Cheesestradamus Week 1: Packers vs. Saints
In a little over 48 hours, the last two Super Bowl Champions will march onto the hallowed ground of Lambeau Field to kick off the long-awaited 2011 NFL season. At the same time, the Acme Packing Company prediction contest, Cheesestradamus, makes its official debut! Get in, submit your picks, and maybe you can win the 2011 championship and the giant wheel of cheese!*
* There is no actual cheese awarded to the winner, as of yet. You'll have to buy it yourself.
The official rules for the contest can be found after the jump. Please read through them before submitting your predictions. The recap of the preseason can also be found after the jump. Without ruining the surprise, let's say congratulations to Robert St, winner of the Preseason title. Now get out there, make your picks, and get cheesy!
Click here to enter your predictions for Week 1: Packers vs. Saints
Click here to view all submissions for Week 1
Official Cheesestradamus Rules
Enter your user name exactly as it is on Acme Packing Company. Please refrain from using any profane words in your user name. Please also type in your user name exactly the same each week, as this will help with record keeping throughout the season.
For the score predictions, you will earn a full three points if you guess a team's score exactly correctly. If you are off by one, you'll earn 2 points, and if you're off by two, you'll get a single point.
Each other question is worth three points and must be guessed exactly correctly for full points, unless otherwise indicated. When guessing who will score the Packers' first touchdown, double points will be awarded if a defensive or special teams player or an offensive lineman is selected and that guess is correct. If multiple players tie on a player-based question, points will be awarded to anyone who guessed any of the tied players.
For bonus predictions, a qualifying guess will occur in less than 1/3 of games. I will make the final judgment on all guesses based on statistical precedents from past games, and those games will depend on the type of prediction. Certain guesses will be more likely to happen than others. Player-specific predictions will be analyzed based on a player's career, and so on and so forth. A good rule of thumb is that if you're not sure if a guess will qualify, be more specific or guess something that happens less frequently. But you don't necessarily need to go too in-depth, as all bonus predictions are worth the same amount. If a numerical prediction is made (e.g. Vic So'oto has 3 TFL) I will assume that this is a minimum number unless indicated otherwise. In this case, if So'oto had 4 TFL, the prediction would count. However, if you said he would have exactly 3 TFL, it would not. Finally, please remember that all bonus predictions must be both quantifiable and verifiable. In other words, I have to be able to look it up after the fact and confirm whether your prediction came true from the box score, play-by-play, or other source of information. I will always use the official statistics from NFL.com for all stats-based questions.
Preseason Recap
Robert St grabbed a hold of the preseason lead early, with 12 and 11 points in the first two weeks. He admirably held on for dear life as a number of players including AdamA, Jabooty, PackerLogician, and more were gunning for him during the last two games. However, Robert got the two points he needed in Week -1 and sealed his Preseason title with a total of 31 points over four games. Meanwhile, Jabooty set the pace last week with a season-high 13 points, and will look to ride this momentum into the regular season. Congratulations to Robert, and keep up the good work.
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More Points!
I have a feeling that the point totals each week will be a lot higher in the regular season than in the preseason. Most catches? No need to guess if West, Gurley, or some other backup will do it. Fewer choices=more points. More points=happiness.
I'm a fair weather fan. Where ever Don Beebe goes--it's fair weather.
Sigh. Fixed.
I thought I was diligent and spelled everyone’s names right. I fixed your submission already, so no need to update it for the spelling.
Author at Acme Packing Company
Oh good because
I thought maybe some walk on guy joined the WR squad. Figured, what the hell, I’ll give him a shot!
"Show me a good loser, and I'll show you a loser." - Vince Lombardi
I am a bit amused though...
As of the time I edited that, you were the only one (out of 30+) to have picked anyone other than Jennings or Finley.
Author at Acme Packing Company
An important part of gamesmanship
is to try to pick long shots that will put you ahead of the proverbial pack.
"Show me a good loser, and I'll show you a loser." - Vince Lombardi
Oh absolutely.
That strategy makes perfect sense to me. I was just amused that nobody else had done it.
Author at Acme Packing Company
A few early notes on bonus predictions
DaveZ: your bonus prediction isn’t good enough.
