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Predict The Final Score Of The Super Bowl

One question I'm commonly asked before any Green Bay Packers game is my prediction of the final score. To make my best guess, I look at previous scores against similar teams. How many points did the Packers score in a game against a similar defense? How about the Steelers?

The Steelers defense allowed the fewest points and the second fewest yards per game allowed (behind the Chargers). The next closest teams the Packers faced were the Bears (fourth fewest points allowed) and the Jets (third fewest yards per game allowed). In those four games, the Packers scored 17, 9, 10, and 21 points. That's just over 14 points scored per game. 

The Packers defense allowed the second fewest points and fifth fewest yards. The closest teams the Steelers faced were the Ravens and (again) the Jets. In those five games, the Steelers scored 14, 13, 17, 31, and 24. That's an average of just under 20 points per game.

Luckily for my analysis, the games aren't played based on past performance. And in those last two games for both teams, they won them both. I know the Packers offense can explode for big points against very good teams. Such as the times they scored 45 against the Giants and 48 against the Falcons. But the more I think about this game, the more likely it seems to be a close one. Packers 21, Steelers 20.

What do you think the final score will be?

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I'm going with..

27-20 Packers.. A late 4th quarter TD leads to a bunch of nervous Packers fans as Big Ben starts a drive with a few minutes to go but ends with a Tramon Williams gets a late pick to seal the deal!!

Go Pack Go!!

by mkcubs21 on Feb 2, 2011 7:49 AM CST reply actions  

Prediction

Packers 17, Steelers 10
The Packers D-Line versus the Steeler O-Line has an advantage over the Steelers D-Line versus the Packers O-Line because of recent developments concerning injury to the Steelers Center, thus the Steelers O might struggle for points more so than in the past.
The Packers also play well in Domes, and on turf, and had their best games in such environments, the Steelers had their worst games this season when playing on turf.

by Newsbrain on Feb 2, 2011 8:01 AM CST reply actions  

28-14 Packers

The Steelers defense is very good, but I really feel we are going too fare exceptionally well with our 4 and 5 reciever sets. They are not nearly as good of a defense when they are forced out of their base defense. Ourselves when we know a team wants to run we do a very good job of shutting it down. I think we will shut down their run and make them one dimensional I like our DB’s against their wide recievers.

by the yooper on Feb 2, 2011 8:17 AM CST reply actions  

The other big advantage I wanted to mention

Hard to believe a Packer team is built for a dome but we are. Rodgers plays lights out in a dome. Big advantage Packers

by the yooper on Feb 2, 2011 8:21 AM CST up reply actions  

Not close at all, I hope!

If it is a close game, then that does not bode well for the Packers. The refs have a tendency to mess up and that WILL make a big difference in a close game. For a team like the Steelers, they seem to get more bad calls go their way than almost any other team out there (Patriots and Cowboys have benefited from this in the past). It would be much better for Green Bay if the game is a blowout. That way the refs cannot have a huge impact on the game.

Good thing for the Packers that they are the better team. Packers take a big early lead, and hold off a late comeback from the Steelers in the 4th.

Packers 38 Steelers 24

-Starmark

by starmark on Feb 2, 2011 8:18 AM CST reply actions   1 recs

Packers 34-Snowstorm 21

inches that is….

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by Fukudometer on Feb 2, 2011 8:19 AM CST reply actions  

Packers 35 Steelers 17

The Packers are going to jump out to an early 14-0 lead only to have the Steelers take the lead back before half-time (17-14 Steelers). After the half, the Packers take over with 3 straight touchdown scores between the end of the third and beginning of the fourth.

Aaron Rodgers does something that Favre didn’t: win the Super Bowl MVP (20 comps, 32 attempts, 342 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT, 5 rush 34 yards, 1 TD).

The Packers end the game with getting 2 INTs (Woodson, Bishop), 4 sacks (Raji 2, Matthews 1, T. Williams 1), and a fumble recovery (Hawk) while giving up 1 INT and 3 sacks.

by Steve From Florida on Feb 2, 2011 8:30 AM CST reply actions  

Holy Crap!

Did you dream that?

Awesome!!!

by Farveuless Pack on Feb 2, 2011 9:06 AM CST up reply actions  

that is incredibly specific

If that all happens I will buy you a cheeseburger made of gold.

