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Russell Wilson traded to the Denver Broncos, reshaping the NFC

The trade was announced shortly after Aaron Rodgers’ decision to return to Green Bay

Seattle Seahawks v Arizona Cardinals Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images

After it was announced by Pat McAfee that quarterback Aaron Rodgers will return to the Green Bay Packers, one of the bigger questions that remained to be solved in the NFL landscape was how the Denver Broncos, who were the primary non-Packers suitor for Rodgers, would pivot. Before noon local time in Denver, NFL Network’s Tom Pelissero had broken the news that the Broncos had traded for former Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson in a deal that included five draft picks and three players.

In exchange for Wilson and a fourth-round pick, the Seahawks received the Broncos’ 2022 and 2023 first-round picks, their 2022 and 2023 second-round picks, a fifth-round pick, quarterback Drew Lock, defensive lineman Shelby Harris and tight end Noah Fant. As of today, the Seahawks will only have Lock and Jacob Eason, picked up off the waiver wire last October, on their quarterback depth chart for the 2022 season.

This, obviously, has an impact on the NFC, the same conference that Wilson has represented on nine Pro Bowl teams since 2012. According to DraftKings, the Packers have officially risen to the second-best odds to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl next season while the Seahawks have plummeted after today’s news.

NFL NFC Conference 2022/23

  • Los Angeles Rams +400
  • Green Bay Packers +450
  • San Francisco 49ers +550
  • Dallas Cowboys +650
  • Arizona Cardinals +1000
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1400
  • Minnesota Vikings +1600
  • Seattle Seahawks +1600
  • New Orleans Saints +1800
  • Philadelphia Eagles +1800
  • Washington Commanders +2500
  • Carolina Panthers +2800
  • Atlanta Falcons +3000
  • Chicago Bears +3500
  • New York Giants +5000
  • Detroit Lions +8000

At +450, the Packers’ implied probability correlates to an 18 percent chance of winning the NFC and advancing to the Super Bowl in 2022. Meanwhile, Seattle’s implied probability crashed down to about six percent. Green Bay is also a -225 favorite to win the NFC North, correlating to a 69 percent chance of them earning the divisional title as it stands today.