Manguito: I’ll need to look into yours. If you’re confident in it, feel free to leave it.
VJ: a semicolon isn’t much of a prediction.
JimisPackers: that’s the overkill I mentioned being unnecessary.
Author at Acme Packing Company
Also,
Coachseibel: do you mean Crosby makes 2 FG on 3 attempts? Or that he makes either 2 or 3 FGs in the game? Just making sure.
Author at Acme Packing Company
More suggestions
Paul_King: Not going to work.
kuhl: Must be quantifiable and verifiable. Give me some yardage numbers to work with.
azicebowl: Either one of your predictions works, having both isn’t necessary.
paterack7: Unfortunately, Crosby has missed at least one FG in 20 out of 58 of his career games, or 34.5% of career games (which is actually a rather frightening number, now that I look at it.)
Author at Acme Packing Company
By my count, looks like 11 of those 20 games had a miss from 50+ yards (9 of those 11 where the 50+ miss was the only miss), so not quite as bad as it looks.
With any kicker, I consider 50+ yard kicks pretty much a coin flip. Don’t really fault kickers for missing them.
Angelo: Right….so anyways Jay, I’m sure you understand that we needed to make this move and I wanna wish you the best of luck.
Cutler: (Swoops bangs out of eyes by throwing his head back) Whatever, I don’t need this team or you.
/Leaves in a huff
//Writes bad poetry on his blog
Grossman: What the fuck is Wilford Brimley’s problem?
8 games with a miss from less than 40 yards out (what I would consider a “bad miss” regardless of how close it misses)
Angelo: Right….so anyways Jay, I’m sure you understand that we needed to make this move and I wanna wish you the best of luck.
Cutler: (Swoops bangs out of eyes by throwing his head back) Whatever, I don’t need this team or you.
/Leaves in a huff
//Writes bad poetry on his blog
Grossman: What the fuck is Wilford Brimley’s problem?
Indeed.
Not quite so bad when you put that part into perspective. Crosby’s strong leg certainly seems to give McCarthy more willingness to put him out there for long FG attempts.
Author at Acme Packing Company
If you say "under 200 yards" that works.
The “around 200” still requires a little too much interpretation on my part. Otherwise you’re good. If I don’t hear back from you, I’ll treat it as under 200.
Author at Acme Packing Company
Non-related post here, but..
The Packers need a little depth on the OL…why did they not consider Max-Jean-Giles??
I thought he was a top notch lineman or did I miss something along the way??
Waivers
how do that works?
Panthers>Packers on waivers.
F-ing Magnets!
How do they work?
Author at Acme Packing Company
by texwestern on Sep 6, 2011 3:47 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
I'm really the only one here besides a Saints fan....
who picked the Saints to win?
In Every Climb and Place....
I am an ass hat.
by PhoenicianPakFan on Sep 6, 2011 7:17 PM CDT reply actions
According to the Yahoo Pro Pick 'em
83% of the US are picking the Packers
According to me.....
83% of people in the US are certifiable idiots….
but that has nothing to do with this game.
GB lately has started seasons a little rusty, slow, offense not clicking, etc….
And preseason (Yes Stroh, I know, its only preseason) they looked like they couldn’t put a drive together unless it was no huddle (if they need that this game, its giving Brees too much offense-time) and the O-Line looked sluggish.
Week 1’s are always rough to pick, and there’s little to go on Game Plan-wise to account for the opposition’s new additions and such.
In Every Climb and Place....
I am an ass hat.
by PhoenicianPakFan on Sep 6, 2011 9:21 PM CDT up reply actions
And before it begins....
I’m not trying to bait you Stroh, I just anticipated a “but its only preseason” reply coming since I think we’ve gone over that once or twice in the past couple weeks (maybe it was someone else).
I’m just not sure those things are fixed yet by Week 1. Hope they are though.
In Every Climb and Place....
I am an ass hat.
by PhoenicianPakFan on Sep 6, 2011 9:25 PM CDT up reply actions
Well, I'm in that 83%
So I expect my idiot certificate to be mailed to me.