Also, while Favre didn’t win the MVP I will always think he was robbed, because 250+ yards, 2 passing tds and a rushing td probably helped the team win more than one kickoff return for a touchdown.

I dispense B.S. and facts. It is up to you to figure out which is which.

by GMan83201 on Feb 2, 2011 11:26 AM CST up reply actions  

Agreed

As much as I’m not a Favre fan at the moment, he did sort of get robbed in XXXI.

by wibrownguy on Feb 2, 2011 2:35 PM CST up reply actions  

Don't get me wrong...I'm not a Favre hater

I also believe that Favre got robbed in that game. He totally dismantled the Pats in that game. Desmond Howard got lucky and in the end took home what rightfully belonged to Favre. That said, Howard still won the award.

Rodgers will get it this year. If not him, then I really hope that Driver would end up with it in his hands. He deserves something like this for all the years that he put into this team.

And I will be waiting for that golden cheeseburger….yummmm….cheeseburger (drool).

by Steve From Florida on Feb 2, 2011 9:38 PM CST up reply actions  

I'd love it if Woodson won it

2 sacks, int TD, a couple forced fumbles.

A.J. Hawk, B.J. Raji, C.J. Wilson, who's next, D.J. Shockley?

by Wiedmann on Feb 2, 2011 11:46 PM CST up reply actions  

Packers 24 Steelers 17

I see the Steelers run blocking and defense of Ben in the passing game going a little south with Pouncey hurt. He’ll probably start, but you know Raji will go at him full tilt, Pouncey won’t be able to plant that foot to block or run full speed to pull on a run block. Pouncey out by halftime.

by nugnrose82 on Feb 2, 2011 8:53 AM CST reply actions  

Sorry, i missed what the prize is..?

Green and Gold 27
Stillers 13

I love wins. Wins are good for the soul.- Barry Alvarez Sep 25, 2005

by White92 on Feb 2, 2011 8:54 AM CST reply actions  

If you're right,

the prize is self-evident. (It rhymes with Ferrari Gropey.)

"Believe me Delmar, woman is the most fiendish instrument of torture ever devised to bedevil the days of man."

by Ben T on Feb 2, 2011 11:20 AM CST up reply actions  

I wonder if

Big Ben has a Ferrari?

"Believe me Delmar, woman is the most fiendish instrument of torture ever devised to bedevil the days of man."

by Ben T on Feb 2, 2011 2:18 PM CST up reply actions  

Packers 21 Steelers 10

I don’t see the Steelers’ offense doing anything on Sunday.

by Nojus on Feb 2, 2011 9:13 AM CST reply actions  

I don't like to predict scores

because of a jinx factor but I agree with Starmark that as long as the refs don’t influence the outcome the Packers should win.

by Wisfan on Feb 2, 2011 9:15 AM CST reply actions  

Packers 23 Steelers 17

Big Ben’s drive to win the game in the waning seconds is upended by a Tramon Williams INT.

"Who ever heard of the Cubs losing a game they had to have?" -Frank Chance
"If [Ruth] had [called his shot], I would have knocked him down with the next pitch." -Charlie Root

by Clutch16 on Feb 2, 2011 9:20 AM CST reply actions  

Look above..

Different score but same finish.. Go Pack Go!!

Go Pack Go!!

by mkcubs21 on Feb 2, 2011 9:28 AM CST up reply actions  

Great minds and all that...

"Who ever heard of the Cubs losing a game they had to have?" -Frank Chance
"If [Ruth] had [called his shot], I would have knocked him down with the next pitch." -Charlie Root

by Clutch16 on Feb 2, 2011 1:23 PM CST up reply actions  

Packers 31 Steelers 24. And I don’t say that because I drew 1-4 in my most expensive SB box. Not at all.

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by George E. Ays on Feb 2, 2011 9:28 AM CST reply actions  

Packers 17 Pittsburgh 10

I don’t really see a whole lot being done on offense, but moreso from the Steelers. D is going to be the key to the game, and I think we’ll see another great return from Tramon or C-Wood Sunday. Speaking of, I’d love to see him get the Super Bowl MVP.

