According to head coach Jack Del Rio, the Jaguars are going to be a player in the free agent market (whenever it begins). From Big Cat Country:
Obviously the two biggest holes on the defensive side of the ball are at the safety position and the linebacker position. I'd expect the Jaguars to target the likes of Eric Weddle, Quintin Mikell, or even Atari Bigby at the safety position.
Alfie Crow emailed me about Bigby, and here's what I had to say about him:
He's a hard hitting safety, and below average in pass coverage. And with many hard hitting players, he's had a lot of trouble staying healthy, missing big chunks of time over the previous three seasons with a variety of injuries. He's had some good INT stats in 2007 and 2009 by being in the right place at the right time for deflections, but I've never seen him play tight coverage. I've been a fan of his in the past because he was so much better than their backups. But they just had a solid 2010 season from Charlie Peprah, who was re-signed for two more years, and their 2010 3rd round pick Morgan Burnett should return to the mix after blowing out his ACL last season. Bigby is better than Anthony Smith, who he beat out in training camp a couple years ago, and they're similar players. He'd be an upgrade for any team looking for an average strong safety, but the fact that he's injury prone makes him a risky player to count on.
I mentioned Smith because he played for the Packers and Jaguars last season.
With the return of Burnett, and the starting job currently in the hands of SS Charlie Peprah, it doesn't seem like the Packers will go to any great lengths to keep Bigby next season. I wouldn't be surprised if some team views him as a low cost option to start in 2011, and offers him a two-year, $4 million contract as a free agent. But with his history of injuries, that might not be available to him.
There's no chance they'll overpay him because he's not going to open the season as the starter. Assuming the free agent market is soft, do you want the Packers to bring him back next season?