No, I get your point. And I think the Saints will do good things this year. I just think adrenaline carries the Packers this game
Sure, just email me your winning ticket number, mailing address and SSN...
and I’ll have one printed up and sent overnight delivery. =)
And I didn’t say that the same 83% supporting GB were also idiots! =P
But yeah, I hope they win. They certainly are able to if they are playing their game….its just…. Week 1 jitters, mostly for me.
In Every Climb and Place....
I am an ass hat.
by PhoenicianPakFan on Sep 6, 2011 9:53 PM CDT up reply actions
Not even in the 98% :)
"Perfection is not attainable,
but if we chase perfection we can catch excellence."
"It's a great day to be great, baby!"
The Munsters of the Midway still suck!
Fan Card - revoked!
Just kidding. But seriously, I just don’t see it happening. I think, objectively, the Packers have a better team, and this is their night. The atmosphere in the stadium will be crazy, and I just don’t see the Packers letting those fans down.
Sort of a “Saints in their first game back after Katrina” type of situation (though obviously the emotion won’t be on the same level of that night). I just don’t see any team coming in and taking and taking them out on this day.
But of course, there’s the obvious chance that I am talking completely out of my ass and the Packers get whooped.
Angelo: Right….so anyways Jay, I’m sure you understand that we needed to make this move and I wanna wish you the best of luck.
Cutler: (Swoops bangs out of eyes by throwing his head back) Whatever, I don’t need this team or you.
/Leaves in a huff
//Writes bad poetry on his blog
Grossman: What the fuck is Wilford Brimley’s problem?
When they stop scaring me with .500 season first-halves...
then I will feel more confident. I think they are primed to get knocked on their asses in Wk 1 just as much as they are to come out rollin’.
Hope to Christ I’m wrong.
In Every Climb and Place....
I am an ass hat.
by PhoenicianPakFan on Sep 6, 2011 9:19 PM CDT up reply actions
But we also haven’t lost a home opener since McCarthy’s first year in 2006, losing to the Bears the year they went to the Super Bowl. (Strangely enough, our second game, also a loss at home, was to the Saints, and they were the other team in the NFC Championship. Talk about a rough first two games). Granted, none of the teams we faced were the caliber of these Saints….
(Of course, Mike Sherman sucked in home openers (just as he sucks at everything else), losing 4 of 6…..)
As for your point above about the offense looking sloppy in the preseason (other than the no-huddle)….that’s true, but so has just about every team (other than the Lions?!?!?!). Hell, look at the Saints, who supposedly would be better off than everyone else because of Brees’ great off-season workouts!
First game (against 49ers – Drew Brees and the starters stay in for 3 drives. Result? Three-and-outs on each drive. 17 total yards.
Second game (against Houston) – Brees and starters stay in for 3 drive (a little more than 1 quarter). Results? One touchdown drive (Ingram rushing TD), one punt, one fumble lost in redzone on the second of two consecutive sacks.
Third game – Starters stay in game for a quarter and a half (again, 3 drives). Two touchdown drives (ending on runs), and a field goal.
Brees’ combined stats from these games – 23-41, 304 yards (7.4 yards per attempt), zero TDs, zero INTs, one fumble lost. 4 scoring drives, 4 punts, and one turnover.
Moral of the story? – Other than Lions fans, there aren’t too many fans coming out of this preseason that should be thrilled with how their offense is looking, including the fans of our opponents. Which is pretty much exactly what all the talking heads predicted would happen to the offenses coming out of the lockout.
So if we’re talking about a battle between defenses…..Capers and our D wins.
Angelo: Right….so anyways Jay, I’m sure you understand that we needed to make this move and I wanna wish you the best of luck.
Cutler: (Swoops bangs out of eyes by throwing his head back) Whatever, I don’t need this team or you.
/Leaves in a huff
//Writes bad poetry on his blog
Grossman: What the fuck is Wilford Brimley’s problem?
Yeah I don't dispute any of that...
I have to remind myself that all teams have pre-season issues. Its more my pessimism mixed with Regular season jitters. The Super Bowl euphoria wears off for good starting Thursday, and then its nail-biting, drunk-all-Sunday time again…..hopefully into Feb again!
In Every Climb and Place....
