This is a full 1st round mock of the 2013 Draft. Also included is a full 7-round mock draft for the Packers.
There aren't any trades...I might do one with trades later, but right now doing minimal research to understand each team's needs takes pretty long, so not yet.
2013 NFL Mock Draft
1. Kansas City Chiefs- Luke Joeckel OT Texas A&M
As the draft draws closer, it's becoming fairly evident that Joeckel will be the pick. He's the top player on most boards. The Chiefs have Branden Albert, but he's only under the 1-yr Franchise Tag and they could try to trade him.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars- Geno Smith QB West Virginia
Gabbert was somewhat improved this past season compared to his rookie campaign, and I think in a way he deserves another shot, but the Jags have new coaches and won't want to pass on Smith. He's the real deal at Quarterback...he can flat out spin the ball, and combines that with excellent decision-making, and some physical attributes (good size and athleticism).
3. Oakland Raiders- Dee Miliner CB Alabama
The Raiders have very little talent at Corner. Miliner hasn't been mocked here by any mocks I've seen, but it makes sense. He's not a reach, and fills a huge need. Miliner has size (6' 201 lbs.) to go with elite speed (4.37!) and good technique.
4. Philadelphia Eagles- Star Lotulelei DT Utah
Yes, Shariff Floyd is still on the board. After his little scare about his heart, Star's stock instantly dropped. He has since blown up his Pro Day, and looking at mocks from experts around the web suggests his stock has risen about where it was before his heart condition was diagnosed.
5. Detroit Lions- Ezekiel Ansah DE BYU
The Lions could use a pass rusher after the departure of Avril and Vanden Bosch. Ansah is still learning the game, but he likely will be a difference maker as a pass rusher from Day 1.
6. Cleveland Browns- Dion Jordan DE/OLB Oregon
With news of the Browns switching to a "hybrid" defense which will use some 3-4, Jordan makes sense. He's a good fit as a player who can both rush the passer, as well as drop into coverage and cover like a champ. He's proven to be an exceptional athlete and showed some good things in his career at Oregon.
7. Arizona Cardinals- Eric Fisher OT Central Michigan
The Cards want an edge rusher, but Sam Montgomery, Acho, and Lemonier could all be available in the 2nd Round. For now, they get an elite tackle prospect to protect...wait, Drew Stanton? An edge rusher might have to wait til the 3rd Round.
8. Buffalo Bills- EJ Manuel QB Florida State
I know this is from Left Field, but I think the Bills are taking whoever is the best available QB on their board. I don't see Nassib being the pick just because of his connection with Marone...placing top 10 picks on things like that causes people to lose their jobs quickly. Manuel had a good Senior sason, balled out at the Senior Bowl, met expectations at the Combine, and now Mayock plus two more NFL.com writers have him as their best QB after Smith.
9. New York Jets- Jarvis Jones OLB Georgia
It appears that Jones doesn't really have a real issue with his spine, so now we can just look at him for what he is: an exceptional pass rusher with an all around game. Jones isn't very big, but he's explosive and made plays in the backfield on a consistent basis in college.
10. Tennessee Titans- Shariff Floyd
The Titans will be wise to wait to pick a Guard and take Floyd, who slipped a bit. Floyd is the best player on the board here and will be a difference maker on the defensive line.
11. San Diego Chargers- Lane Johnson OT Oklahoma
Phillip Rivers certainly approves. Johnson is the last of the top-tier Left Tackle prospects available, and he lands in San Diego
12. Miami Dolphins- Xavier Rhodes CB Florida State
They need a complement rusher to Cam Wake, but they'll wait and take Rhodes to be the lead Cornerback on the team. Sean Smith's departure means this pick will likely be Rhodes or Trufant.
13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Bjoern Werner DE Florida State
After letting Bennett go in Free Agency, the Bucs should look to add an impact player to replace him. Werner is considered a Top-10 talent by many.
14. Carolina Panthers- Cordarrelle Patterson WR Tennesee
At some point, they need to think not only about Steve Smith's age, but finding a complement to him. Patterson is the guy.
15. New Orleans Saints- Barkevious Mingo DE/OLB LSU
Mingo drops a bit, which I fully expect come draft day. The Saints are switching to a 3-4 under Ryan and might want to grab an edge rusher.
16. St. Louis Rams- Chance Warmack OG Alabama
Warmack has been described as a Top 10 talent, but considering his position he falls a bit. He's a good fit for the Rams who could use a starter at guard.
