Football Outsiders: The Packers Week 15 Rankings

by Brandon on Dec 21, 2011 10:00 AM CST in Green Bay Packers Analysis

FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis | Week 15 DVOA Ratings. Though the Packers lost, they remain at the top of the rankings because it wasn't a great week for the top four teams. The Patriots didn't impress against the Broncos, and they got some turnover luck by recovering 4 of the 5 fumbles in the game. The Steelers lost badly to the 49ers, and the Texans lost to the Panthers.

FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis | Week 15 Quick Reads. This was Aaron Rodgers's worst game of the season, but it was still respectable because he ran the ball so well.

FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis | Audibles at the Line: Week 15

Sports Radio Interviews " Blog Archive " Ryan Grant on the Formula for Beating the Packers: "Us making mistakes"

In the Audibles at the Line, it's mentioned that the Packers looked flat, and the only thing that can stop Rodgers is his receivers and offensive lineman. Ryan Grant somewhat confirms that in his radio interview.

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Speaking of analysis

I posted this on another post, but I’ll bring it up here. This is from PFF.

"Part of what makes Aaron Rodgers 2011 so remarkable is the fact that no quarterback in the NFL has had more passes dropped than the 40 from the Green Bay receivers. The receiving corps chipped in with another five in this game…" And for the Chiefs game, "Aaron Rodgers’ completion percentage was 48.6%, taking away the five drops, two throw aways and a spike, he was accurate on 68.8% of his passes."

Having a big drop game like this should wake up the receivers, and they should be even more focused in practice. Their analysis should calm down any hysteria about how the team played. It was NOT a telling performance, just an off day due to injuries and mental mistakes.

Once the OL and Greg gets healthy, go ahead and play tight man coverage at your own peril. Because we will destroy that coverage.

by Shoes31 on Dec 21, 2011 11:12 AM CST reply actions

Isn't Jennings out for the season?

Or is that just the regular season?

by dchoubak on Dec 21, 2011 1:12 PM CST up reply actions

Regular season

At least it should be, considering how knee sprains typically heal. Our bye week in the playoffs is when he should be able to return, if his injury heals as expected with no complications.

by Shoes31 on Dec 21, 2011 1:29 PM CST up reply actions

felt like watching the miami or washington game all over from last year

by Glenn'sYank13 on Dec 21, 2011 11:17 AM CST reply actions

Grant's got the formula

cliches came-out in excess upont the packers’ loss. “get that distraction out of the way”, “now you can just focus on winning the Super Bowl”, “a loss humbles you and makes you more focused.”
the best is “gives a blueprint on how to beat the Packers.” Grant nailed it: Packers made too many mistakes. The other obvious is that the Orton didn’t make any huge mistakes.
Those 2 preceed any other strategy that the Chiefs used to win the game. I can’t really call that a blueprint.

by Anthony Dilweg on Dec 21, 2011 12:59 PM CST reply actions 1 recs

Formula = Hope for key injuries, hope for lots of drops, don’t ever turn it over, control the clock and keep Rodgers off the field.

The Green Bay Packers...Putting bad coaches out of their misery since 2010

by TrevorR on Dec 21, 2011 2:10 PM CST up reply actions

No more need for hope

As Shoes31’s comment demonstrates, opponents don’t need to hope too hard for dropped passes. The Packers apparently lead the league in drops. Drops will happen.

Opponents also don’t have to hope for key injuries, because those have now happened and will affect at least the last two regular season games.

by LA Cheese on Dec 21, 2011 2:42 PM CST up reply actions

The blueprint is the same as it's always been

Don’t turn the ball over and get consistent pressure with just 4 rushers.

It’s just that the Chiefs were the first team this year to do that. Everyone is trying!

by Archibaldcrane on Dec 21, 2011 3:01 PM CST up reply actions

Gone unnoticed...

… the fact that a patchwork offensive line had to put together some semblence of effective protection scheme with no practice time to do so and that the defense could not get off the field when crunch time came down. The JSonline site has a great segment called X’s and O’s with Leroy Butler where he diagrams the back breaker in the Chiefs game and JMike had nothing to do with it. Peprah and Burnett were the key pieces on the long pass to Pope that set up the Chiefs lone td. Burnett functions well when he is allowed to freelance with a Nick Collins to play deep center. Charlie Peprah simply stinks as he gets sucked in on play action every time. Why Hawk is not pulled on passing downs and Francois not inserted is beyond me. Francois is a freak of nature, built like Peppers, long and lean. When he drops into zone, his ability to go vertical is freakish.

by glblank on Dec 21, 2011 6:43 PM CST reply actions

Really?

Francois is a freak of nature, built like Peppers, long and lean. When he drops into zone, his ability to go vertical is freakish.

So the 6’2 255 Francois(Hawk is 6’1 250 btw) is a freak of nature and built like the 6’7 290 Peppers? Where do you get this stuff? About the most ridiculous thing I’ve read… Ever… You know why Francois is at ILB? Cuz he failed at OLB! Thankfully Thompsons saw a little in him that translates to ILB, if it weren’t for that he probably isn’t in the league. He is no freak, he’s not particularly long or lean. He a plugger ILB that is built to take on OL, thats why he’s behind Hawk! I agree he should start getting some snaps on passing downs, but let cut back on the retoric a little!!

Our Biggest Challenge is how we deal w/ Success!

by Strohman on Dec 21, 2011 10:38 PM CST up reply actions