A week ago, we expected both the Packers' and Lions' offenses to light up the scoreboard. Instead, the Lions' defense might have been the best play of the week on either side, as they recorded a touchdown, safety, and just seven points allowed.
This week, the Packers' offense will look to rebound against a Bears defense which struggles to defend against the run far more than any of Green Bay's first three opponents. Knowing this, Mike McCarthy will likely look to get Eddie Lacy going early and often on the ground and develop play-action passes out of that.
One player who would be a beneficiary of single-coverage and a safety in the box would be rookie wide receiver Davante Adams.
In the past two weeks, the Packers have used their "zebra" package on a huge number of snaps. That package features Eddie Lacy, a tight end, and three wide receivers - Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, and either Adams or Jarrett Boykin. Adams has split snaps almost evenly with Boykin, but the groin injury Boykin suffered in practice on Thursday should give Adams plenty of opportunities on Sunday, even if the veteran toughs it out and plays through it.
Therefore, if he takes another 40 or more snaps against the Bears, Adams should again be a reasonable high-risk, high-reward candidate for your flex position, and he becomes even more useful this week when teams like Denver, Seattle, and Arizona are on their byes.
Think about Aaron Rodgers' struggles against the Lions: he frequently locked in on Jordy Nelson and missed open receivers on the other side of the field. One has to imagine the Rodgers has identified this issue on film and has worked hard in practice to correct it. If so, and if the Bears roll safety help over to the man covering Nelson, that should mean more targets for Cobb and Adams. Five catches on seven targets was Adams' stat line against the Jets in week two, and it seems like a reasonable number again for this week. Then, if he can get matched up against the Bears' safeties, Adams could easily put up better yardage numbers than the 50 yards in that Jets game, and should definitely be a possibility to find the end zone this week.
If you're in a bind this week due to byes on your fantasy team, Adams should be on your radar. On Sunday, I think he'll put up another game with 5 catches or so for 70 yards and a red-zone score.
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