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Cheese Curds, 10/11: Packers’ playoff chances take a big hit after loss in Detroit

By one measure, the team’s odds of making the postseason dropped by a full 10 percent following week 5.

Green Bay Packers v Detroit Lions Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images

As of this week, the Green Bay Packers are on the outside looking in at the NFC’s playoff seeding. Yes, we’re only five weeks into the year, but it’s still not too early at this point to start trying to imagine how things will stack up down the stretch in December.

However, the current projections aren’t encouraging, particularly given the team’s loss to Detroit on Sunday. One projection system says the Packers are slightly better than a coin-flip to make the postseason — that’s Football Outsiders, who puts Green Bay’s odds at 51%. That’s down about ten percent from a week ago, but it also is the fifth-best chances in the NFC and the second-best of any team not currently leading its division. (That is because all four NFC East teams are under 50% and have less than a 10% chance of making it in as a Wild Card).

However, as you’ll see in today’s curds, one other projection system has the Packers on the outside looking in after week five’s results. Is it too early to make sweeping judgments about who can make the playoffs? You bet — remember that everyone wrote off the Packers after going 4-6 to start the 2016 season. But it sure would have been nice to have an extra win last week.

Stitched-up Kevin King looks to get back at it |
King wanted to get back in the game after taking a Golden Tate cleat to the face in the fourth quarter on Sunday, but the trainers didn't let him back on the field. Thankfully it doesn't appear like the injury will keep him out this coming Monday against the 49ers.

Green Bay Packers' rotation at running back makes no sense |
Packers fans can perhaps take some solace in knowing that the team's longest-tenured beat writer is with them instead of Mike McCarthy on the Aaron Jones question.

Playoff Projections: Chiefs, Rams virtual locks in early race, Packers on the outside looking in -
CBS currently projects the Packers to be behind the Seahawks and Panthers in the race for a Wild Card spot, but a head-to-head win over Seattle in week 11 would probably do the trick based on the overall projections.

The Packers Are Worse than Bad - They're Irrelevant | The Power Sweep
Given the above projection, I don't think I personally agree with this evaluation of the team's chances -- I think they still have the ability to be a good, even a very good team -- but I'll admit it's definitely a possibility.

Colts Lineman Matt Slauson Played Almost An Entire Half With Two Broken Vertebrae | Deadspin
This is terrifying - Slauson played every snap of Sunday's game despite suffering an unknown injury early in the third quarter. An evaluation after the game showed a pair of broken bones in his spine. Let's be grateful on his family's behalf that he didn't injure that area further.

Fat Bear Week: Beadnose is Katmai National Park’s fattest bear - Vox
Don’t expect many articles here at APC supporting bears, but as someone who spent time in Alaska this summer, I have soft spot for the real ones (not the ones from Chicago). This is one of the most heartwarming competitions you’ll see (unless you’re a salmon). Photographers and bear trackers check in to see which bears have gained the most weight during salmon runs in preparation for hibernation, and bear number 409, aka “Beadnose,” is this year’s winner.