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Around SBN: The Most Dangerous Division in Sports

Preview: Raiders at Green Bay Packers

GREEN BAY, WI - DECEMBER 09: Zach Miller #80 of the Oakland Raiders is brought down by Aaron Kampman #74 and Nick Barnett #56 of the Green Bay Packers on December 9, 2007 at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin. The Packers defeated the Raiders 38-7 to win the NFC North Division title. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)

When the Green Bay Packers host the Raiders on Sunday, it might be a battle of the two worst run defenses in the NFL. Here are the rankings from Football Outsiders:

Packers Raiders
Pass Offense 1 18
Pass Defense 21 10
Run Offense 10 9
Run Defense 29 32
Special Teams 12 21

As bad as the Packers run defense has been, they've never let a team control the game's tempo with their rushing attack. The Raiders have the potential, but they appear to be slipping. Over their last three games, Michael Bush has been held to well under 4 yards per carry. The low point was when he was held to 18 yards rushing last week in Miami. The Dolphins run defense has played better than the Packers this season, but they're not the best in the NFL either. I expect the Packers run defense will allow some yards, but they won't let the game get out of hand, so long as they don't allow a LaGarrette Blount type touchdown run.

The Packers pass defense could struggle against Carson Palmer. I pointed out earlier this week that he's been wildly inconsistent since he took over as their starting quarterback, so it's not easy to predict whether he'll show up on Sunday. He could throw for a couple touchdowns as he's done in three starts this season. But against a weak Dolphins pass defense last week, he was mostly useless while they fell behind by 34 points. Only a couple of late touchdown passes made his game stats look respectable.

The Packers pass offense hasn't been stopped by any team this season, and the Raiders don't look like they'll be the first team to do it. The weather should be clear with little wind, and Aaron Rodgers should have another Rodgers-like game. It's been probably the worst week ever for Raiders (and ex-Packer) starting CB Chris Johnson, but he did return to practice and should play on Sunday. While the Packers run offense is better than you might expect, Football Outsiders has them ranked at No. 10 overall, they clearly missed RG Josh Sitton (who's out again this week). Still, the Packers should have no trouble putting together another big game on offense.

Packers 31, Raiders 14.

Comment 19 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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I agree...

I don’t think they should pose too serious a threat to the Packers. I think they should win fairly easily. They’re gonna have to focus on stopping the run and making Palmer beat them.

*Soon-to-be Packers shareholder*
With my last breath, I curse Zoidberg!

by RaY210 on Dec 10, 2011 1:37 PM CST via mobile reply actions  

Finley has a better game this week.

He’s a great weapon and was not satisfied with his performance last week. Expect him to make the most of his opportunitites this week. Several INT’s of Palmer. 35-17.

Life is too short to drink bad coffee...

by Jeigh AK on Dec 10, 2011 2:08 PM CST reply actions  

ha!

Oops. I skipped along in my stream of consciousness there. Besides Finley, I hope the TEAM has several INT’s of Palmer.

Life is too short to drink bad coffee...

by Jeigh AK on Dec 10, 2011 5:57 PM CST up reply actions  

You may be on to something...

if Finley keeps dropping balls, they may put him on defense! Safety maybe?

In Every Climb and Place....

by PhoenicianPakFan on Dec 10, 2011 7:32 PM CST up reply actions   1 recs

I guess if I were you, I would be flattered.

You seem to be on the minds of our posters even when you aren’t involved in the discussions. =)

What is the saying in Hollywood? Any PR is good PR?

In Every Climb and Place....

by PhoenicianPakFan on Dec 10, 2011 4:15 PM CST up reply actions  

I mean...

Any publicity is good publicity.

I guess “PR” doesn’t really work there.

In Every Climb and Place....

by PhoenicianPakFan on Dec 10, 2011 4:16 PM CST up reply actions  

yes, it should have read

any pr are good pr.

In love with the new Gaknar avatar.

by threadkiller on Dec 10, 2011 7:10 PM CST up reply actions  

lol

In Every Climb and Place....

by PhoenicianPakFan on Dec 10, 2011 3:33 PM CST up reply actions  

Nah, not yet.

Gotta work early tomorrow so probably won’t tonight.

In Every Climb and Place....

by PhoenicianPakFan on Dec 10, 2011 4:40 PM CST up reply actions  

PPF has been in a state of perpetual drunkenness for over 3 years now.

Even when he’s not drinking.

I already told you! I deal with the god damn receivers so the linebackers don’t have to! I have coverage skills; I’m good at covering people! Can’t you understand that? What the hell is wrong with you people?!

by msc32887 on Dec 10, 2011 9:07 PM CST up reply actions  

This would explain a lot of the strange goings-on around here....

and this perpetual headache I’ve had for the same amount of time.

In Every Climb and Place....

by PhoenicianPakFan on Dec 11, 2011 12:01 AM CST up reply actions  

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