17. Pittsburgh Steelers- Kenny Vacarro S Texas
Polamalu is 31, Clark 33, and their young guy, Mundy, gone in free agency. Vaccaro reinforces a "need" position and is good value.
18. Dallas Cowboys- Sheldon Richardson DT Missouri
Richardson is a stud and a good fit for the 4-3 defense the team is switching to.
19. New York Giants- Desmond Trufant CB Washington
The Giants probably should go BPA on defense, and Trufant could be the guy. He helped himself with the blazing 4.38 he ran.
20. Chicago Bears- Jonathan Cooper G/C North Carolina
The Bears got there LT in Bushrod, but Cooper makes sense as their inside O-line is still weak. Cooper can play G or C.
21. Cincinnati Bengals- Tavon Austin WR West Virginia
Austin is speedy and dynamic, a perfect complement to A.J. Green
22. St. Louis Rams (from Washington Redskins)- Alec Ogletree LB Georgia
Ogletree is a knucklehead, but he's a talented one, and Fisher embraces guys like him. Ogletree can start with Laurinitis and Dunbar, and be the playmaker of the group.
23. Minnesota Vikings- Arthur Brown LB Kansas State
The Vikings don't really have speed or playmaking ability in any of their LB's. Brown fixes that issue.
24. Indianapolis Colts- Keenan Allen WR California
Wayne is still playing at a high level, but ignoring his age wouldn't be wise. Hilton is emerging, but Allen still fits here. Some teams will shy away because of injury concerns but someone will take him high anyways.
25. Minnesota Vikings (from Seattle Seahawks)- Sylvester Williams
Williams is a big body at 6'3" 313 lbs., and his best fit in the NFL might be as a 43 DT. The Vikings could use a guy like him on the line.
26. Green Bay Packers- Damontre Moore DE/OLB Texas A&M 6'4" 250 lbs.
Clay Matthews looks ready to sign his big extension and Perry will be back next season, but that doesn't mean adding another Rush LB shouldn't be an option. Matthews' hamstring causes him to miss a handful of games a year, and were not sure yet if Perry can be a complete linebacker, rather than just a pass rusher.
Moore was a Top 10 pick before his poor combine showing. I do think his poor numbers will, and should, drop him. But what I see on tape is enough to convince me the Packers should take him if he's available here. What I like a lot about Moore is that he has plenty of experience playing as a stand-up rush Linebacker...he played that exact position in 2011. The guy isn't an exceptional athlete, but he's a good one who maximizes what he can do by going all-out effort.
Considering he spent an entire season pretty much playing 34 OLB, I think Moore has the potential to start from day one. I could maybe see him sharing snaps with Perry, who's stronger suit is pass rushing.
27. Houston Texans- DeAndre Hopkins WR Clemson
Johnson is still producing, but he's getting up there in age and is injured a lot. Posey likely will be on the PUP list. Hopkins is a strong, sure-handed player with some quick moves, who is a very safe pick.
28. Denver Broncos- Sam Montgomery DE LSU
Dumervil's replacement. I still think that whole faxing-fail is hilarious. It's like a high schooler who waits until 9:00pm the night before it's due to start a research paper. Montgomery added weight his Senior season, and played well but his stock dropped some since last off season.
29. New England Patriots- Jamie Collins DE/OLB Southern Miss
Collins helped himself with an explosive combine. He's a great athlete with some versatility to his game. He played a stand-up rush LB role in college, and could continue that with the Pats.
30. Atlanta Falcons- Alex Okafor DE Texas
They added Umenyoria, but he's on his last leg, and every team would like to have the ability to rotate lineman and pass rushers anyways.
31. San Francisco 49ers- John Hankins DT Ohio State
They lost Francois and Sopoaga, and Smith's getting older. Hankins can play anywhere on the line for a 34 defense.
32. Baltimore Ravens- Quinton Patton WR Lousiana Tech
After losing Boldin, the Ravens need another receiver. Jones made some huge plays, but he's still not reliable. Patton can help Flacco prove he's worth the contract he received.
Remaining Packers Mock Draft
2nd Round- John Jenkins NT Georgia 6'4" 346 lbs.
I've seen Jenkins mocked to the Pack in the 1st Round, but from what I've been reading and what I see on tape, he's more likely a 2nd round prospect for the Packers. Considering the value, as well as scarcity of Nose Tackles I could easily see Jenkins being taken before this, but looking at the depth at defensive line in this draft, I also could see him being available.
