the LB’s.

I won’t argue that if we keep Barnett, our Pass D will be better. That’s assuming Barnett doesn’t get injured (which he was in 2 of the past 3 years) and we do hold up against the run (which will be more vulnerable). It’s a huge risk. Keep in mind if the opposing team is pounding the ball up the middle all game, the defense may fold in the 4th Quarter with our undersized ILB’s taking an absolute pounding all game.

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by Jabooty on Jan 8, 2011 8:40 PM CST up reply actions   1 recs

Next year

our d-line should have Neal (and possibly Jolly) back, and we can always shift Pickett inside to stop the run.

It’s a passing league, and it’s nice to have a good run defense, but we’ve been beat more in the passing game than the running game over the last two seasons. Maybe the Arizona game just haunts me too much, but I’m more concerned about our pass D than our run D.

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by I voted for Kodos on Jan 8, 2011 8:46 PM CST up reply actions  

Neal plays RE, Jolly plays LE (assuming he comes back, which I don’t think he will). It’s about the middle of the defense that is vulnerable, not the outside. Yes, we could shift Pickett inside, but Capers won’t do that. Plus, that’s still putting a lot of extra burden on the NT in Pickett.

What you are doing is essentially building a defense just like the Colts. All pass D, no run D. That defense isn’t too good by the way. It doesn’t help that much to have a pass D if you can’t stop the run. It’s a pass driven league, no doubt, but the run is still very much an important element to every offense. Trust me on this, the Packers will NEVER stop AP and the Vikings next year if we have an all out Pass Defense with fewer run defenders. You need both.

The Packers defense clicks because of its balance and unpredictability. The balance being that we can stop the run when we work to do it or stop the pass by doing the opposite. This defense is nothing like it was last year. If you take beef away from the inside, then we are going to be complaining because we can’t stop the run. Essentially, it’s 2008 all over again. You need balance, and that’s what we have right now.

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REVENGE 4 DEANNA !!!
Brent Favre is the cheater!!!!!

by Jabooty on Jan 8, 2011 8:55 PM CST up reply actions   1 recs

RDE

Pretty sure that the Packers listed Jenkins and Neal both as RDE… That would be the side lining up vs the LT for the opposing offense. Can’t be sure anymore, but I would swear that Neal was the Primary backup to Jenkins, not Jolly!

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by Strohman on Jan 8, 2011 9:02 PM CST up reply actions  

That's a good point

The flexibility of our D is part of what makes it good. But I don’t think we’re on the verge of becoming the Colts. Or even close.

That said, the most flexibility we can give our D involves keeping Chillar, Hawk, and Barnett. And the chance of that happening is probably close to zero. The more I debate this the more I think it will come down to who’s willing to take the pay cut. But I’m sure MM and TT will take things into account that we know nothing of, such as the respect that player commands in the locker room, their work ethic, who makes better adjustments, etc.

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by I voted for Kodos on Jan 8, 2011 10:06 PM CST up reply actions  

I can accept that.

If Barnett is THAT much better a leader or in the lockerroom, or THAT much better at his job than Hawk at his, I can accept that too…

I just don’t think either is the case…

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by Strohman on Jan 8, 2011 10:29 PM CST up reply actions  

I was never THAT down on Hawk. He wasn’t an all pro but he was decent. I guess the key is where Bishop will be playing. If he’s best in Barnetts place (by the way, he’s playing Barnett’s position WAY better than Barnett EVER did) then that means the opening is in Hawks. Do we feel that Barnett would excel doing what Hawk does? Its not the same thing.

Statistically, its pretty interesting to see how it breaks down between the two. Keep in mind, one of hawks season was half spent filling in for Barnett out of position which hurt his numbers that year. Last year his numbers were down too after moving to ILB in the 3-4. If not for that, he would blow Barnett away statistically. I am starting to think we maybe overvalued Barnett some…
Barnett: 107 games, 575 tackles, 15.5 sacks, 30 PD, 9 INTs
Hawk: 80 games, 510 tackles, 9 sacks, 23 PD, 8 INTs

on a PER game basis, here’s how it shakes out:
Barnett: 5.37 tackles, .14 sacks, .28 PD, .084 INTs
Hawk: 6.38 tackles, .11 sacks, .29 PD, .1 INTs

So as you can see, Barnett gets slightly higher sacks, but Hawk geta a LOT more tackles, and slightly more passes defensed and INTs.

Take that for what its worth.

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by TrevorR on Jan 7, 2011 8:23 AM CST up reply actions  

Good job working the stats up Trev!

Prettty interesting to see that statistically Hawk is better than Barnett! That should make the Pro Barnett crowd shudder to see… LOL

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by Strohman on Jan 7, 2011 11:14 AM CST up reply actions  

Defensive much?

Jeez man, no one is suggesting that. If you want to go get different stats, go try FO where you can see that Hawk and Barnett have very different Advanced Stats. The most interesting is 2009 comparing Passing Stop rates, where Barnett is 57% versus Hawk’s 36%. I’m interested to see what Hawk’s numbers will look like for this year, because I certainly feel he has improved but have no idea how much.

