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Week 17 Opening Odds: Packers are underdogs to Vikings on New Years’ Eve

Packers are 2-6 ATS on the road. New Year New Me?!

NFL: Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers Tork Mason-USA TODAY Sports

The Green Bay Packers will be heading to the Twin Cities to take on the Minnesota Vikings this New Year’s Eve. According to the oddsmakers over at DraftKings, the Vikings have opened as the 2-point favorites in their plastic-roofed stadium that’s known for being named after a Delaware-incorporated bank and for killing birds.

This isn’t exactly a “must-win” game for Green Bay, but it’s about as close as you can get to one. Should the Packers fail to claim victory over the Vikings, their odds of making the playoffs drop to around 2%.

The Packers have only amassed a record of 2 and 6 against the spread while on the road this year. These two “wins” came in the form of stomping the NFCN Champion Detroit Lions in their own house and barely losing to an anemic Atlanta Falcons team while expected to lose by three.

The Vikings are led by Nick Mullins, who just threw four interceptions in a thrilling loss to the Lions. What this means for the Packers is that, should the current defensive trend continue, he will have a career game that could earn him talks of an extension.

Merry Christmas, Baker Mayfield!

The Packers’ pass defense which is coordinated by Rod Marinelli’s son-in-law, Crooked Joe Barry, has been 30th in DVOA over the last six weeks. They have given up career games in back-to-back-to-back weeks for quarterbacks that are otherwise unimpressive statistically There’s a silver lining, however, as the offense seems to be getting its poop in a group.

Minnesota is not without their own struggles as they have failed to cover the spread in their last four consecutive games, they are on a two game losing streak, and their home record this season is just 2-5.

The line has shifted in favor of the Packers by half a point since it opened, and it could continue to shift based on injury reports from practice. By kickoff the game could realistically be a pick’em. Will the Vikings continue their streak of losing and late-season mediocrity? Or will the Packers drop the ball before the ball drops?

The moneyline is currently set for the Packers at +105 which has oddsmakers thinking they win this game ~48.8% of the time. The over/under is 46. Should both teams hit their average offensive numbers, the Packers would win outright and the spread would go under.