Week 12 Opening Odds: Detroit favored by over a TD at Home vs. Packers

The Green Bay Packers will travel to play the Detroit Lions at Ford Field this Thanksgiving. According to the folks over at DraftKings, the spread currently sits at -7.5 for the home team. Green Bay sitting at a 4-5 record while Detroit is at a healthy 8-2 helps bring that line into perspective.

This past week both the Packers and Lions had thrilling endings to their games, respectively. Jordan Love led what became the game-winning drive that culminated in a 24-yard touch pass to Romeo Doubs. Doubs out-muscled LA Chargers’ corner Michael Davis at the point of attack and came down in a pirouette to take the lead. In the Chargers’ attempt to answer, Kenny Clark ultimately knocked down the final pass from Justin Herbert to seal the victory.

The Lions had quite the comeback themselves. With 3 minutes left in the fourth quarter, they trailed the Bears 26-14. The comeback began with a 32-yard strike to Jameson Williams. A quick 3-and-out from the Bears set the Lions up for their own game-winning drive. David Montgomery punched in the touchdown from the one-yard line and Sam LaPorta caught a two-point conversion to give the Lions a 3-point lead. During the Bears’ next drive, a fumble made its way out the back of their end zone to give the Lions a safety and the ball.

Jordan Love has shown promise over the last few games and the offense continues to incrementally improve, even with the injuries to the backfield. Receivers are now running routes correctly. Christian Watson even caught a touchdown! The defense did not allow many points, but they were buoyed by an Austin Ekeler fumble inside the 5-yard line. Chargers wide receivers were also credited with five drops, including one on the final drive of the game that would have put them well within range for a tying field goal attempt.

The Packers are playing the Lions for the second time this season. Back in September, the Lions shellacked the Packers at Lambeau to drop Green Bay to 2-2. Regardless of the Packers' recent improvements on offense, the oddsmakers still see the home team as the massive favorites. The opening money line has the Lions at -375 and the Packers at +295. This puts the odds of the Packers winning the game around 25%.

With an over/under set at 46, the game is expected to not be an offensive shootout. We’ll have to see how it turns out this Thanksgiving in Detroit.