Jenkins is a solid NT prospect, but he definitely needs some work. His body looks disproportional (smaller legs, HUGE belly) and likely leads to poor balance (he ends up on the ground pretty often). He has decent mobility and quickness for his size, but with some more training he could improve both.
All that said, players with his size and strength are rare, and when they show decent mobility as well, it's not a bad idea to take a chance on the guy. With Pickett possibly gone after this season, the Packers would be smart to add a him. Even if Raji is extended, you'd like to have a Nose to rotate with him or let Raji play some End.
3rd Round- Stedman Bailey WR West Virginia 5'10" 193 lbs.
After addressing needs to the Front 7, the Packers can go offense here and give Rodgers some more firepower. While his teammate Tavon Austin will get drafted at least 50 spots higher, Bailey was arguably the more productive receiver for the Mountaineers. Bailey caught 114 passes for 1,622 yards and 25 Touchdowns in his final collegiate season.
Bailey has a small build at 5'10" 193 lbs, and is probably going to be mostly a slot guy in the NFL. He doesn't possess elite speed, but he looks pretty fast on the field and 4.52 is certainly respectable. That said, Bailey makes his money off of his good routes and strong hands to make grabs, and then his quickness makes him a YAC threat.
The Packers have 3 talented receivers, but Nelson is a bit injury prone and Jones is a FA after this season. Boykin made the roster, but you can't expect much out of a former UDFA who proved almost nothing as a rookie.
4th Round- Earl Watford OG James Madison 6'3" 300 lbs.
The Packers could stand to add some depth at Guard, especially considering Dietrich-Smith will be a starter at Center now. Watford has played Tackle some in the past, but mostly played Guard in college and that's where he'll start out in the League.
Watford is a bit light at 300 lbs, and has just average height (6'3"), but good length (34"), and is a good fit for the Packers' Zone Blocking Scheme and has good agility and balance for pass protection.
5th Round- Josh Evans S Florida 6'1" 207 lbs.
Evans isn't spectacular in any area, but the 6'1", 207 lb. Safety can do a bit of everything. Evans doesn't project as a real play maker or game changer at safety, but probably could be a good backup/depth guy. He played FS as a "Centerfielder" in college while the more highly touted Matt Elam roamed around the field and near the LOS.
6th Round (Comp. Pick)- Kerwynn Williams RB/RS Utah State 5'8" 195 lbs.
Williams, at 5'8" 195 lbs, is a bit small for a typical Ted Thompson running back. However, he did take a flier on DuJuan Harris, and it paid off. Williams makes sense here because of the versatility he brings: As a Senior, he had 218 carries (6.9 per rush, 15 TDs) and 45 receptions (15.5, 5 TDs) as well as 53 Kick returns and 5 Punt returns. Considering Cobb likely won't return kicks next year, adding another potential return specialist to the mix makes sense.
Williams isn't complete as a runner by any means, but he provides a speed element (4.48, 5th best 20yd shuttle RB time, 13th in 60yd) and is a dynamic receiver out of the backfield.
Video below, his best plays are the first play, and at 5:25
6th Round- Jake Stoneburner TE Ohio State 6'5" 252 lbs.
Stoneburner surprised me by weighing in at 252 lbs, about 10 more than I expected him to, and still was impressive in the 40 (4.65) and the 20- and 60-yard shuttle drills. Stoneburner is mostly a pass-catching Tight End, but struggled to produce as a Senior, catching only 16 passes.
7th Round- Tanner Hawkinson OT Kansas 6'5" 298 lbs.
Hawkinson is a prospect that possibly could developed into a backup tackle. He's continually added weight during his four seasons in college after coming to college as a Defensive End/Tight End. He's up to 298 lbs, and is expected to continue to add some more weight in the NFL. Late bloomer? I like that Hawkinson has 48 career starts at Left Tackle...very durable. He might not have the skillset to ever play LT in the League, but his length isn't too bad (6'5", 33 3/8 inch arms).
- In the first round, the Packers get Damontre Moore, a 34 OLB, once a Top prospect fell due to poor combine.
- On Day 2, the Pack grab a Nose Tackle in Jenkins, and small but shifty and reliable receiver in Bailey.
- On Day 3, the Pack double up with Offensive Line depth, add a speedy all-purpose back in Williams, a steady and experienced Safety in Evans, and an athletic Tight End in Stoneburner.
Thanks for reading, feedback in welcome.