I am an ass hat.
by PhoenicianPakFan on Sep 6, 2011 10:57 PM CDT up reply actions
That
But we also haven’t lost a home opener since McCarthy’s first year in 2006
was the last time the Packers lost any kind of opener.
"Perfection is not attainable,
but if we chase perfection we can catch excellence."
"It's a great day to be great, baby!"
The Munsters of the Midway still suck!
Skol is a four-letter word.
Don't know if we're supposed to tell you if we updated
I updated my bonus prediction from “BJ Raji will force or recover a fumble” to “BJ Raji will force and/or recover a fumble,” to cover the off chance that he does both, and you go all literal on me and say that my original prediction was that he would only do one of them. :)
Angelo: Right….so anyways Jay, I’m sure you understand that we needed to make this move and I wanna wish you the best of luck.
Cutler: (Swoops bangs out of eyes by throwing his head back) Whatever, I don’t need this team or you.
/Leaves in a huff
//Writes bad poetry on his blog
Grossman: What the fuck is Wilford Brimley’s problem?
Nope, you'd be good either way...
But thanks for being explicit. Any clarification like that helps when I have to process the results.
Author at Acme Packing Company
And no worries about letting me know if you updated...
That’s what the check box is for.
Author at Acme Packing Company
All right...
Packers win 24-21.
Jermichael Finley records the first TD of the game.
Greg Jennings leads the team in receiving yards
Aaron Rodgers records 268 passing yards
A.J. Hawk will lead the team in tackles (solo and assisted)
The Packers will record 2 turnovers
The Saints will score a touchdown on their first possession, but won’t record another until the 3rd Quarter.
Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog
"Don't mention execution around Paul Johnson. People will die." -Chris Pendley, on EDSBS
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Sep 6, 2011 9:56 PM CDT reply actions
Crap.
Thanks to Slocum’s extra-bullshitty coverage, the Saints exceeded my guess for points scored by…quite a few.
Thankfully, Aaron Rodgers was able to pick up the slack and the Packers won, but…wow. I expected a slugfest, not a shootout.
Editor at BT Powerhouse, a Big Ten Basketball blog.
Author at Acme Packing Company, a Green Bay Packers blog
Follow @GSchofield50
by OBrienSchofieldismyHero on Sep 8, 2011 11:45 PM CDT up reply actions
This
Please refrain from using any profane words in your user name.
officially eliminates most DN members, haha.
"Perfection is not attainable,
but if we chase perfection we can catch excellence."
"It's a great day to be great, baby!"
The Munsters of the Midway still suck!
Should the unthinkable happen,
would PhoenicianPakFan get any bonus points,
for being the ONLY Packers fan (along with one Saints fan, Ragin Who Dat) in 122 entrants (at the time of this post) who got it right?
"Perfection is not attainable,
but if we chase perfection we can catch excellence."
"It's a great day to be great, baby!"
The Munsters of the Midway still suck!
Seriously....
I thought I’d at least be accompanied by a couple “Fire Mikw Mcmoran” troll predictions….
In Every Climb and Place....
I am an ass hat.
by PhoenicianPakFan on Sep 7, 2011 4:10 AM CDT up reply actions
Hey, give that guy some credit
He did spell the “moron” part right! And any time you try to quote him, caps lock is a requirement.
Angelo: Right….so anyways Jay, I’m sure you understand that we needed to make this move and I wanna wish you the best of luck.
Cutler: (Swoops bangs out of eyes by throwing his head back) Whatever, I don’t need this team or you.
/Leaves in a huff
//Writes bad poetry on his blog
Grossman: What the fuck is Wilford Brimley’s problem?
Well I was more referring to the general "Fire Mikw McMoran" group/sentiment...
or followers as opposed to a particular person. Unfortunately, he represents a larger grouping of cerebral demolition derby participants.
In Every Climb and Place....
I am an ass hat.
by PhoenicianPakFan on Sep 7, 2011 4:40 PM CDT up reply actions
Disturbing user name
from the submissions page.
Nigga Tramon
Perhaps
Please refrain from using any profane words in your user name.needs to be amended?
"Perfection is not attainable,
but if we chase perfection we can catch excellence."
"It's a great day to be great, baby!"
Skol is a four-letter word.
The Munsters of the Midway still suck!

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