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APC Week 4 NFL Picks: Faith in Packers to beat Bills remains despite weird week 3

It seems like most people are treating last week’s results as a fluke when picking Packers-Bills.

By Evan "Tex" Western
Green Bay Packers v Buffalo Bills Photo by Michael Adamucci/Getty Images

The Green Bay Packers lost a game in which they were favored last week in Washington, while the Buffalo Bills beat the Minnesota Vikings on the road despite being a 17-point underdog. With those results in mind, one might expect that a decent number of fans and writers for both teams would expect a Bills victory, right?

This week, that’s not what we’re seeing. Although APC and Buffalo Rumblings readers’ picks are closer than the Las Vegas point spread — a ten-point edge in favor of Green Bay — they’re still in favor of the Packers. Furthermore, we have another unanimous pick for the Packers to win this Sunday from the APC staff, with all 13 writers choosing Green Bay as the straight-up winner.

Here’s a look at our picks for this week’s games, which also feature unanimous selections of the Jaguars over the Jets, Eagles over Titans, Chargers over 49ers, and Chiefs over Broncos.

Week 4 NFL Picks

Game Tex Jason Peter Kris Bob Jon M Jordan Matub Mike Paul Shawn Wendi Zach APC Pick
Game Tex Jason Peter Kris Bob Jon M Jordan Matub Mike Paul Shawn Wendi Zach APC Pick
MIN @ LAR LAR LAR LAR LAR LAR LAR LAR LAR LAR LAR LAR MIN LAR LAR
CIN @ ATL ATL ATL ATL ATL ATL ATL CIN CIN ATL ATL ATL ATL ATL ATL
TB @ CHI TB TB CHI CHI CHI CHI TB CHI TB TB CHI CHI TB CHI
DET @ DAL DET DAL DAL DAL DET DET DET DET DAL DET DET DET DAL DET
BUF @ GB GB GB GB GB GB GB GB GB GB GB GB GB GB GB*
HOU @ IND IND IND IND IND HOU IND IND HOU IND IND HOU HOU IND IND
NYJ @ JAX JAX JAX JAX JAX JAX JAX JAX JAX JAX JAX JAX NYJ JAX JAX*
MIA @ NE NE NE NE NE NE MIA MIA NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
PHI @ TEN PHI PHI PHI PHI PHI PHI PHI PHI PHI PHI PHI PHI PHI PHI*
SEA @ ARI SEA SEA SEA SEA SEA SEA ARI SEA SEA SEA SEA SEA SEA SEA
CLE @ OAK CLE CLE OAK CLE CLE OAK CLE CLE OAK CLE CLE CLE CLE CLE
SF @ LAC LAC LAC LAC LAC LAC LAC LAC LAC LAC LAC LAC LAC LAC LAC*
NO @ NYG NO NO NO NYG NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO
BAL @ PIT PIT PIT PIT BAL BAL BAL BAL BAL PIT BAL PIT BAL PIT BAL
KC @ DEN KC KC KC KC KC KC KC KC KC KC KC KC KC KC*

In week three, Tex and Jason led the way among APC’s writers, tying with a record of 10-6. That brings Jason into a tie with Jon Meerdink with a record of 30-16-2. Bob Fitch sits a game back at 29-17-2, with three others another game behind at 28-18-2.

FanPulse Survey Results

As mentioned earlier, APC’s Fanpulse group feels good about a Packers win, but they’re not as confident as bettors in Vegas with an average margin of victory being just half the point spread. Bills fans are also predicting a Packers win, by an average of a field goal.

APC picks: Packers win by 5 points
Buffalo Rumblings picks: Packers win by 3 points

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