Prop bets have become one of the biggest ways to participate in sports gambling over the years, with sports books both in Las Vegas and online giving odds on just about anything a prospective bettor can imagine. With the 2018 NFL season almost upon us, let’s take a look at some of the bets that are available for fans interested in how the betting market views the Green Bay Packers.
(Note that all odds are provided from the online sports book Bovada.)
First of all, we have overall odds on the team itself.
- Over/under total wins: 10
- Odds to win Super Bowl LIII: 11/1 (T-5th behind Patriots, Rams, Eagles, Steelers)
- Odds to win NFC Championship: 7/1 (3rd behind Eagles, Rams)
- Odds to win NFC North: 31/20 (2nd behind Vikings at 23/20)
- Odds to make playoffs: 1/2 (-200)
Notable is that the Packers’ over/under total on wins has remained the same since May, but the odds on either side have changed. While the odds favored the under slightly in May (-140 for under compared to +110 for the over), they have shifted to favor the over (-130 for over compared to even/+100 for the under).
Aaron Rodgers Props
Rodgers’ return from injury this year gives the NFL back one of its biggest superstars, and it’s no surprise that the two-time MVP is near the top of most prop odds involving quarterbacks. Here are a handful of odds involving Rodgers himself:
- Odds to lead the NFL in passing yards: 19/2 (4th, behind Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Philip Rivers)
- Odds to lead the NFL in passing touchdowns: 9/2 (lowest odds)
- Odds to lead the NFL in interceptions: off the board
There should be no surprise that you can’t even get odds on Rodgers leading the lead in interceptions. He has finished in double digits only twice, in 2008 and 2010, and the league leader has had no fewer than 18 picks in recent recorded history. As for touchdowns, though, Rodgers has surprisingly led the NFL only once, in 2016. He threw 45 during his first MVP year in 2011 but fell one short of Drew Brees’ 46, while his 38 in 2014 came up third behind Andrew Luck (40) and Peyton Manning (39).
It’s also no surprise that Rodgers isn’t the favorite to lead the league in passing yards. In fact, he has never finished a season higher than fourth in that statistic, holding that spot in 2008, 2009, and 2016. Part of the reason for that is that he has regularly finished outside the top ten in total pass attempts.