Here’s the deal: with the defense the Packers have it would take more than a "Y.E Yang taking down Tiger Woods" miracle to win the Super Bowl. Nobody is going to be as dumb as the Dallas Cowboys and only run the ball on them 11 times.
Subjectively, you could argue that in the last three Super Bowl match-ups both teams had great defenses: Baltimore vs. San Fran, Giants vs. Pats, and Packers vs. Steelers. Take the Patriots out of that conversation and you are talking about five legitimate defenses. The Packers don’t have that great team defense, they just don’t fit the Super Bowl team bill.
But, for those optimistic Packer fans, the fans who think that anything is possible, this is for you.
Superstitious fan, I’ll draw you some comparisons:
- 2010: The Packers had 15 players on the IR going into the Super Bowl, including Jermichael Finley. Also Aaron Rodgers missed a game due to injury, and Matt Flynn started it.
- 2013: The Packers have had 13 players in the IR, including Aaron Rodgers, Jermichael Finley (who we are all wishing a healthy recovery), and Cobb. Matt Flynn came in as a backup for the hurt Rodgers after their other QB problems.
- 2010: The Packers lost to the Detroit Lions 3-7 with Matt Flynn at the helm most of the game because of an Aaron Rodgers Injury, at Ford Field.
- 2013: The Packers lost to the Detroit Lions 10-40 with Matt Flynn at the helm because of an Aaron Rodgers injury, at Ford Field.
- 2010: The Packers needed to win their last two games, including the last game of the season against the Chicago Bears.
- 2013: The Packers need to win their last two games, including the last game of the season against the Chicago Bears.
For the objective fan:
The only way the Packers are getting into the playoffs is if they win a division, giving them a home game. If all things turn out right, this home game would be against the Saints, who are, to put it nicely, less than stellar away from the Superdome.
The Packers have a 1,000 yard rusher for the first time since 2009 in Eddie Lacey. This makes the Packers a two-dimensional team. A playoff team needs to be able to pound the ball, and now they can do that.
The Packers have Aaron Rodgers. This gives them a punchers chance in any game.
If you want my opinion, I just don’t think it’s going to happen, too much would have to go right. The idea of the Packers making the Super Bowl is very abstract, but all it takes is a team to get hot. Now with the Packers controlling their own destiny they have a chance to make a magical run again. A fan can always hope, am I right?