When the line opened for the Green Bay Packers’ week 16 game against the New York Jets, sportsbooks initially installed the Green and Gold as three-point favorites. With the game coming at MetLife Stadium, the typical three-point swing for home-field advantage suggested that the Packers would have been a six-point favorite on a neutral field.
However, following the Packers’ loss to the Chicago Bears on Sunday and amid early speculation that quarterback Aaron Rodgers would not play in Green Bay’s final two games, the line shifted. Some books took the point spread off the board entirely, but a number of books and websites moved the line four points, making the Jets one-point favorites.
That lasted just a few days, however, until Rodgers’ public comments to the media on Wednesday. Not long after Rodgers confirmed that he is going to play on Sunday, the lines bounced back to Packers -3 once again, a clear indication that his status was indeed the driver for the sudden shift earlier in the week.
In addition the point spread, the over/under total has shifted as well. Prior to Rodgers’ comments, the total sat at 44 points, but as of Thursday it sits at 47, a three-point jump.