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by GoGregGo on Jan 7, 2011 2:10 PM CST up reply actions  

Hawk's coverage

I would think he’s improved, but I would think all of our defensive player’s passing stop rates have improved over last season because our pass rush is greatly improved. We also haven’t faced a bevy of good QBs like we did last year. Facing the 2010 version of Favre versus the 2009 Favre will alone distort those numbers.

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by I voted for Kodos on Jan 7, 2011 9:07 PM CST up reply actions  

Last year was a terrible year for him…no one will deny that. In fact the year before looks bad too because he was playing out of position in Barnett’s position for much of the year.

I’ll give him a pass for those two years though. in 2008 he was covering for Barnett after he went down with an injury. An OLB playing MLB is a pretty big change. In 2009 he went from a OLB to a 3-4 MLB which again is a different position. A lot of the guys struggled to adjust as you owuld expect.

I think these changes are the reason people have soured on him so much cause I don’t remember hearing the hatred for him until 2009.

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by TrevorR on Jan 7, 2011 10:00 PM CST up reply actions  

True

Do have to give Hawk some leeway in that he’s been learning new positions and new schemes. And yes, he does seem to have played better this year, but so have most of the Packers defenders, so it’s hard to determine what’s causing it – are they getting more used to Capers’ schemes? Playing worse QBs/RBs/TEs/WRs? I realize I’m being a little hard on Hawk, but I just don’t think he’s worth anything approaching $10 million.

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by I voted for Kodos on Jan 7, 2011 10:22 PM CST up reply actions  

Sorry..

Had to go Barnett, but not a lot of conviction..I just always thought he was more style than substance. I could see keeping him over Chillar though..

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by White92 on Jan 6, 2011 10:29 AM CST reply actions  

Yeah…he’s got the excitement and pizazz but the numbers don’t back him up as anything more than pretty good at best.

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by TrevorR on Jan 7, 2011 8:24 AM CST up reply actions  

Hawk is more important for Run D purposes

If you look at all the 3-4 defenses in the league and compare the weight alone from Hawk to the rest of the LILB’s in the same defense, Hawk is right where he should be. Hawk is 247 lbs according to yahoo. The average weight for LILB’s is 243 lbs. You may think that is low, but that figure is drastically reduced for 2 reasons:

1. Some teams (Jets, Browns, Chargers, Chiefs, and Cardinals) have their bigger ILB playing RILB. This could be for a number of reasons, such as a different 3-4 system. The Chiefs for example have LILB Belcher who weighs only 228 lbs, whereas RILB Derrick Johnson weighs 242 lbs.

2. Another reason is teams are still transitioning to the 3-4 defense, so that causes for some players being out of place. Thus being why there are some undersized LILB’s in the league. When you look at the teams that have run the 3-4 for an extended amount of time, NONE of them are fielding a LILB lighter than 242 lbs (49ers). Many though weigh in the 250 lb range.

The point is that it’s very important for every 3-4 defense to field an ILB that can hold up at the point of attack from offensive linemen. ILB’s in the 3-4 are expected to stop the run up the middle along with the NT. Hawk’s role in our defense may not be flashy or glamorous, but it is important as he has to free up the weak side ILB to make plays while doing crossing blitzes. Even with that said, Hawk does have sacks himself. More importantly though, Hawk is a run stopper. He can hold up at the point of attack by either an OG or C. He does fail to shed the blocks, but he doesn’t get knocked on his butt all the time either.

Sure, there very well may be an upgrade over Hawk in the future. However, if you start both Barnett and Bishop, you have 2 light ILB’s that will take an absolute POUNDING from opposing offensive linemen. Bishop is 238 lbs and Barnett is 236 lbs. You need an ILB that can handle the strong side of the defense and doesn’t get wore game as the game progresses. To Hawk’s credit, he hasn’t been injured yet.

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by Jabooty on Jan 7, 2011 7:45 PM CST reply actions  

I realize we need one LB who can take on blocks

but I think Hawk’s inability to shed blockers makes him no better than Barnett in this role. And if it wears him down, then we don’t re-sign him in a few years when his contract is up. But I don’t think Hawk’s 11 pounds are sufficient to warrant his bloated 2011 salary.

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by I voted for Kodos on Jan 7, 2011 7:50 PM CST up reply actions  

Not his 10M bloated salary!

But there is no doubt that if Hawk is around in ‘11 he’ll have re-negotiated!

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by Strohman on Jan 7, 2011 8:07 PM CST up reply actions  

WOW

That is EXACTLY what I’ve been saying since this discussion started! Thanx for re-inforcing it…

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by Strohman on Jan 7, 2011 8:06 PM CST up reply actions  

He said it with a little more depth and detail though :-)

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by TrevorR on Jan 7, 2011 10:01 PM CST up reply actions  

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