I'm glad the Green Bay Packers aren't looking for a free agent wide receiver because I think teams looking for one before the start of the season are either going to overpay or take a big risk. If I had to sign someone, I'd prefer taking a low cost, high reward risk than overpay for someone I'd be thinking about releasing in a year or two. Which brings me to this latest piece on Randy Moss at Pro Football Talk:
"Randy has been working out, two-a-days, all spring and summer in West Virginia," Joel Segal told NFL.com. "He is determined, motivated and quite frankly has a huge chip on his shoulder. Whatever team ends up getting Randy, they’re going to know they’re getting the old Randy Moss. He’s not just coming in to be on the team, he’s going to be Randy Moss — a difference maker."
If he's going to play for the veteran minimum with little guaranteed money, which makes him easy to release, I could see taking a chance on him. He's proven he can be one of the best in the right offensive system as recently as 2009, and he has no injury concerns. And if/when he doesn't work out, he's easy to release.
The best wide receivers available either come with a recent suspension (Santonio Holmes) or a lot of past injuries (Sidney Rice). After them, teams will be wondering if they should sign Braylon Edwards, who can probably help any team but I expect will be overpaid, if Malcom Floyd can be just as good when he's not playing alongside Antonio Gates and Phillip Rivers, or if Panthers WR Steve Smith can return to his 2008 form.
None of those options are perfect, the best way to fill an opening at wide receiver is to draft Randall Cobb a year or two before you need him, but in this market I would prefer rolling the dice with a couple low cost options and see if one of them works out.