Packers Week 4 Fantasy Starts/Sits: Davante Adams will bounce back

Week 4 is a quick turnaround for the Green Bay Packers, who atetaking on the Philadelphia Eagles Thursday night.

A Wednesday injury report for Green Bay revealed that WR Jake Kumerow was listed as Questionable, but no other offensive players of significant fantasy value showed up on the report. On the other side, WR DeSean Jackson will be out— which boosts the Packers’ defensive value— as will CB Ronald Darby and DT Timmy Jernigan, who are both listed as out as well.

The Packers offense has been pretty average over the first three weeks, occasionally putting together a drive that looks really great, or flashing plays that are very close to connecting. With only a few days between games, this may not be the time they break out if they were, but fantasy owners will hope for them jump on an injured Eagles team.

Starts

Davante Adams, WR

This is confirmation bias for those of you in the fantasy world who might be thinking about getting cute and benching Adams for another player. Yes, he’s gotten off to a pretty hit-or-miss start (mostly miss), but Aaron Rodgers wants to get his star WR going. With the Eagles being short Darby, the trio of Sidney Jones, Kamu Grugier-Hill, and Nathan Gerry will be tasked with defending the Packers’ wideouts.

Even if the Eagles had Darby, they don’t have a corner to lock down Adams. Currently, Philadelphia is 22nd in Pass DVOA and let Marvin Jones Jr. get over 100 yards last week, Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley get over 100 the week before, and rookie WR Terry McLaurin get to 125 in Week 1. Keep Davante in.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling, WR

MVS has pretty solidly solidified himself as the WR2 in the Packers offense. He’s a deep threat who’s finding ways to get open and with Geronimo Allison being absent from the Packers offense, there should be plenty of targets coming MVS’ way if Adams goes off.

MVS is only ranked WR43 in ESPN leagues, but saw his targets last week nearly double his season total by seeing 10 targets come his way last week. That number should settle a little bit lower on average, but if MVS can catch some long balls, his fantasy value is solidly in the Flex zone.

Sit

Aaron Jones, RB

I’m a little nervous about Jones’ turnaround for Thursday. The Eagles are surrendering just 12.9 fantasy points per game to running backs and only allowing 57 yards on the ground per game. They’re ranked 4th in rush defense DVOA. Jamaal Williams saw an increased workload for the Packers against the Denver Broncos, and conserving each running backs’ energy will be pivotal on just four days rest.

Jones’ value lies on whether or not the workload is close to a 50-50 split. Not having Jernigan in the lineup puts a hole in the Eagles’ strong front, but temper expectations. Jones may not provide RB1 value this week, and looks to be more of a RB2 or Flex play.