When life gives ya lemons, shut up and eat your damn lemons.

by P-Townfan on Feb 2, 2011 9:32 AM CST reply actions  

23-20

I’m going to say the Packers win, but I could see the Steelers winning by the same score

REPORTER: What do you think is happening to the team?
MICHAEL RAY RICHARDSON: The ship be sinking.
REPORTER: How far can it sink?
MICHAEL RAY RICHARDSON: Sky's the limit.

by uofmike on Feb 2, 2011 9:35 AM CST reply actions  

Packers 24 - Steelers 13

D.D. Wins MVP with 135yrds, 2 TDs. One of which will be Deja vu like to the one against the 49ers. Williams will have one pick. Starks will have the third TD. My prediction.

by gavitron9 on Feb 2, 2011 10:13 AM CST via mobile reply actions  

23-13, Packers

I think we will be successful moving the ball between the 20s, but will have trouble getting the ball in the end zone. Our two touchdowns will come from big plays, but otherwise we will be settling for field goals.

"Believe me Delmar, woman is the most fiendish instrument of torture ever devised to bedevil the days of man."

by Ben T on Feb 2, 2011 10:32 AM CST reply actions  

+1

Go Suns, Packers, Jays, and Huskers!

And go Shawn Watson and Barney Cotton! Seriously, leave Lincoln. Now.

Super Bowl here we come!

by Omaha Sun on Feb 2, 2011 1:54 PM CST up reply actions  

28-25

Packers open up with an early lead, struggle second half, leave points on the field by not scoring FG on promising drives, Steelers come out strong second half, go for two on a middle fourth quarter drive leaving all Packers fans holding their breath now that 3pts can tie the game, but it’s all over after an interception from Woodson/Shields/Williams/Collins.

It’s not so much a prediction as a summary of the last say 6 games (save for Atlanta) give or take

by pharom on Feb 2, 2011 10:37 AM CST reply actions  

Oh, that should be Packers 28, Steelers 25

I hope for the Packers win, of course, but this game feels like a push. Of course, I felt the same way about the Falcons, so there’s that

by pharom on Feb 2, 2011 10:38 AM CST up reply actions  

Packers 24 Steelers 21

Though I could definitely see Pitt winning by the same score. Bonus pick, Tremon Williams wins MVP for his coverage of Mike Wallace and a couple picks.

by Kuhl on Feb 2, 2011 10:41 AM CST reply actions  

Steelers won't be negative?

haha

I love wins. Wins are good for the soul.- Barry Alvarez Sep 25, 2005

by White92 on Feb 2, 2011 11:34 AM CST up reply actions  

Packers 24 Steelers 14.

Fire Slocum

by packallday555 on Feb 2, 2011 11:14 AM CST reply actions  

Packers 24 Steelers 21

Boring first quarter with maybe one touchdown from either team. Action picks up in the 2nd quarter. Then the 2nd half is crazy with the Packers winning the game on a last-minute defensive stand.

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by KD1 on Feb 2, 2011 11:20 AM CST reply actions  

I think the Packers will roll offensively

Their preferred form of offense is a spread attack with quick slants, which is Pittsburgh’s weakness on defense. So it really depends on whether this is a back and forth contest. If Green bay jumps out to an early lead and Pittsburgh has to abandon the run it will be something like 38-24 Green Bay. If it turns into more of a shootout it’s hard to predict, something like 38-35 with either team coming out on top. I don’t see a situation where Pittsburgh is able to pull away from Green Bay.

I dispense B.S. and facts. It is up to you to figure out which is which.

by GMan83201 on Feb 2, 2011 11:32 AM CST reply actions  

Packers 22 Steelers 9

Rodgers wins MVP by going 18/27 for 274 yds and a td.

by badgerman59 on Feb 2, 2011 11:46 AM CST reply actions  

31 - 27 Packers

"Show me a good loser, and I'll show you a loser." - Vince Lombardi

by AdamA on Feb 2, 2011 12:04 PM CST reply actions  

Packers win 35-27

If the Packers can stop the running game then it’ll be 35-17.

by joeybal56 on Feb 2, 2011 12:24 PM CST reply actions  

I also predict Packers 24 Steelers 21

I don’t think it will come down to the foot of Mason Crosby though, I think that 3 points will come earlier in the game.

by jmeks23 on Feb 2, 2011 12:49 PM CST reply actions  

I hope so.

Go Suns, Packers, Jays, and Huskers!

And go Shawn Watson and Barney Cotton! Seriously, leave Lincoln. Now.

Super Bowl here we come!

by Omaha Sun on Feb 2, 2011 1:56 PM CST up reply actions  

Packers 21 Steelers 17

"Number 9 Number 9 Number 9 Number 9 Number 9 Number 9 Number 9 Number 9 Number 9 Number 9 Number 9 Number 9 Number 9 Number 9 Number 9 Number 9 Number 9 Number 9 Number 9Number 9 Number 9 Number 9 Number 9 Number 9 Number 9Number 9 Number 9 Number 9 Number 9 Number 9 Number 9 Number 9"

by Gelatin on Feb 2, 2011 1:23 PM CST via mobile reply actions  

31-13 Steelers

Early in the game Harrison is going to blow Aaron Rodgers up just like Peppers did and he’ll be just as bad against the Steelers as he was against the Bears. No running game and a rattled Rodgers means you lose in a rout.

by Skags on Feb 2, 2011 2:08 PM CST reply actions  

If by blow up, you mean commit a personal foul

I tend to agree. You do realize that Peppers was marginalized that whole game, right? The only time Peppers hit Rodgers was late (both in the game & in the play).

A.J. Hawk, B.J. Raji, C.J. Wilson, who's next, D.J. Shockley?

by Wiedmann on Feb 2, 2011 4:20 PM CST up reply actions  

Double post AND reply fail.

Well done.

Go Suns, Packers, Jays, and Huskers!

And go Shawn Watson and Barney Cotton! Seriously, leave Lincoln. Now.

Super Bowl here we come!

by Omaha Sun on Feb 2, 2011 2:33 PM CST up reply actions  

Packers Win 31-16

We have more playmakers and speed than the Steelers
Our WR’s are better than their DB’s and conversely our DB’s are better than their WR’s.
AR’s 115 QB rating and 11-6 record in domes
Steelers went up against only two teams in the top 11 re passings O; both losses
We sack, they give up alot of sacks
MM’s game planning and Capers D

by BubbaOne on Feb 2, 2011 2:58 PM CST reply actions  

I tend to agree that GB will win,

I do have a couple to add playing devil’s advocate.

Steelers sack, GB at times has been known to give up a lot of sacks.
They can run a little, GB has been known to struggle against the run
Roethlisberger is a big guy and even CM3 has talked about how hard it is to tackle him.
Tomlin’s game planning and Lebeau’s D.

Otherwise, good points! Go Pack!

by Kuhl on Feb 2, 2011 5:36 PM CST up reply actions  

Packers 31, Steelers 20.

A late pick-6 by the Packers D seals the win.

by Tophr on Feb 2, 2011 3:13 PM CST reply actions  

Pack 28, Steelers 24

I think they line up the Freezer at fullback and he scores so he can do the Raji!!!
GO PACK GO!!!

by cheddarhead on Feb 2, 2011 3:18 PM CST reply actions  

Personally

I’m hoping for a touchdown catch by Raji, but seeing him run over Polamalu would be just as good.

by Kuhl on Feb 2, 2011 5:37 PM CST up reply actions  

Packers 38, Steelers 27

SB XLV Champion Green Bay Packers bring the Vince Lombardi Trophy back home where it all started.

by Hutsons Best on Feb 2, 2011 3:33 PM CST reply actions  

GB 49- PIT 6

Daniel Tosh has my back, linky.

They want power. We want respect...

by SenorChuckles on Feb 2, 2011 6:38 PM CST reply actions  

Titletown 24, Steelers 20

1,2,3...WHITE HOUSE!!!

.

The glass is full to the brim!

I'd rather be correct, than politically correct.
I'd rather be right.

The Bears still suck!

by NorthStarr on Feb 3, 2011 3:36 AM CST reply actions  

24-10 Green Bay

…where it’s not as close as the final score. It’ll be a boring game (for everybody who isn’t a Packer fan).

Hoping for Charles Woodson MVP, to go along with his Heisman and DPotY.

by Curly Lambeau on Feb 3, 2011 5:49 PM CST reply actions  

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